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Who should you tip? ESPNfootytips Finals Week 1 Upsets and Certainties

Luke Shuey will be one of many Eagles expected to have a night out against the Bombers. Mark Brake/Getty Images

Need a hand with your tips? The team from the ESPNfootytips AFL podcast have got you covered.

Every week, our AFL experts Niall Seewang, Jake Michaels as well as Champion Data's AFL Analyst Christian Joly give you an upset and a certainty for the upcoming round to help you climb the rankings in your competition.

You can catch the latest podcast every Tuesday as the crew dissect all of the major talking points and preview the round ahead.

CLICK HERE to listen to the latest episode.

CERTAINTIES

Niall Seewang: There's only one certainty this week in my eyes and that's West Coast. I can't see the Bombers getting close to them in Perth.

Jake Michaels: At the beginning of the year I was really hot on the Pies, but I think Geelong will win this match. Both teams are very good and very similar, but I think Geelong edge them in the key areas and that will be the difference.

Christian Joly: Low hanging fruit for me, I'm taking the Eagles to dominate on their home turf in what is probably the only one-sided game of the round.

UPSETS

Niall Seewang: I am surprised that Collingwood are the outsiders against Geelong, with the personnel they are about to get back this week including Jordan De Goey and Darcy Moore, watch for them to come out firing.

Jake Michaels: Like most games this week, this is very much a 50-50 prospect, but I'll take the Giants to get the win over the Bulldogs. They'll be looking to make up for their poor effort last time they played and will be healthier. I'm also not convinced on the Dogs when they go into games as favourites.

Christian Joly: It's taken me a long time to come around to the Bulldogs but they are in red hot form, and are playing some of the best footy in the competition. They are a good chance to continue their charge and take out the Giants.