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TAB Betting Blog AFL Round 5 Cats provide punters the best bets

Here are TAB.com.au's best betting options for the upcoming weekend of AFL action.

Best bets

Geelong to defeat Gold Coast by 16 points or more at $1.68

Geelong has been inconsistent since the resumption of this season, but the sentiment of Joel Selwood's 300th game and Gary Ablett's 350th game should provide the impetus for the Cats to beat Gold Coast at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday.

The Cats managed to hold off Melbourne by three points at the MCG last Sunday in a low-scoring contest that drew the ire of AFL pundits.

It was a far cry from their 61-point thrashing of Hawthorn at home in Round 2.

The Suns have been terrific with three home wins over West Coast, Adelaide and Fremantle.

They have also unearthed a young star with Matt Rowell arguably best-on-ground in their three victories and now in Brownlow Medal contention.

The one caveat regarding Gold Coast's form is the sides they have beaten are all performing poorly and their average losing margin at GMHBA Stadium is 86.6 points in five matches.

The Suns are vastly improved from previous years, but the Cats are almost unbeatable at home and should prove too strong.

Richmond to account for Melbourne at $1.52

Richmond must stand up eventually as they pursue three premierships in four seasons and they have a perfect opportunity against Melbourne at the MCG on Sunday.

The Tigers have struggled mightily since the 2020 home-and-away season recommenced with a draw versus Collingwood and consecutive losses to Hawthorn and St Kilda.

The defeat to the Saints was especially concerning after the lack of effort the week prior against the Hawks.

After struggling to keep up with the fleet-footed Saints, Richmond will enjoy returning to the MCG after going 11 games without a loss before their Round 3 clash against Hawthorn.

The Demons had a bizarre preparation to last Sunday's game against Geelong as their Round 3 encounter versus Essendon was postponed.

In a heavily criticised fixture, Melbourne fell by three points to Geelong after managing six goals, which followed a one-goal second half against Carlton in Round 2.

Richmond has won their last four meetings versus Melbourne and that record, plus wounded pride in the past three weeks, should result in a Tigers victory.

Value bets

Essendon to upset Collingwood at $2.80

Essendon were agonisingly close to staying unbeaten last Saturday night and they can upstage Collingwood at the MCG on Friday night.

The Bombers accounted for Fremantle and Sydney in the first two rounds before falling to Carlton by the barest of margins, which followed the postponed clash against Melbourne.

Toby Greene (three goals) caused havoc for Collingwood's defenders last Friday night and with Jeremy Howe missing, players such as Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti, Darcy Parish and Jake Stringer could pose problems.

The Magpies suffered their first loss of this season with a two-point defeat to the Giants and they have lost Howe (knee injury) and Steele Sidebottom (COVID-19 breach), which will result in a reshuffle of the Magpies' backline and midfield.

Essendon has a great opportunity to beat a less-than-full strength Collingwood.

Hawthorn to upstage GWS at $2.35

Despite anxious moments last Sunday night, Hawthorn are 3-1 and can strengthen their finals claims against GWS at Giants Stadium on Sunday night.

The Hawks stopped to a walk and saw their 31-point fourth quarter lead whittled down to an eventual four-point winning margin against North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium.

Chad Wingard kicked three decisive goals, which boosted his tally to nine from four games.

Aside from a head-scratching performance against Geelong in Round 2, the Hawks have shown great touch with their opening round win over the Brisbane Lions and their ferocity over Richmond in Round 3.

The Giants snapped their two-game losing run with a heart-stopping two-point win against Collingwood at home.

In two games versus Hawthorn last season, GWS were poor at the MCG and Manuka Oval and kicked nine goals combined in the two losses.

At the current odds, Hawthorn appeal as outsiders.

Best Multi

Geelong to defeat Gold Coast by 16 points or more at $1.68

The Western Bulldogs or North Melbourne to win by 15 points or less at $2.20

Richmond to account for Melbourne at $1.52

Hawthorn to upstage GWS at $2.35

Multi Price is $13.20