Lions (2-3) at Falcons (1-5)
1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup rating: 36.8 | Spread: ATL -2 (55)
What to watch for: Which Todd Gurley will the Falcons get this weekend: the Week 5 version, when he had 121 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries against the Panthers, or the Week 6 version, when he averaged 2.4 yards per carry against the Vikings? The Lions are allowing 145 rushing yards per game (the fourth most in the NFL), which according to ESPN Stats & Information research is the team's most since allowing 172.1 when it went 0-16 in 2008. -- Sarah Barshop
Bold prediction: In a game between two teams that have spent most of the season losing fourth-quarter leads, both squads will end up doing it again, with wild swings during the final 15 minutes and a last-second, game-winning field goal. Would you expect anything less from Atlanta and Detroit? Their two most recent matchups ended with a 10-second runoff and then a delay of game penalty that allowed Matt Prater to take a second attempt at a field goal. -- Michael Rothstein
Stat to know: Lions running back D'Andre Swift has 6.9 yards per touch this season, best among rookie backs. He also leads the Lions with four touchdowns from scrimmage.
What to know for fantasy: Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan is averaging 28 fantasy points per game this season when he has a fully healthy Julio Jones, up from 10.3 when his star wide receiver was hampered/inactive. See Week 7 rankings.
Betting nugget: Atlanta is 5-10 ATS as a home favorite since the start of the 2018 season. Read more.
Rothstein's pick: Lions 31, Falcons 30
Barshop's pick: Falcons 30, Lions 27
FPI prediction: ATL, 59.1% (by an average of 3.2 points)
Matchup must-reads: Life bonds started from football: Ryan and Stafford's friendship ... Falcons' Morris is auditioning to earn another head-coaching job ... Swift had a breakout against Jacksonville -- and the rookie needs more of it