UEFA Champions League best bets for the first leg of the round of 16

Can Man United find consistency & challenge Man City? (0:44)

Nedum Onuoha says Man United can use their win vs. Newcastle as a stepping stone for future success. (0:44)

Bayern Munich and Manchester City are co-favorites to win this season's UEFA Champions League, and both begin the knockout stage this week, as the first legs of the round of 16 conclude.

At +300, it's not worth playing the futures market on Bayern or City, and the only title play that appeals to me at all is Atalanta at 40-1. Otherwise, just bet your preferred team to advance in each round. Here's what else I like this week.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.

Atletico Madrid vs. Chelsea

Under Thomas Tuchel, Chelsea has averaged 69% possession but only 1.0 non-penalty expected goals per game. As he said after Saturday's 1-1 draw at Southampton, "We were very, very good in the first 80 metres of the pitch, but in the last 20 I was not happy. We were not decisive enough, we were not aggressive enough."