ESPN Fantasy and Betting Insiders 2y

Everything you need to know to bet the July 4 holiday weekend

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The Fourth of July is usually filled with parades, picnics and plenty of action from the wide world of sports. We've got you covered with everything you need to watch and what you can bet on to make this holiday weekend one to remember. 

Here we are on Monday, with WNBA action, Wimbledon's round of 16, and of course, the Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. While you enjoy some snacks of your own, check out our top picks as you follow the action yourself on the networks of ESPN and ESPN+.

Got it? Good. Here's everything you need to know to bet this weekend.

This file will be updated throughout the weekend with the latest odds and picks.

What to watch, What to bet this weekend

Monday's schedule

Wimbledon Round of 16, 6:25 a.m. ET on ESPN 
Nathans Hot Dog Eating Contest, 12 p.m. ET on ESPN 
WNBA: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks, 7:00 p.m. ET


Monday's schedule

 Wimbledon round of 16
6:25 a.m., All England Club, Wimbledon, England, ESPN


Men's favorites: Novak Djokovic (-190), Rafael Nadal (+450), Carlos Alcaraz (+800), Nick Kyrgios (+1400), Stefanos Tsitsipas (+1400), Taylor Fritz (+3500)
Women's favorites: Iga Swiatek (+175), Ons Jabeur (+330), Jelena Ostapenko (+750), Coco Gauff (+900), Simona Halep (+900), Petra Kvitova (+1200)

Andre Snellings: Nick Kyrgios -4.5 games over Brandon Nakashima (-125)

When Kyrgios is in form he can beat any player on the tour, and should be favored against any player outside of Novak Djokovic and maybe Rafa Nadal. Maybe. Kyrgios, in fact, already has a career victory over Rafa in one of their earlier meetings at Wimbledon. The question is always whether he's on his game on any given day, but he certainly seems to be on his game of late. He just defeated top-5 seed Stefanos Tsitsipas in four games, and has won 10 of his last 12 matches overall. Nakashima is having a good tournament, but is outclassed in this matchup. If focused (big "If"), Kyrgios should win this one handily.


Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest
12 p.m., Coney Island, New York, ESPN


Favorites: Joey Chestnut (-3000), Field (+1100)
Over/Under: 74.5 hot dogs

Jason Fitz: There's no way Joey will be challenged by anyone other than himself. Last year he told me leading in to the contest that he didn't feel as ready as he needed to be -- but he still set a new world record. Why? Adrenaline. He said to me afterwards that when he started to feel like he was slowing down the rush of having a crowd back in his face propelled him. This year, the contest is back at its old stomping grounds on the corner of Surf and Stillwell. With the return of a mammoth crowd, I think Joey absolutely feels the push from the chaos and makes history again. I'm hammering the over on this one.

Pick: Over 74.5


Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
7:00 p.m., Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, ESPN


Line: Mercury -1
Moneyline: ​Mercury (-110), Sparks (-110)
Total: 165.5

Eric Moody: The Sparks are 11th in the league with 86.1 points allowed per game, while opponents are shooting 44.6% from the field. When facing a team like the Mercury, Los Angeles' defense is a liability. While Phoenix is 5-7 against the spread on the road while the Sparks are 4-1 in their last five against the spread, the Mercury should cover. 

Pick: Mercury -1.0

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