Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day's slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET
, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today's MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news.
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Pitchers to stream on Tuesday
Los Angeles Dodgers RHP Tony Gonsolin made his first start of the season last week, logging a quality start at home against the Miami Marlins. The Tommy John recoveree gave up three runs in six frames but fanned nine with no walks. The clubs will run it back, this time in South Beach. Studies show there is no advantage or disadvantage to facing the same team twice in a week, but it's a favorable matchup, so Gonsolin gets the streaming nod.
St. Louis Cardinals LHP Matthew Liberatore threw at least six innings in each of his first five outings, recording four quality starts. Last time out, his effort was cut short by rain. He finished with two runs allowed in three frames, throwing only 42 pitches. Liberatore will face a Pittsburgh Pirates lineup that scored five runs against him over 6 1/3 innings in early April, but overall, the club is among the weakest offenses against left-handed pitching.
Boston Red Sox RHP Lucas Giolito is slated for his second start of the season, a home matchup with the Texas Rangers. His return from Tommy John surgery was delayed by a hamstring injury suffered during rehab. Giolito was effective in his first start since 2023, throwing six innings while allowing just three earned runs, albeit on two long balls. He struck out seven while walking a pair. The Rangers are averaging the second fewest runs per game in MLB.
Pitchers to avoid on Tuesday
Even with Coors Field inflating runs 40% above league average, the Colorado Rockies are averaging just the 19th most runs per home game, while striking out 27% of the time. Reserving opposing pitchers is no longer Pavlovian. However, Detroit Tigers rookie RHP Jackson Jobe hasn't earned the chance to be active in Coors Field. He has only 18 punchouts in 24 innings while walking 14. Jobe remains one of the top young hurlers in the league; he's just not ready for Coors Field yet.
Today's best matchups for pitchers
Milwaukee Brewers pitchers vs. Astros hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.79 ERA in this matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals pitchers vs. Pirates hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.83 ERA in this matchup.
Washington Nationals pitchers vs. Guardians hitters (Game 2)
The average pitcher would post a 3.86 ERA in this matchup.
Today's worst matchups for pitchers
Tampa Bay Rays pitchers vs. Phillies hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.17 ERA in this matchup.
Seattle Mariners pitchers vs. Athletics hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.03 ERA in this matchup.
Miami Marlins pitchers vs. Dodgers hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.03 ERA in this matchup.
Hitters to stream on Tuesday
The Tigers begin a three-game road interleague set with the Rockies. Their highest rostered player is OF Riley Greene and he's available in 25% of ESPN leagues. Spencer Torkelson is available in 26%, while everyone else is a free agent in at least half of all ESPN leagues. This is an opportunity to take advantage of a great setup for multiple games, including an abbreviated Thursday schedule. Kerry Carpenter and Zach McKinstry join Greene and Torkelson as the primary targets.
Today's best matchups for hitters
Athletics LHB vs. Mariners pitchers
SP: A | Bullpen: B | Park: C | Umpire: A | Temperature: B | Wind: A | Home
The average hitter would post a .358 wOBA in this matchup.
Colorado Rockies batters vs. Tigers pitchers
SP: C | Bullpen: F | Park: A+ | Temperature: F | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .342 wOBA in this matchup.
Washington Nationals LHB vs. Guardians pitchers (Game 2)
SP: A+ | Bullpen: F | Park: D | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .338 wOBA in this matchup.
Today's worst matchups for hitters
Cincinnati Reds LHB vs. Braves pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: B | Umpire: D | Temperature: C | Wind: B | Away
The average hitter would post a .252 wOBA in this matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals RHB vs. Pirates pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: B | Park: D | Umpire: B | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .280 wOBA in this matchup.
New York Yankees RHB vs. Padres pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: F | Park: C | Umpire: B | Temperature: D | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .284 wOBA in this matchup.
Betting tips
Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Today's top HR prop bets
Nick Kurtz | OVER 0.5 HR (+700)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.88 EV
One reason to bet this: Sutter Health Park has the fifth-lowest average fence height in MLB.
Brice Turang | OVER 0.5 HR (+1400)
Projection: 8% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.75 EV
One reason to bet this: Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% -- 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's eighth-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Julio Rodriguez | OVER 0.5 HR (+425)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.08 EV
One reason to bet this: Sutter Health Park is projected to be the fifth-best ballpark in MLB for righty home runs.
Today's top pitcher prop bets
Chase Dollander | OVER 4.5 K (-110)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.31 EV
One reason to bet this: Less offense (and more strikeouts) is strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game expects the lowest temperature (45 degrees) of all games today.
Chris Sale | OVER 6.5 K (-150)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.00 EV
One reason to bet this: Throwing 97 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Sale places in the 92nd percentile.
Paul Skenes | UNDER 6.5 K (-160)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.56 EV
One reason to bet this: My projection system profiles Busch Stadium as the ninth-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.
Today's top YRFI/NRFI bets
Orioles @ Twins | YRFI (-110)
Projection: 53% chance of RUN with a $0.59 EV
Pirates @ Cardinals | NRFI (-140)
Projection: 59% chance of NO RUN with a $0.83 EV