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Thursday, December 30 War Room: Cardinals at Packers The War Room Arizona offense vs. Green Bay defense
The biggest problem the third-year signal-caller is having relates to his field vision. Plummer isn't seeing the field well at all and WR Rob Moore's vertical presence has been non-existent the past month. Since hauling in seven passes for 102 yards against the Giants in late November, Moore has been held under 40 yards receiving the last four games. If the Cards can continue to work TE Terry Hardy (4 rec., 38 yds.) like they did early on against the Falcons, it should open up post and corner routes for Moore and WR David Boston. The guy that Arizona should go after is struggling rookie DC Mike McKenzie. After starting the season as one of Green Bay's most dependable defenders, McKenzie has been victimized as of late and a veteran player like Moore should be able to take advantage of his inexperience. Green Bay's lack of a pass rush has killed them all season and last week's loss to Tampa was no different. The Packers have registered only one sack in the past three games and Tampa used a lot of maximum protection to double-team DE's Vonnie Holliday and Keith McKenzie on more than half of the passing downs. Defensive coordinator Emmitt Thomas even tried using newly signed DE Roy Barker on 14 snaps but he too was a non-factor. While neither Mario Bates nor Murrell is known for their receiving ability -- the pair has combined for just two receptions all season -- Arizona must test Green Bay's nickel package, especially LB's Jim Nelson and Jude Waddy. The Bucs did an excellent job of this last week -- flooding one side of the field with their receivers and slipping RB Warrick Dunn out of the backfield, where he was isolated on a linebacker. After being notified by the coaching staff of his starting assignment just prior to kickoff, backup Bates did a nice job of running the ball early before the Cards were forced to the air when they fell behind big to the Falcons. Bates, who rushed 14 times for 39 yards and scored a pair of goal line touchdowns, should have some success against a run defense that is giving up almost 115 yards per game on the ground.Still, the Packers are getting solid run defense up the middle from DTs Santana Dotson and Gilbert Brown. While neither is getting a consistent push against the pass, both veterans are playing their best ball of the season versus the run and should dominate a young Arizona interior line.
Green Bay offense vs. Arizona defense
While they were within striking distance at 21-14 heading out of the locker room at halftime, the Cardinals allowed Falcons' QB Chris Chandler to orchestrate at demoralizing 10:21 drive to start the second half. Arizona's defense never recovered, surrendering 30 unanswered points to a suspect Atlanta offense. The Packers have a lot of corrections to make in practice this week in order to duplicate the Falcons' performance. Consistent breakdowns in the passing game continue to haunt the Packers. Last week the culprit was WR Bill Schroeder, who had four drops and a costly fumble in Packers' territory. WR Corey Bradford did his best to compliment Schroeder with a pair of drops of his own. Without the benefit of a running game to setup play-action, QB Brett Favre continues to force the ball into coverage in a passing scheme that often appears ill conceived. Green Bay kept its running backs and tight ends in to block on passing downs more than usual against the Bucs and it resulted in very few options (two or three receivers) for Favre. With shut-down artist DC Aeneas Williams at less than full strength, WR Antonio Freeman needs to find a way to make an impact this week. Although he notched his third consecutive 1,000-yard season against Tampa Bay, Freeman hasn't caught a ball over 28 yards in the past nine games. The lack of a big play dimension in the passing game will allow the Cards to overplay the underneath routes and negate RB Dorsey Levens' role on screens and dump-offs. Green Bay's futility on the ground continued again last week, as they were held to just 12 yards rushing -- the second lowest total in franchise history. Levens, who was held to just six yards on ten carries, never even had a chance against the Bucs' swarming defense. Arizona's injury-riddled unit is exactly what Levens could use to get untracked in the finale. Because of all the injuries, defensive coordinator Dave McGinnis has been forced to insert many of his players out of position. For example, OLB Patrick Sapp lined up at defensive end for much of last week's game and would stand little chance holding up against the run versus OT's Mike Wahle and Earl Dotson. The Cards are giving up a staggering 139.3 yards (4.1 avg.) per game on the ground and a marginal Falons' backfield netted 163 last Sunday. One thing the Packers must do to create opportunities for Levens is spread the field and run draw plays up the middle behind resurgent OC Frank Winters. If the Packers are going to minimize FB William Henderson's role with more multiple-receiver sets, as they did a week ago, the draw would attack the soft middle of Arizona's defense.
Special teams
Key matchups The Packers blitzed less last Sunday than they did two weeks ago and it resulted in little pressure on Tampa Bay QB Shaun King. Third-year player Plummer has yet to face a safety that blitzes as well as Butler and the Packers will probably revert back to using him after registering just one sack the past three weeks. With Michael Pittman still banged up, Bates and Murrell must carry the load on Sunday. Big backs have had success wearing down the Packers this season and the Cards have a chance at pulling off the upset if they keep Favre off the field. Green Bay's struggling ground game can be attributed to many things, but not the play of Henderson. Offensive coordinator Sherm Lewis needs to commit himself to the run, with Henderson's lead blocking as the focal point.
Green Bay will win if...
Arizona will win if...
The War Room edge
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