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Thursday, December 30 War Room: Chargers at Broncos The War Room San Diego offense vs. Denver defense
Denver's pass defense, with CB's Ray Crockett and Dale Carter, has come on strong in the past eight games, and is now ranked 8th, yielding just 207 yards a contest. This week, the success of the Broncos will not hinge solely on the play of Carter and Crockett, but SS Darrius Johnson as well. Johnson will be called upon to shut down Charger TE Freddie Jones, who has registered a team high 59 catches. Harbaugh works his entire no-huddle offense around the tight end position, so Johnson will have to make plays on the football early to slow Jones' production. Jones has been catching so many passes in the games early stages that he's attracted the attention of opposing CBs, who then sag off of big play WR's Jeff Graham and Michael Ricks. Harbaugh will try to do the same against the Broncos on Sunday. The Chargers offensive line has been sporadic in their protection of Harbaugh (Ironically, the Chargers seem to be at their best throwing the football when protection breaks down). Harbaugh is an improvisational quarterback, and WR's Jeff Graham and Michael Ricks ability to adjust their routes, coupled with the Chargers liberating no-huddle offense, are three big reasons for the Chargers success within the no-huddle system. Expect the Denver secondary and LB's to rely on their coverage prowess to stop the Chargers, not a hefty blitz package. And when they are in coverage look for them to focus on the neutralization of TE Freddie Jones. On the ground, the Chargers running game has fizzled -- a trend that won't change on Sunday. RB Natrone Means has all but vanished form the San Diego running attack and RB Jermane Fazende isn't getting it done on the ground either. Denver LB's Bill Romanowski and Glen Cadrez will be able to aid in the stoppage of the Charger passing attack because DT Trevor Pryce and the Bronco front won't need any help against the likes of struggling San Diego OG Aaron Taylor. The Chargers haven't been winning games by running the football. However, the deceiving part about the Charger running game is that it's surfaced when it has had to, when San Diego needs to run clock at game's end with the lead.
Denver offense vs. San Diego defense
The Chargers' defensive success should only increase with the return of run stopping SS Rodney Harrison, which will help revive San Diego's aching secondary. The Broncos Olandis Gary has flourished behind his offensive line, especially OC Tom Nalen, just awarded for his play in '99 by being voted to his third Pro Bowl. Against the Chargers, Nalen and the Denver front will be faced with warding off the penetration of DT's Norman Hand and John Parrella. Hand and Parrella are two big reasons why the San Diego defense is ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, giving up just 85 yards a game on the ground. The Broncos like to run Gary in the power alleys, between the tackles, so Denver OG's Schlereth and Neil will have to communicate with center Nalen to neutralize Parrella and Hand. If they don't Gary will be bounced outside to either SS Harrison or WLB Seau, who'll be more then willing to put the wraps on him. If Denver cannot run between the tackles they won't be able to run at all. The San Diego secondary has been riddled with injuries. Jimmy Spencer's broken arm has him out for the season, and although FS Michael Dumas and CB Darryll Lewis are back from injury, both are still ailing. SS Rodney Harrison's return aids San Diego's run defense, but more importantly he also is in intimidator over the middle in pass coverage.Denver QB Ryan Griese has been playing efficient lately, but has struggled in the face of the blitz, and the Chargers best defense of the pass is their offensive approach to it. They'll blitz defensive backs and linebackers often to make up for their lacking pass coverage. The last time these two teams met Chris Miller was at quarterback for Denver in the Broncos November 7th victory. Griese hasn't seen this look yet, so look for rushed decisions leading to force throws. San Diego will also be changing coverage's often and switching personnel within their secondary in an effort to keep Griese confused.
Special teams
Key matchups Lepsis is reliant on fundamentals whereas Fontenot is more of an athletic player. Expect Lepsis to take control of this battle when the Broncos run the ball, however Fontenot will use his quicks to reach Griese on passing downs.
Freddie Jones is having incredible success getting open this year by using his hands to gain separation from his defenders off the snap. The key for Johnson will be to give Jones a cushion off the LOS, preventing the physical TE to take control of him by creating space at the POA.
If the San Diego defensive line can retard the Bronco running attack without the help of their linebacking unit, it will aid them in shutting down Denver's passing attack. However, if Gary gets started early and produces on the ground, it will force the Chargers to stack eight or nine men in the box; giving Griese time to throw underneath to the Denver receivers. The measures taken by San Diego to stop Gary will dictate Denver's production.
San Diego will win if...
Denver will win if...
The War Room edge
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