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Thursday, December 30 War Room: Buccaneers at Bears The War Room Tampa Bay offense vs. Chicago defense
Tampa will use RB Warrick Dunn in a similar role this Sunday in attempt to take pressure off rookie QB Shaun King. Neither MLB Barry Minter nor rookie OLB Warrick Holdman will be able to stick with Dunn, who the team likes to isolate on crossing routes and short dump-offs underneath. The Bucs went with maximum protection for the majority of the game last week against Green Bay, holding the Packers without a sack. While this strategy kept defenders off King, it also reduced the number of options he had in the passing game. Tampa should be able to get by with limited protection schemes this week against a Bear pass rush that could feature many of the team's younger players. Chicago would like to give rookies Russell Davis and Roosevelt Colvin a look on Sunday to gauge their respective progress. If that's the case, Chicago's secondary must play more fundamentally sound than it did a week ago. Rookie DC Jerry Azumah, who might start in place of injured Walt Harris, was the only defensive back that tackled well against the Rams. The rest of the secondary must elevate their games this week if they don't want to end what has been a fairly positive year on a sour note. Tony Dungy should get plenty of credit for sticking to the run in the second half of last week's victory over Green Bay. The Packers did a nice job of containing the Bucs with eight-man fronts in the first half but RB Mike Alstott's continuous pounding caught up to them in the second half.Tampa ran the ball extremely well in the first meeting between these division rivals, piling up 124 yards on just 28 attempts (4.4 avg.) but 31 of those came on scrambles by QB Trent Dilfer. King doesn't pose much of a threat with his feet but the key will be Dungy's willingness to commit to the ground game for four quarters.
Chicago offense vs. Tampa Bay defense
If McNown can't start, look for backup Shane Matthews to get some more time this week. Matthews played admirably in relief last week, posting solid numbers (23-of-39, 266 yds., 2 TD, 1 INT) against mostly prevent coverages. Tampa Bay defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin blitzed just 17 percent of passing downs last week against the Packers and will most likely take the same approach this week against Chicago's multiple-receiver sets. The Bucs got consistent pressure on Brett Favre with their front four but they sacked him just once. Tampa should have more success this week against a Bears' offensive line that will feature the second start by rookie ROG Rex Tucker. Tucker faced a speed player last week in St. Louis' D'Marco Farr and gave up one sack; but containing Pro Bowler Warren Sapp will be a much more difficult task for the young hog. The Bears will see a lot of three-deep zone coverage that will discourage them from going vertical with WRs Marcus Robinson and Bobby Engram. FS Damien Robinson patrolled the deep third of the field better than he had all season in last Sunday's victory, intercepting two passes and delivering big hits when Green Bay's receivers ran crossing routes. In order to move the ball this week, Chicago must incorporate the tight end into the passing game. The Bucs have been susceptible against the tight end at times this season and the loss of underneath WR Curtis Conway (injured reserve) will put pressure on the Bears' tight ends to produce. The TE trio of John Allred, Ryan Wetnight, and Alonzo Mayes combined for seven receptions and 84 yards last week against a Rams' linebacker corps that compares favorably to Tampa's athletic group. Whoever plays at quarterback for the Bears must always be aware of OLB Derrick Brooks, who intercepted a pair of passes earlier in the season when the teams met at Raymond James Stadium. The lack of a running game continues to put Chicago's offense in a hole early. Starting RB Curtis Enis aggravated shoulder and elbow injuries against the Rams, which means youngster James Allen should see plenty of reps this week. Allen piled up 93 yards from scrimmage last week and should be an upgrade from Enis as a receiver out of the backfield.Last Sunday, the Bucs held the Packers to just 12 yards rushing -- the second lowest total in Green Bay's rich history. Tampa used a double-zone look that put pressure on the front four to stop the run and the unit came through, mostly because of the depth that kept everyone fresh. The Bears, who are averaging just 87.7 yards per game on the ground, could have a hard time reaching that figure with a speed back like Allen. Teams that have had success running the ball against Tampa this season have generally been able to pound the ball inside with a bigger runner.
Special teams
Key matchups With QB King at quarterback, Dunn has become a big part of the passing game. The Bucs do a fine job of clearing out one side of the field and isolating Dunn on linebackers. This is a tough assignment for the Bears' rookie. After coming on strong at mid-season, Green's production has tailed off badly. The Bucs have been looking to go vertically less the past few weeks but they must test Chicago's up-and-down secondary. Because of a hamstring injury, Harris doesn't have the speed to run with Green if he's beaten at the line of scrimmage. Azumah could get the start. The Bears held the Bucs to just two sacks in their Week 7 contest and Kruetz must have another strong showing to keep Sapp of QB McNown. Chicago's second-year center is one of the few interior linemen in the NFC that has the quickness to compete with Sapp.
Chicago will win if...
Tampa Bay will win if...
The War Room edge
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