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Wednesday, January 19
War Room: Titans at Jaguars


Tennessee offense vs. Jacksonville defense
TENNESSEE OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 13
Pass 17
Tot. Yds. 15
Scoring 7
Int's allowed 13
Sacks allowed 26
   
JACKSONVILLE DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 7
vs. Pass 5
Total yds. allowed 5
# of Ints. 19
# of Sacks 57
Turnover differential +12
Jacksonville's defense has not only benefited from Dom Capers' aggressive zone-blitz scheme, but also from the emergence of Gary Walker and Seth Payne at the defensive tackle position. Although the defensive ends and linebackers seem to get all the recognition on this unit, Walker and Payne are the catalysts. It is their ability to clog gaps in the middle that opens up so many blitz lanes and room to stunt up front.

Although Jacksonville appears capable of keeping the Titan rushing game in check, Tennessee dominated the line of scrimmage in the first two meetings between these teams, averaging 104 rushing yards per game. The key for the Titans is going to be Eddie George's ability to wear down the Jaguars up front, as Tennessee relies heavily on their running game to both set up the pass and control the tempo of the game.

Jacksonville's pass rush has been one of the more dominating units in the entire NFL, but they are susceptible to teams that run the football successfully as the game wears on, when the front seven typically becomes less aggressive upfield.

Tennessee's one advantage in the passing game is that their attack is methodical with less emphasis on down-field attempts. Ordinarily, the Titan approach allows teams to stack the line of scrimmage and get after Steve McNair in the pass rush, but against the Jaguars, who already focus so heavily on the rush, the Titans system will focus on a built-in passing scheme to beat the blitz.

In the first two games between these teams, Tennessee's short-to-intermediate passing game was effective because it allowed McNair to get rid of the ball off of quick three- and five-step drops. Look for the Titans to again exploit an underneath zone vacated by the blitz.

Jacksonville's key on defense will be their ability to take H-back Frank Wycheck out of the picture underneath, even if it means using SS Donovan Darrius in coverage. Wycheck is one of the chief offensive threats for the Titans because, although he is not a deep threat, his ability to pick up critical yardage underneath makes him dangerous.

The Jaguars will not be able to match up a linebacker on Wycheck because it would put them at an immediate disadvantage; Darrius must come up from his strong safety position to cover Wycheck off the line. Darrius is a physical enough player to fight through the traffic underneath, but he needs to do an excellent job of getting in position and covering the H-Back in the short-to-intermediate area.

Jacksonville offense vs. Tennessee defense
JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 1
Pass 13
Tot. Yds. 7
Scoring 6
Int's allowed 17
Sacks allowed 36
   
TENNESSEE DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 11
vs. Pass 25
Total yds. allowed 17
# of Ints. 16
# of Sacks 54
Turnover differential +18
The Jaguars have one of the most potentially dangerous offensive attacks in the league. The key to unlocking that potential, indeed, the entire offense scheme in Jacksonville, depends on the Jags ability to get their ground game rolling early.

With so many weapons at the specialty positions, Jacksonville thrives off the play-action fake, and, if there is one aspect of the Titan defense that can be exploited, it is their discipline. Tennessee's scheme is extremely aggressive, calling for lots of blitz and stunt action, but it can also tempt players to overcommit and get out of position.

Tennessee has done a fair job against the run this season, allowing an average of 96.5 yards per game in the regular season, but they have also given up some big plays against the run, which is scary against an explosive back like Fred Taylor. Nevertheless, in the last meeting between these two teams, Tennessee yielded just 65 rushing yards to the Jags, effectively taking Jacksonville out of their game plan early and forcing them to play catch-up football as the game progressed.

Furthermore, with Tony Boselli out of the lineup, the challenge becomes much more demanding than in the first two games. Without their big left tackle, the Jaguars not only lose continuity on the left side of the line, but are also forced to overcompensate to make up for Ben Coleman's inexperience at the position.

Coleman's ability to hold up at the left tackle position becomes even more critical in the passing game, where he matches up with pass rush specialist Jevon Kearse. Coleman, forced into duty with the loss of Tony Boselli, has very little experience at the position. On the bright side, Coleman showed he could handle the load last week when he manhandled the Dolphins' speed rush specialist DE Jason Taylor throughout the game. This week the task becomes even more difficult and critical because Coleman will be lined head up on DE Jevon Kearse for most of the game. Kearse has proven to be one of the more dominant overall defensive players this season, which means that Coleman is going to have to have a career day to give Mark Brunell time in the pocket.

If the Jaguars are able to establish the run game and hold up on the offensive line in pass protection, they will find exploitable matchups in the passing game. Jacksonville should take advantage of the Titans aggressive style, because they have the talent at the receiver position to exploit man-to-man coverage. Obviously, Tennessee is not going to ask their corners to play single-man coverage without help from the safeties or linebackers, but play-action is a major concern for the Titans because they ask a lot of their safeties.

Safeties Marcus Robertson and Blaine Bishop are aggressive players who are fully capable of getting caught peeking at the play fake in the backfield. While this won't be a consistent problem, is gives the Jaguar offense, who have proven that they can strike at any time, the potential for the big play. It just takes instance of a safety cheating up too close to the line for QB Mark Brunell to go up top to one of his home-run-threat receivers.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category TENNESSEE JACKSONVILLE
Punt return avg. 10 10
Kickoff return avg. 21 25
Opp. punt return avg. 18 6
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 21 26
Time of possession 1 5
Mike Hollis missed another field-goal attempt last week against the Dolphins -- three in his last two games -- is a major concern. The team did block a punt, though, which offsets the miss somewhat. Tennessee will need for its special teams to be as effective as they were a week ago in the win over the Colts. Al Del Greco made four field goals -- 49, 43, 37 and 25 yards -- and punter Craig Hentrich was dominant, averaging 52 yards and dropping two inside the 20. In what was a field position game early, Hentrich did his part to keep the Colts out of scoring position.

Key matchups
  • Tennessee H-Back Frank Wycheck vs. Jacksonville SS Donovan Darrius...
    Wycheck is one of the chief offensive threats for the Titans because, although he is not a deep threat, his ability to pick up critical yardage underneath makes him dangerous. The Jaguars will not be able to match up a linebacker on Wycheck because it would put them at an immediate disadvantage; Darrius must come up from his strong safety position to cover Wycheck off the line. Darrius is a physical enough player to fight through the traffic underneath, but he needs to do an excellent job of getting in position and covering the H-Back in the short-to-intermediate area.

  • Jacksonville WR Keenan McCardell vs. Tennessee DC Denard Walker...
    This is going to be a crucial matchup, especially considering the Titans aggressive nature defensively, using safeties in run support as well as in the blitz package. Tennessee is going to expect Walker to play lots of single-man coverage with little help in the deep third. McCardell is the key to the Jaguars offense. Because of all the attention that Fred Taylor and Jimmy Smith get, McCardell needs to step up in man-to-man coverage and become the go-to receiver for Mark Brunell.

  • Jacksonville TE Kyle Brady vs. Tennessee OLB's Joe Bowden and Eddie Robinson...
    This could be the most critical matchup of the game for the Titans. Tennessee likes to use its linebackers to cover the tight ends, and have gotten away with it for most of the season. If Bowden and Robinson can handle this matchup, the safeties will then be able to play more flexible in coverage and give more support versus the run. The problem for the Titans is that Brady is one of the tougher tight ends for a linebacker to cover, and his speed and athleticism could cause Bowden problems in coverage. However, Brady has not been consistent over the course of the season or his career as a receiver, and if he does not step up his play, the Titans will get away with using its linebackers in coverage.

    Tennessee will win if...
  • The offense gets more production out of its vertical passing game. Tennessee needs some big plays out of its offense. The team is averaging just 167 yards per game passing, allowing opponents to stack the line of scrimmage and overcommit to the run without getting burned. If the Titans are going to move the ball offensively against the top overall defense in the league, they will need some big plays out of their receiving corps.

  • RB Eddie George neutralizes the Jacksonville zone-blitz scheme. The Titans can expect an aggressive defensive look on Sunday. The Jaguars are going to use up to seven and eight men in the blitz package to stop the run and get pressure on Steve McNair. The Titans will need to do a better job with hot reads, screens and draws in order to exploit the upfield rush.

  • FS Marcus Robertson shows discipline. Against a productive running game, and a team that take chances off the play-action fake, the free safety becomes the most important position. Robertson is not only going to have to make his presence felt against the run, but he is also going to have to be disciplined in order not to get caught peeking in the backfield against the play-action fake.

    Jacksonville will win if...

  • The offense executes off the play-action. The Jaguars have the capability to be one of the most balanced offenses in the league. The running game is so effective, that it opens up the passing game and creates a lot of mismatches in coverage. The Jaguars need to take advantage of Tennessee's overpursuit and single-man coverage off the play-action fake.

  • Defensively, they force Tennessee to the air. Jacksonville knows that if they force Tennessee to abort the running game that they put themselves in excellent position to win. Tennessee is one of the tougher teams in the league to beat when they are able to run the ball because of their defense. Expect the Jaguars to gamble some up front, showing a lot of eight-man fronts to force the Titans to rely on the arm of Steve McNair.

  • Ben Coleman holds up at the left offensive tackle position. Coleman, forced into duty due to the loss of Tony Boselli, has very little experience at the position, but proved that he can handle the role last week agianst the Dolphins when he manhandled speed rush DE Jason Taylor throughout the game. This week, the task becomes even more difficult and critical because he will be lined head up on DE Jevon Kearse for most of the game. Kearse has proven to be one of the more dominant overall defensive players this season, which means that Coleman is going to have to have a career day to give Mark Brunell time in the pocket.

    The War Room edge
    Coming off an impressive 19-16 victory over the Colts in Indianapolis, the Titans are forced to travel to Jacksonville to play the Jaguars on enemy grounds. Jacksonville, despite a hobbled offensive unit, put together one of the most impressive wins of their franchise last week as they demolished the Miami Dolphins, 62-7, in what ended up as the second-largest margin of victory in NFL playoff history.

    These two teams are extremely familiar with each other, having met each other twice during the regular season -- the Titans swept the Jags in impressive fashion. While Tennessee has twice proven to be more physical and have more favorable matchups on both sides of the ball, home field advantage in a game of this magnitude is hard to overlook. The Jaguars are still ailing and have shown tremendous difficulty matching up against the Titans, but a veteran quarterback and an aggressive defense in front of a home crowd will be the difference as the Jaguars advance to Super Bowl XXXIV.

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