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Friday, September 24
War Room: Lions at Chiefs


Detroit offense vs. Kansas City defense
LIONS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 8
Pass 17
Tot. Yds. 15
Scoring 10
Int's allowed 10
Sacks allowed 6
   
CHIEFS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 7
vs. Pass 20
Total yds. allowed 14
Ints. 15
Sacks 20
Turnover differential +2
Two weeks into the season it is becoming very clear that this is a Bobby Ross style of offense. Without Barry Sanders, the Lions have surprisingly assumed a "smash mouth" type mentality with a running back-by-committee approach. Gone is Sanders and the zone blocking schemes of years past.

This game promises to be a matchup of two physical units. After piling up huge yardage with an impressive ground-oriented attack versus Seattle, the Lions were not impressive in last week's upset win over the Packers. Forced to play with No. 4 OG Kerlin Blaise for much of the afternoon, the Lions mustered only 82 yards on 31 carries, led by RB Ron Rivers (17 att., 54 yds.).

Detroit will find it tough to run against a surprising Chiefs front seven that is holding opponents to 84.5 yards per game and a mere 3.1 per carry. Kansas City's stout run defense has been a surprise because starting DEs Leslie O'Neal and Eric Hicks are generally regarded as rush ends, but they are shutting down the run well with slants to the inside.

Derrick Thomas' shift back to OLB and the addition of MLB Marvcus Patton have been the two keys thus far defensively for the Chiefs. The inside circle of DTs Tom Barndt, Chester McGlockton, and MLB Patton will get plenty of work against a Lions offense that rarely runs outside the tackles. The success of the Detroit ground game will depend largely on the play of LOG Blaise, who will replace injured Tony Semple in the starting lineup.

Detroit's passing game was not overly impressive a week ago, but QB Charlie Batch made the big throws when he needed to. In the Week 1 victory at Seattle, second-year WR Germaine Crowell stepped up in Herman Moore's absence and caught seven passes for 141 yards. Last Sunday it was Johnnie Morton's turn to get involved (4 rec., 118 yards, 1 TD). Without Moore, the Lions must rely on their starting receivers to make plays against CBs James Hasty and Chris Dishman, who held Denver's wide receivers to just four receptions last week.

The Chiefs have had trouble generating a pass rush with their front four and have been forced to blitz in order to get pressure. When they blitz, the Chiefs usually leave CB Hasty on an island and rotate deep help to Dishman's side. Look for Batch to test Hasty when he is matched up on Crowell, because of the receiver's height advantage and ability to make the tough catch in a crowd.

The key matchup in the passing game will be TE David Sloan versus OLB Donnie Edwards. Sloan only had one catch last week, but his 74-yard touchdown -- in which he ran away from Packers' All-Pro SS LeRoy Butler -- showed what a weapon he can be if he is included in the game plan. Edwards, who is improving in pass coverage, held Broncos TE Shannon Sharpe to six catches and 52 yards on a day where Sharpe was the first option on a high percentage of passing downs.

Kansas City offense vs. Detroit defense
CHIEFS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 7
Pass 13
Tot. Yds. 10
Scoring 13
Int's allowed 17
Sacks allowed 26
   
LIONS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 13
vs. Pass 19
Total yds. allowed 15
Ints. 22
Sacks 10
Turnover differential -2
In last week's victory over the Broncos, the Chiefs did exactly what they need to do to win football games -- control the line of scrimmage and control the clock. Kansas City needs another inspired effort Sunday against a vastly improved Lions defense.

The Chiefs suffered a big blow last week when starting RB Kimble Anders, who had rushed for 142 yards on 22 carries, suffered an Achilles' tendon injury in the fourth quarter. With few other options, the Chiefs will turn to Bam Morris, who has been in coach Gunther Cunningham's doghouse since training camp. After not receiving a single carry against the Bears, Morris totaled 32 yards on 11 attempts last week. Morris generally plays much better when he has a week to prepare as the starter. He will be spelled on passing downs by Rashaan Shehee.

The addition of LDT James Jones and the health of MLB Stephen Boyd have really upgraded Detroit's run defense. Packers' RB Dorsey Levens rushed for 153 yards last week, but the Lions stiffened up in the red zone, allowing Levens to score only one TD. After facing two versatile RBs like Ricky Watters and Levens, the Lions must make the proper adjustments for Morris. In particular, they must constantly rotate players along the front four in order to keep players' legs fresh. DT Kelvin Pritchett and RDE Tracy Scroggins, who will spell starter Travis Kirschke on passing downs, must be ready to contribute significant minutes.

If the first two weeks are any indication, the Kansas City passing game is far too one-dimensional. Aside from WR Derrick Alexander, who already has two 100-yard games to his credit, the Chiefs are getting minimal contributions from guys like WRs Andre Rison, Kevin Lockett, and even TE Tony Gonzalez, who had only two receptions in his debut last week.

The possible loss of LCB Bryant Westbrook (hamstring) is a huge concern for the Lions. Nickel back Robert Bailey played fairly well last week against the Packers but Westbrook's loss would be most felt in nickel situations, where veteran J.B. Brown would take over Bailey's assignment. Whether Westbrook plays hurt or Bailey starts, the Chiefs must concentrate on attacking the left side of the field. Bailey and Brown are steady players but the Chiefs should feel confident that they won't hold up all afternoon.

With question marks in the secondary, the Detroit's front seven must get pressure on QB Elvis Grbac. Although he did a better job last week, Grbac has been locking in on receivers and holding the football too long, which will become a problem if LDE Robert Porcher starts having his way with ROT Victor Riley, who often struggles against high motor pass rushers.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category DET KC
Punt return avg. 11 25
Kickoff return avg. 1 22
Opp. punt return avg. 9 1
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 4 19
Time of possession 15 18
After using backup FB Brock Olivo on kickoffs in Week 1, Bobby Ross made the right decision -- he handed the kick return duties back to Terry Fair. Fair, the NFL kick return leader last season, was being held solely to punts by Ross in order to keep him fresh for his CB responsibilities. All Fair did to validate Ross' move was return a second-half kickoff 90 yards, defusing a Green Bay rally.

The Chiefs were solid on special teams a week ago, holding the Broncos to six yards on three punt returns and just over 22 yards on five kickoffs.

It will be interesting to see how Chiefs P Daniel Pope responds to playing against the team (Lions) that cut him in the exhibition season. Pope has been average the first couple of weeks but should have more incentive against Detroit. Expect the Lions to go after their ex-camp guy, who has come very close to getting a few kicks blocked the past two weeks.

Key matchups

  • Detroit LOG Kerlin Blaise vs. Kansas City RDT Tom Barndt
    Blaise, an undrafted rookie free agent a year ago, will make his first start against a crafty veteran. Both players are finesse-types so it will be interesting if youth wins out over experience.

  • Detroit TE David Sloan vs. Kansas City OLB Donnie Edwards
    Last week's touchdown was no aberration -- Sloan is one of the more athletic targets in the league. Edwards must shut him down and force the Lions' reserve wide receivers to make plays in Herman Moore's absence.

  • Kansas City RB Bam Morris vs. Detroit MLB Stephen Boyd
    Morris was the odd-man-out before Anders went down, and now offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye must mend his running back's fragile ego. If Morris doesn't have his head in the game on Sunday, Boyd will make it a long afternoon for the Chiefs.

    Detroit will win if...

  • The Lions get back to running the football. The Lions were lucky to escape with a win last week and they'll have to do better than 82 yards on the ground.

  • QB Batch continues to make big plays. Because he is only in his second year, the Lions must expect Batch to make his share of mistakes. They'll will deal with his miscues if he continues to exploit man coverage.

  • Bobby Ross has his team focused. The Lions have typically been a team that has read their press clippings. This team received plenty of media attention after Sunday's win, but they must keep their heads on straight.

    Kansas City will win if...

  • RB Bam Morris picks up where Kimble Anders left off last week. After shutting down Ricky Watters in Week 1 and being run over by Dorsey Levens last week, it will be interesting to see which Detroit run defense shows up on Sunday.

  • They can get more people involved in the passing game. QB Grbac has to do a better job of spreading the ball around, especially in the intermediate passing game.

  • They can eliminate the big play from the Lions' offense. The Lions have not demonstrated that they can drive the length of the field.

    The War Room edge
    The Lions have pulled out two impressive victories, but this could be the end of the ride. If you examine the first two games closely, they caught Seattle sleeping in the opener, and they were outplayed by Green Bay. When Kansas City runs the ball and plays defense the Chiefs are talented enough to beat most teams. The Lions have never been a good road football team, and the crowd at Arrowhead will be the decisive factor in this one. The Chiefs will escape in a close one.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


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