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Thursday, September 30
War Room: Rams at Bengals


St. Louis offense vs. Cincinnati defense
RAMS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 14
Pass 3
Tot. Yds. 4
Scoring 3
Int's allowed 9
Sacks allowed 16
   
BENGALS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 10
vs. Pass 26
Total yds. allowed 22
Pts. allowed 31
Ints. 26
Sacks 15
Turnover differential -8
As strange as it may sound, the Rams have one of the most potent offensive attacks in the NFL. Their ability to spread the production between so many players leaves defenses guessing on every down. Now that QB Kurt Warner has proven capable of running the offense and throwing the ball downfield, defenses are no longer able to stack eight men in the box and key on Marshall Faulk.

The Rams are able to spread the field with three-receiver sets and basically choose to run the ball or go up top, depending on the defensive scheme. The Rams running attack is very similar to the 49ers' of a year ago. Marshall Faulk's carries are limited, but the production per carry (6.2 last week) is phenomenal, because of the running lanes he has to work with. Faulk is one of the fastest backs in the NFL with a 4.3 time in the 40-yard dash, so he fits the system extremely well.

The offensive line uses a simple straight-ahead blocking scheme that tends to open up backside lanes. Because of the new rules prohibiting cut blocks on the defensive end, lots of seams are opening up backside, which benefits a runner like Faulk who has excellent vision and change of direction.

Over the first three weeks, Cincinnati has been unable to keep contain on the outside and has been beaten badly by running backs who can make sharp cuts and redirect on the move. Last week, defensive ends John Copeland and Michael Bankston and outside linbackers Steven Foley and Adrian Ross were beaten outside because of poor contain and a defensive scheme that forced them to get caught up inside. Tim Biakabatuka took advantage of the room on the sidelines, rushing for touchdown's of 62 and 67 yards.

The Bengals will be forced to limit the stunts of their defensive ends and deploy Copeland and Bankston to establish an outside rush, allowing Foley and Ross to plug the C and D gaps, where Faulk will be looking to run off-tackle.

The biggest mismatch that St. Louis will draw in this contest is at the wide receiver position, where Isaac Bruce, Az-Zahir Hakim and rookie Torry Holt will spread the field against the Bengals' depleted cornerback position.

Artrell Hawkins is the team's top cover corner (with Charles Fisher gone for the season with a knee injury) and will draw coverage against Isaac Bruce when the Rams are in base formation. This means Rodney Heath, who has been a target for offensive coordinators to pick on since taking over the job, will match up with Hakim, forcing the secondary to roll coverage to Heath's side to help in the deep third.

When the Rams bring in Holt, which is a regular occurrence, the Bengals will be forced to bring in their nickel package and line Rico Clark up on the slot receiver. At this point, the Bengals will be so overmatched that the team will be forced move to more of a zone scheme that will require the linebackers to drop in coverage. This is when QB Kurt Warner will get the time he needs to set up in the pocket and look to his No. 2 and No. 3 receivers, who have done an excellent job of getting open backside and underneath.

Cincinnati offense vs. St. Louis defense
BENGALS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 10
Pass 22
Tot. Yds. 16
Scoring 27
Int's allowed 20
Sacks allowed 3
   
RAMS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 10
vs. Pass 10
Total yds. allowed 3
Pts. allowed 1
Ints. 19
Sacks 17
Turnover differential 0
When watching film of the Bengals offense, there is no one person that sticks out as the problem. Unfortunately for Cincinnati it is a combination of a lot of little problems that are far from being solved.

Corey Dillon has to be wondering how he did not get more than 20 carries when he was averaging 5.7 yards per attempt. The problem with the run game is that the passing attack is terribly inconsistent and has been unable to sustain drives on third down and medium-yardage situations.

The key to throwing the Bengals offense out of sync is to score points against the team's defense early in the game. Cincinnati gets into terrible funks when the opposing team gets off to an early lead because of its inability to put together a consistent effort. The Rams are going to stack eight men in the box early on and come after the Bengals quarterback, while keying on RB Corey Dillon at the same time.

St. Louis knows that if they can force an early turnover or big play that the Bengals will go into a shell. The way to do this is to pressure Cincinnati up front and make them make plays as a group. There are a lot of individual talents on this offense, but when teams force the Bengals to be on the same page and make recognition calls that test one another's knowledge, the Bengals tend to fold.

The Rams get excellent pressure from their front four, specifically the defensive end position, where Kevin Carter and Grant Wistrom are proficient pass rushers that collapse the pocket from the outside. This rush off the edges is going to force QB Jeff Blake to step up in the pocket and show poise as a passer. One thing to monitor is that just about every time Blake feels pressure, he tries to beat it by breaking for the outside. The throwing and scrambling lanes are going to be inside against the Rams, but time is going to be limited behind an offensive line that has been riddled by breakdowns in communication and group performance.

Blake is going to have to play like a veteran on Sunday, but more importantly for the Bengals, wide receivers Darnay Scott, Carl Pickens and Willie Jackson need to come out of the funk they have been in for the first three weeks of the season. There seems to be no timing between the receivers and quarterback, and all of the routes look to be rounded off and very sloppy. The footwork is inconsistent, and there is no drive off the line of scrimmage, so defensive backs are getting great jumps on the ball.

St. Louis will see those things on film this week and look to come after Blake with every blitz and stunt package imaginable in order to exploit the inconsistencies and lack of interaction between the receiver and quarterback position. When teams blitz on obvious pass downs, the only way to beat the pressure is to be on the same page as the receiver and for the receiver to run short, crisp routes that drive off the man-to-man coverage.

Until the Bengals show they are competent enough to execute against the "hot reads," the Rams are going to take pleasure in getting upfield and forcing the gaps with linebackers and even safeties on occasion.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category STL CIN
Punt return avg. 5 20
Kickoff return avg. 19 13
Opp. punt return avg. 30 27
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 24 3
Time of possession 3 10
Rams punter Rick Tuten didn't get much work thanks to the offense, and he only averaged 37.3 yards per punt when he did kick. He's been solid thus far, and he landed another kick inside the 20 in his only opportunity. The return teams were vanilla on Sunday, but Tony Horne and Az-Zahir Hakim are reliable return men that have some big-play flair.

Bengals PK Doug Pelfrey was the biggest disappointment for this unit, missing attempts of 47, 37, and 30 yards. Pelfrey finished 1 of 4 and also seemed to have a dead leg on kickoffs. Will Brice continues to show inconsistency as the Bengal punter, but as with the rest of the team, there is no other option. Brice average 37.5 yards per punt and the lack of hang time has given opponents room to set up the return. Damon Griffin is an explosive return man, but needs to dance less and run more north and south.

Key matchups

  • St. Louis WR Issac Bruce vs. Cincinnati DC Rodney Heath
    Heath has been picked on at the corner position since stepping in for the injured Charles Fisher. Bruce is a vertical receiver that will force the Bengals to roll coverage to his side, which leaves man-to-man matchups backside for WR's Az-Zahir Hakim and Torry Holt.

  • Cincinnati ROT Willie Anderson vs. St Louis LDE Kevin Carter
    Carter does an excellent job of getting upfield and pressuring the quarterback without help from the blitz, which allows his linebacker to sit back in coverage. Anderson needs to ride Carter and force him wide on passing downs, which will force the Rams to use more personnel to create pressure.

  • Cincinnati TE Tony McGee vs. St. Louis LB Mike Jones
    If Jones can't cover McGee off the line of scrimmage, St. Louis will have to get help from its safeties, which will open up more room for WRs Darnay Scott and Carl Pickens.

    St. Louis will win if...

  • The Rams need to continue to spread the ball all over the field in the passing game and force the Bengals into using nickel personnel on first and second downs.

  • The front four needs to create pressure without help from the blitz. If the Rams linebackers are able to drop back into coverage, Jeff Blake, who has trouble when forced to read defenses, will be forced to become a more accurate passer with seven Rams defenders in coverage.

  • The Rams need to stack eight men in the box on first and second down to force Jeff Blake to audible out of the run game. In the first three weeks of the season, RB Corey Dillon has been the only productive player on the Bengals' offense.

    Cincinnati will win if...

  • The Bengals need to roll coverage in the secondary to help out CB Rodney Heath, who has been a target for opposing quarterbacks in the first three weeks of the season.

  • WRs Carl Pickens and Darnay Scott need to get vertical to stretch the Rams defense and force them to back off. This should give Blake more time to throw in the pocket and also open up some running lanes for Corey Dillon.

  • The Bengals need to get pressure from their front three defensive lineman and inside linebackers in order to allow the outside linebackers to play back in coverage and keep Marshall Faulk in check.

    The War Room edge
    The Ram's offense, even with the loss of QB Trent Green, has established itself as one of the most potent attacks in the league. Cincinnati has had tremendous trouble on both sides of the ball and does not look to be headed in the right direction. The Bengal's are struggling on defense because of little pressure on opposing quarterbacks and poor play from the cornerback position. St. Louis has too many options in the passing game for the Bengals to handle and should be able to spread the field with three-receiver sets and pick apart Cincinnati's depleted secondary. The Rams will continue to role on offense and if they shut down the Bengal running game, they should win this contest in convincing fashion.

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