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Wednesday, October 20
War Room: Eagles at Dolphins


Philadelphia offense vs. Miami defense
EAGLES OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 22
Pass 30
Tot. Yds. 30
Scoring 28
Int's allowed 6
Sacks allowed 23
   
DOLPHINS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 5
vs. Pass 13
Total yds. allowed 7
No. of INTs 6
No. of Sacks 9
Turnover differential -5
Eagles QB Doug Pederson had a career best day against the Bears last weekend in the first half. Pederson went to the locker room with his Eagles pegged to a 20-6 lead, having gone 16-22 for 196 yards and two touchdowns. For the first time this season, Pederson looked down the field for his receivers and actually connected, finding WR Dietrich Jells for a 57-yard touchdown.

The Eagle offense, so woeful over the first five weeks, finally showed signs of life. A great deal of this success can be attributed to the cohesive play of the offensive line. The line gave QB Doug Pederson the time to look downfield and the Philadelphia receivers time to get open, things that have been missing in weeks past. Part of the line's success is a result of the improved play of ROT Lonnie Paleilei and ROG Jeff Dellenbach. Both have improved their run blocking, allowing RB Duce Staley to run to both sides of the field.

Last week, Staley recorded his third 100-yard game of the season and was a workhorse late in the fourth quarter when the Eagles were protecting a lead and needed him most. The line will have its work cut out for it this week against the Dolphins' aggressive front seven. Key to Philly's success will be the play of rookie FB Cecil Martin, who will be asked to help pass-block in obvious passing situations.

The Miami defense is clearly one of the most talented units in the league. The defensive line is capable of pressuring the quarterback without help from the linebackers or safeties, but defensive coordinator George Hill likes to use MLB Zach Thomas up the middle to force opposing QBs to get the ball out quickly. Miami will not be forced to take too many risks against Philly, but should be able to do so should the situation require it. The Dolphin corners, Patrick Surtain and Sam Madison, have the speed to run with Philadelphia's wideouts, and should not get burned by the deep ball even if they are locked-up in single coverage.

In the trenches, Miami has a match-up that should work in its favor -- LDT Tim Bowens lining-up across from Philadelphia ROG Jeff Dellenbach. Dellenbach's play has improved the last few weeks, but he was exposed last week against Chicago LDT Jim Flanigan -- he simply does not have the strength or the toughness to match up against Bowens for four quarters. Speed rushing RDE Jason Taylor will match up against Philly LDT Tra Thomas and could have problems defending the run. Thomas is a monster who is capable of dominating smaller players at the point of attack. Taylor needs to battle Thomas to a draw and allow his linebackers to come up and make plays.

Miami offense vs. Philadelphia defense
DOLPHINS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 20
Pass 7
Tot. Yds. 9
Scoring 3
Int's allowed 6
Sacks allowed 11
   
EAGLES DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 27
vs. Pass 10
Total yds. allowed 21
No. of INTs 13
No. of Sacks 11
Turnover differential -1
Back-up QB Damon Huard was impressive in relief of Dan Marino in a come-from-behind victory against the Patriots last weekend. Huard showed an ability to get out of the pocket and create by scrambling or throwing on the move -- a dimension the Dolphins lacked with Marino at QB. Huard was also indecisive and was sacked by New England nine times.

Coach Jimmy Johnson has yet to name a starting QB, but all signs point to Huard, as Marino is still experiencing discomfort in his neck and shoulder from bone spurs. If Huard gets the nod, expect the Dolphins to emphasize the running game, with RBs Cecil Collins and J.J. Johnson sharing the load, although Collins will get the majority of the carries.

Against an undersized Philadelphia defensive line, Miami will try to wear out the Eagles with a smash mouth running game. Philadelphia has been stingy against the run, however, and the play of Miami's offensive line (particularly the guards) will need to improve if the 'Phins are to neutralize a Philly linebacking corps that pursue sideline to sideline with the best units in the league.

With the running game established, Johnson will allow Huard to look up top to WR Tony Martin, who is coming off his best game as a Dolphin. If Martin is working against LDC Troy Vincent, he could have a big day - Vincent is questionable with a strained groin muscle.

Philadelphia's defense has played well since Week 1. The Eagles corner tandem of Troy Vincent and Bobby Taylor is among the best in the league. Both can play the physical game, but are fast enough that they rarely get burned deep. Vincent is tied for the league lead in interceptions and the Eagles need him to play at full speed to have a chance in this game. As of Wednesday, he is day-to-day with a groin injury.

Philadelphia's linebackers are showing a great deal of promise for the future. Athletic ROLB James Darling just seems to have a nose for the ball and has shown his skills both against the run and in pass coverage this season. Miami will try to run right at the Eagles this week, which means the linebackers need to shed their blocks and make plays at or near the line of scrimmage.

Philadelphia's pass rush took a huge hit last weekend, as RDE Hugh Douglas was lost indefinitely with a torn biceps tendon. When healthy, Douglas has terrorized opposing QB's while improving his play against the run. Without him Philadelphia will use the tandem of Mike Mamula and Greg Jefferson -- undersized guys who are a liability against the run. FS Brian Dawkins could see a lot of action in run support. Rookie Damon Moore could see increased playing time at SS this week. He intercepted his first pass last week and is an upgrade over starter Tim Hauck in passing situations.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category PHI MIA
Punt return avg. 24 6
Kickoff return avg. 12 2
Opp. punt return avg. 17 19
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 26 22
Time of possession 30 3
Miami PK Olindo Mare is having a Pro Bowl season. He has been nothing short of money in the bank, and is consistent whenever he is called upon. Eagles' KR Allen Rossum had a big game against the Bears last week, and Philadelphia needs him to continue to make plays if they are to be competitive this week. P Sean Landeta has probably been the most consistent player on the Eagles through the first six weeks of the season.

Key matchups
  • Eagles RB Duce Staley vs. Dolphins MLB Zach Thomas
    Staley is the key to the Eagles' ball-control run game, but Thomas is one of the best sideline-to-sideline linebackers in the business. The Eagle blockers must look for him at all times, as he is also an excellent blitzer and a great "square-up" tackler.

  • Eagles DE Hugh Douglas vs. Dolphins LOT Richmond Webb
    When Webb is healthy (which hasn't been the case in 1999), he is one of the best in the business, but Douglas has also been injury prone this year. The Eagles desperately need the speed edge pass rush that Douglas can give them to put pressure on QB Dan Marino, or backup Damon Huard.

  • Miami WRs McDuffie and Martin vs. Philadelphia DCs Vincent and Taylor
    The strength of the Eagle defense is at the corner position, and if Vincent and Taylor can handle McDuffie and Martin in single m/m coverage, it will allow the Eagles to be much more creative in their blitz package and run defense, which will compensate for other weaknesses.

    Philadelphia will win if...
  • Duce Staley has a big game. This is an Eagle offense that is not very explosive, and their best chance for victory is a strong run game and a ball-control offense. If Staley rushes for over 100 yards against a very talented Miami defense, it will keep the Eagles in this game.

  • Their OL can neutralize the Miami pass rush. This appears to be a mis-match, as Miami is one of the better teams in the NFL in putting pressure on the QB, especially when they blitz MLB Zach Thomas. The Eagles may have to keep their backs in to block on passing downs, but they must be able to hold up inside to have any chance in this game.

  • Miami is flat and the Eagles can capitalize on turnovers and good field position. Although both of these teams are coming off nice wins, the Eagles must hope for Miami to not be ready to play this game. If the Dolphins are sloppy and make mistakes, it gives Philadelphia a chance to work with a short field and convert some easy chances. If the Eagles are forced to earn everything, it will be a long day.

    Miami will win if...

  • They stop RB Duce Staley and force the Eagles to throw the football. The last thing Philadelphia wants to do is get into a vertical passing attack where Miami's defense can "tee off" on QB Doug Pederson. Look for the Dolphins to take away the run game by stacking "eight in the box" and inviting Pederson to make plays in the Eagles' anemic passing game.

  • Score early and make Philadelphia play catch-up football. As mentioned, the Eagles do not want to get into an up-tempo scoring match. Look for the Dolphins to go vertical in the passing game early and take the Eagles out of their gameplan.

  • They take care of the football. This is a little bit of a "trap" game. Miami is clearly the better football team, but games like this are lost when the better team does not take care of the football and execute. The Dolphins must come out and play smart football and simply take care of business without making silly mistakes, turning the ball over, and giving the Eagles good field position and gifts.

    The War Room edge
    Although the Eagles are certainly playing much better than they did earlier in the season, this is a classic mismatch. The Miami defense will dominate in this game and force the Eagles to be one-dimensional by taking away RB Duce Staley. The Dolphins will produce enough on offense to make this a comfortable win.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
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