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Wednesday, October 27
War Room: Browns at Saints


Cleveland offense vs. New Orleans defense
BROWNS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 27
Pass 30
Tot. Yds. 31
Scoring 31
Int's allowed 6
Sacks allowed 26
   
SAINTS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 20
vs. Pass 10
Total yds. allowed 13
No. of INTs 7
No. of Sacks 23
Turnover differential -8
The Browns made a concerted effort to improve the team on the offensive side of the ball with the acquisition of RB Karim Abdul-Jabbar from the Dolphins right before the trading deadline. Abdul-Jabbar is a guy who is effective near the goal line and will give the Browns a more effective runner on first and second down. The Cleveland offensive line will be hard-pressed to deal with a New Orleans' athletic front-seven, but after some success opening holes against the Rams and the addition of Jabbar, there is hope. The Browns desperately need to upgrade the running attack, which ranks second to last in the NFL, and which allows opposing defenses to overplay the pass against Cleveland rookie QB, Tim Couch.

Since Week 3, Browns coach Chris Palmer has been forced to simplify his offense in response to the defensive looks opponents have been throwing at his team. This week, expect more of the same from the Browns, as the Saints will roll coverage towards WR Kevin Johnson's side, leaving Couch with the underneath routes and a healthy dose of TE Irv Smith. Smith should add a wrinkle to the Brown's offense after missing the last three weeks with a knee injury, and Couch has been unable to find his rhythm with back-up TEs Mark Campbell or Randy Palmer.

The New Orleans defense had its worst game of the year last weekend against the Giants. Several costly breakdowns allowed a normally anemic New York offense to look like a well-oiled machine. What the 31-3 final score didn't show is that New Orleans was effective against the run, as the Saints stacked up the Giant running game -- limiting New York to only 2.9 yards per carry. If the Saints are again solid against the run, it will allow the team's secondary greater flexibility defending the pass. With Cleveland WR Kevin Johnson as the Brown's only deep threat, expect SS Sammy Knight to help LDC Ashley Ambrose on Johnson's deeper routes. This will expose RDC Fred Weary in single coverage against veteran WR Leslie Shepherd, but Weary should be able to handle this assignment.

Linebacker is a concern going into this game for the Saints as missed tackles and blown assignments plagued the Saints last weekend. A hard runner like the Browns' Abdul-Jabbar will test the Saints' defensive fundamentals. ROLB Mark Fields needs to step up the level of his play and keep his head in the game for four quarters. The Saints front four has proven they can rush the passer, sacking Giants' QB Kent Graham three times in the first series of last weekend's game, but needs to play at a higher level throughout the course of a game, as the team's defense recorded only one more sack the rest of the day.

New Orleans offense vs. Cleveland defense
SAINTS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 16
Pass 14
Tot. Yds. 15
Scoring 24
Int's allowed 9
Sacks allowed 13
   
BROWNS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 31
vs. Pass 28
Total yds. allowed 31
No. of INTs 3
No. of Sacks 15
Turnover differential -13
Saints rookie RB Ricky Williams had his first 100-yard game as a professional on Sunday. Unfortunately, it came against a Giant defense that was playing soft against the run, as New York was sitting on a huge second-half lead. On the bright side, Williams showed that his health is improving, breaking tackles and gaining considerable yardage after initial contact. Given the state of the Saints passing game, Williams will get the ball a lot against Browns. QB Billy Joe Tolliver was 14-33 for 176 yards and three interceptions and was pulled late in the game in favor of back-up Danny Wuerffel. With Billy Joe Hobert questionable for this week's game with a neck injury, it remains to be seen how effective the Saints will be throwing the football.

If TE Cam Cleeland returns on Sunday it will be a big boost for the New Orleans offense. Cleeland adds a vertical passing threat that is capable of stretching opposing offenses and opening up the underneath routes for possession receivers like Andre Hastings. Another deep threat that would bolster an anemic Saints attack is WR Keith Poole, who is inconsistent but can get behind defenses. Poole is listed as probable for this Sunday's game, and will most likely play.

The Browns defensive line play was sad last Sunday, as they failed to wrap up Rams RB Marshall Faulk before he got into the secondary. RDE Derrick Alexander will have a tough time generating a pass rush this Sunday, as he will line up across from Saints LOT Willie Roaf, a perennial Pro-Bowler. Alexander will have a difficult time with Roaf, whose long arms and superior strength will force Alexander to take the long road to the QB.

With the Saints superiority on the offensive line, the Browns will need to have a big game from their linebackers, 2/3 of whom (ROLB Jamir Miller and LOLB Rahim Abdullah) are listed as questionable for Sunday's game. Both will need to be full strength if they are going to shed blockers and make plays against the New Orleans ground game, and Abdullah will need his speed if he is going to run with Saints' TE Cleeland. As poorly as New Orleans has been throwing the football, expect the Browns defense to put eight men in the box and dare the Saints to throw the football.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category CLE NO
Punt return avg. 24 21
Kickoff return avg. 22 20
Opp. punt return avg. 9 2
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 18 9
Time of possession 31 13
Saints PR Eddie Kennison muffed a punt against the Giants, and must avoid similar mistakes this weekend in what should be a close game. Cleveland PR Kevin Johnson showed flashes of brilliance returning punts in college, but has failed to impress through his first seven games as a Brown. Special teams coordinator Ken Whisenhut needs to get his unit to play better, because as Johnson showed in college time and again, if you give him daylight he has the speed to take it the distance. Browns' P Chris Gardocki is having a solid year. His play will be critical this weekend in what should be a battle of field position.

Key matchups
  • Browns OLB Rahim Abdullah vs. Saints TE Cam Cleeland
    Abdullah is the Browns' best cover linebacker, but the rookie has his hands full with Cleeland, who may become more involved in a struggling Saints' passing attack. He should be especially dangerous on third down, and he is the type of TE who can really stretch a defense.

  • Saints DCs Ambrose and Drakeford vs. Browns WR Kevin Johnson
    Johnson is the only legitimate big play threat that the Browns have on offense, and if the New Orleans' corners can take him out of the game, the Browns have virtually no explosiveness on offense.

  • Saints RB Ricky Williams vs. Browns defensive front-seven
    Williams had his best day as a Pro last week gaining 111 yards, and on an offense that is really sputtering, the Browns' defensive front must contain him and force the Saints' QB to throw the football. The Saints desperately want a ball-control attack with Williams and the Browns' defense must force them into a lot of third and long situations.

    Cleveland will win if...
  • They can get the Couch-to-Johnson connection going. Johnson has become Couch's favorite target, and on an offense that really struggles to generate points and big plays, this combo has a chance to make some vertical plays in the passing game. Johnson must have a big day to give Cleveland a chance on offense.

  • They put pressure on Saints QB Billy Joe Tolliver. Tolliver is a very streaky QB, but when he is pressured he throws a lot of interceptions (3 last week). It is important that the Browns do not give him time to get in any kind of a rhythm.

  • They stay in this game until the fourth quarter. The Saints have been notoriously bad in the fourth quarter losing a lot of leads, and the Browns need to play this one very close to the vest and make this a low-scoring game that they can possibly steal at the end.

    New Orleans will win if...

  • They play four quarters of football. The Saints have been unbelievably inconsistent late in games and can't seem to hold on to a lead. Their margin for error is not very wide and they must play error-free football for the full sixty minutes.

  • They continue to open up the passing attack. Two weeks ago, they took advantage of single m/m matchups, but last week they were horrible in the passing game. With a steady dose of defensive eight-man fronts to stop RB Ricky Williams, the Saints' passing game gets a lot of single coverage matchups, which they must convert.

  • They stop WR Kevin Johnson and big plays by the Browns' pass offense. Neither of these offenses is explosive, but Johnson does have big play capability, and in a game that may not feature a lot of scoring, the Saints must not give up silly big plays in the passing game. They are not an offense that plays well from behind.

    The War Room edge
    These are two struggling football teams that are generating very little offense, and neither have any explosiveness. As bad as the Saints are, they still play hard, and in this game, Ricky Williams should give them enough of a ball-control offense to set up a sporadic Saints' passing game that could hit on one or two big plays. This has the look of an ugly offensive game, but the Saints have the edge.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
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