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Wednesday, October 27 War Room: Dolphins at Raiders The War Room Miami offense vs. Oakland defense
The Raiders should thrive against the conservative Dolphins offense because it allows them to match up their corners, Eric Allen and Charles Woodson, in single man coverage, allowing the Oakland to stack eight men in the box to stymie the run and get after the inexperienced quarterback. Defensive coordinator Willie Shaw will do a lot of interesting things up front to put pressure on Huard and to also diversify his reads. Shaw will run a lot of wide stunts and blitz his linebackers off the edge on the strong side to split the tight end and offensive tackle. The Raiders also love to get WLB K.D. Williams up the field to rush the passer, which will allow Shaw to drop DE's James Harris or Lance Johnstone in coverage out on the flats. Huard has had some trouble when teams zone blitz, because he has been strictly reading the cornerbacks who have been playing seven-to-eight yards off the receiver. When he sees this he has been signaling to his receiver to run a quick hitch or slant, but what he does not realize is that the scheme is designed to lure him into the quick throw, knowing that either a defensive end or linebacker is going to break for the flat on the snap of the ball. Because of Huard's troubles reading coverages and making the throws, Miami is going to work diligently to establish the running game, even though the Raiders are prepared to defend against it. Miami is overmatched on the interior line against DT Darryl Russell and Russell Maryland, but the one thing to notice when watching film on the Raiders defense is that their linebackers tend to get out of position. The Dolphins are going to be able to run a lot of counter and cutbacks on the Raiders because their linebacking corps is active to a fault. The outside linebackers, Williams and Richard Harvey, explode upfield and leave cutback lanes as long as the offensive tackles are able to ride them wide. The key for the Dolphins running attack will be to get excellent downfield blocking from the offensive center and the wide receivers, and for the offensive tackles, Richmond Webb and James Brown, to force everything wide and stick with their backside blocks. Oakland offense vs. Miami defense
Gruden is going to have to spread the ball around more offensively and use more of a short passing game as the low-risk approach to the offense. Last week, with Wheatley missing a good portion of the game, the Raiders offense was unable to run down the clock by running the ball effectively inside. Oakland was forced to open things up more and utilize Gannon's mobility and playmaking skills to move the ball down the field. With a broken left wrist, Gannon is going to have to be more conservative, which means the offense needs to find a way to operate without its two most important weapons. The Dolphins are sure to take advantage of the Raiders misfortune by attacking the quarterback with a lot of eight-man fronts. Miami's speed on defense is going to present a lot of problems for the Raiders. With Wheatley out of the lineup, Napoleon Kaufman becomes the premier back again. Kaufman is a speedster at 170 pounds, but his speed will be neutralized against Miami. The Dolphins will lock their corners onto the Raider receivers in man-to-man coverage, leaving the FS back in the deep zone to give safety support. Up front, the Dolphin DT's Tim Bowens and Darryl Gardener do an excellent job of occupying blockers and allowing MLB Zach Thomas to roam free. Thomas shows an uncanny knack for finding the open blitz lanes and attacking it at the exact time it clears. Rich Gannon is going to have to be able to get rid of the ball on a lot of three-step drops to his hot receivers. James Jett and Tim Brown will do a lot of motioning into crossing routes and quick slants that open up right away. If they get jammed off the line of scrimmage, Gannon will be forced to hit his tight end, Ricky Dudley, off the line of scrimmage, or Kaufman out of the backfield. The biggest key in this game is the way Gannon is able to deal with the pressure and speed of Miami's defense. Jimmy Johnson knows that the Raiders are hurting on offense and will be looking to exploit their weaknesses. Without a steady inside run game, Oakland is going to have to find a way to use the passing game as a low-risk form of moving the ball down the field and sustaining drives. Special teams
Mike Husted is having a tough start to the 1999 season for the Raiders, missing 5 of his first 15 field goal attempts. Napoleon Kaufman has been carrying the ball less as a running back so he should be more rested to return kicks, but his production has not been at the level originally expected. Kaufman is averaging just 21.6-yards per return, which is 18th out of 21 return men with 11 or more carries in the league. Key matchupsThe Raiders defensive scheme is so aggressive on the front side that backs have been able to pick up yardage when cutting back. One thing the rookie Collins has been impressive doing is coming to a halt, seeing the lanes develop and cutting back. FS Eric Turner is responsible for the cutback lane versus the run, and when he is unable to make the play in the hole there is lots of daylight for the back. There will be a few crucial one-on-one tackles that Turner will have to make in order to save the Raiders from giving up a big chunk of yardage.
Gogan is still making the transition from the right side of the line to the left, where he has not played since 1991. It is obvious that Gogan's footwork is off, and he has been giving up one or two big plays each game. Russell, a dominating defensive tackle with great quickness and strength, should be able to take advantage of Gogan's occasional false steps.
Dudley should be able to use his speed and receiver skills to take advantage of this mismatch. Jones is an excellent athlete, but struggles at times in coverage. The Dolphins will be forced to use the linebacker to cover the tight end, for fear that if they use a safety in coverage underneath, the Raiders will use their speedy receivers to exploit the secondary in the deep third. Miami will win if...
Oakland will win if...
The War Room edge
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