COMMUNITY
 Letters to Editor
Send a letter
BACKSTAGE
 The Magazine
ESPN Radio


 ALSO SEE
War Room: Week 8 previews



 ESPN.com
NFL

COLLEGE FB

NBA

NHL

M COLLEGE BB

W COLLEGE BB

GOLF ONLINE

BASEBALL

SOCCER

EXTREME SPORTS


Wednesday, October 27
War Room: Patriots at Cardinals


New England offense vs. Arizona defense
PATRIOTS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 26
Pass 1
Tot. Yds. 5
Scoring 8
Int's allowed 4
Sacks allowed 17
   
CARDINALS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 30
vs. Pass 2
Total yds. allowed 14
No. of INTs 8
No. of Sacks 9
Turnover differential -10
More significant than the fact that the Patriots rushed the ball for 133 yards last week and three touchdowns, was that they proved to defensive coordinators around the league that if you back off into coverage, the running game does make you pay. Arizona, however, plays a more aggressive style of defense and will look to get after Drew Bledsoe by stunting and blitzing with its front seven.

The key for the Cardinals will be the play of its secondary, especially its corners who will frequently be left on an island in coverage. CB Aneas Williams has been virtually a "shut down" corner and will stick to the left side of the field, where he is most comfortable with his footwork, and blanket WR Shawn Jefferson. Opposite Williams will be CB Corey Chavous, coming back from injury, playing press coverage on WR Terry Glenn. Glenn is returning after suffering from a concussion late in last Sunday's game, but he is close to 100%, and will require attention in the deep third from FS Kwamie Lassiter. Lassiter will cheat to Glenn's side to help Chavous down the field.

What New England needs to do to counter the blitz is to get the ball to TE Ben Coates and the back out of the backfield. The Cardinals will play zone underneath, either using SS Tommy Bennett to cover the tight end, or bring Bennett on the blitz and drop a linebacker into coverage. The chess match is simple, the more the Patriots are able to exploit the middle of the field and the short flats, the less the Cardinals will be able to use its personnel to blitz and the more they will be responsible to drop into coverage.

Arizona finally returns the services of DT Eric Swann, just in time to find out that Mark Smith will be missing until the last three games of the season. The Cardinals stack up well against the Patriots up front even with Smith out of the lineup though, and should be able to shut down the run. DE's Andre Wadsworth and Simeon Rice get excellent upfield pursuit and should cause New England's aging offensive tackles, Zefross Moss and Bruce Armstrong, some problems. The Patriots have had extraordinary trouble at the right tackle position, where Moss is supposed to be the line's top run-blocker, but he has been unable to recover completely from a high-ankle sprain and has been splitting time with reserve Max Lane. The line is suffering significantly from Moss' inability to create a surge on the right side, and Moss' limited motion is going to be a major problem on Sunday when he matches up against Wadsworth.

QB Drew Bledsoe is going to have limited time in the pocket all afternoon and needs to do a better job of getting rid of the ball. Bledsoe took four sacks last week, and the biggest complaint is that he takes the sack yardage on first and second down instead of throwing the ball away. Bledsoe must be able to feel the blitz from both sides and find the hot read immediately if the Patriots are going to move the ball. New England is going to have to rely heavily on the arm of Bledsoe again on Sunday, but more importantly on his maturity and experience. The Patriot quarterback is going to have little production from the run game and is going to be playing with pressure in his face all day, and needs to back that pressure off by dumping the ball off and taking advantage of the room vacated underneath by the blitzing Cardinal linebackers.

Arizona offense vs. New England defense
CARDINALS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 31
Pass 26
Tot. Yds. 29
Scoring 27
Int's allowed 16
Sacks allowed 15
   
PATRIOTS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 19
vs. Pass 21
Total yds. allowed 22
No. of INTs 8
No. of Sacks 23
Turnover differential -4
Without Jake Plummer the offense will not change much for the Cardinals, although it will be simplified. The biggest difference between Jake Plummer and Dave Brown is mobility. Brown is obviously not as gifted with speed, but he does like to work outside the pocket. Expect to see a lot of play-action passes and bootlegs to get Brown outside where his reads are simplified and the throwing lanes are not restricted. The game plan for the Cardinals is to attack the heart of the Patriots defense by running the football between the tackles as much as possible.

New England has little depth left at the defensive tackle and linebacker positions, and have been wearing down easily late in games. With Ted Johnson, Tedy Bruschi and Bernard Russ already sidelined by injuries, the Patriots lost their depth when Marty Moore suffered a sprained ankle and Vernon Crawford injured a knee in the fourth quarter. Crawford and Bruschi are expected to split time on Sunday, but this unit is going to have a hard time stacking up if the Cardinals are in position to run the ball with consistency. The Broncos ranked 23rd in the league rushing the ball going into last week's game and averaged 4.9 yards on their 27 rushes.

Over the bye week, there were some major changes up front for the Cardinals, who have been almost completely ineffective running the football. Rookie first-round draft pick L.J. Shelton, who missed the opening two games during an eight-week holdout, has been promoted to starting left tackle in place of Matt Joyce, who has been ineffective in both run blocking and pass protection. The bigger shakeup is at left guard where Chris Dishman, regarded as the team's best run-blocker, has been benched in favor of James Dexter, who began the season as the starting right tackle. Dishman has not regained his form following preseason arthroscopic surgery on his elbow. The emergence of youthful Anthony Clement at right tackle made the move with Dexter possible. Rookie Yufus Scott also will get more snaps at right guard, relieving Lester Holmes, who is coming off a concussion. These moves have been made to at least stir things up on an offensive line that has been stagnant. The hope is to create some competition at just about every position in order to get the best out of each individual.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category NE ARI
Punt return avg. 15 11
Kickoff return avg. 13 11
Opp. punt return avg. 20 8
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 19 16
Time of possession 27 25
PK Adam Vinatieri has been the savior and the goat this season, but overall he is having a fine year, connecting on 13-of-16 with a long of 51 yards. Lee Johnson has been outstanding this season in his first year with the team, averaging 44.7 yards per punt. The one knock, however, is Johnson's accuracy as he has missed some opportunities to land opponents inside their own twenty-yard line.

PK Chris Jacke is just 9-of-13 on the season and looks to be a bit out of sync. In the past two games Jacke has shown the first signs of faltering as a field-goal kicker -- just after the team released its other kicker, Joe Nedney. Jacke's kickoffs also have been less than desired. The coverage teams, both punt and kickoff, have to get better as well. Their work has been discouraging because many rookies, who were drafted specifically to play special teams, have not lived up to expectations.

Key matchups
  • Arizona QB Dave Brown vs. New England SS Lawyer Milloy
    Milloy, in the Patriots scheme, is uses as an extra linebacker who is prone to come on the blitz. He will also be used to walk up close to the line of scrimmage and then drop into the flats in coverage. Brown, in his first start of the season, needs to be aware of Milloy at all times. Brown will have to read Milloy's movement as he takes his drop, responding to the action of the strong safety.

  • New England WR Terry Glenn vs. Arizona CB Corey Chavous
    The Cardinals are going to use Chavous as a press corner to cover Glenn off the line of scrimmage and force him to the inside when he gets vertical. Glenn has had trouble when teams are physical with him off the line and then have a safety waiting in coverage. New England is going to have to run a lot of crossing routes and motions to get Glenn away from the initial press and allow him to find a soft spot between the coverage.

  • New England OT Zefross Moss vs. Arizona LDE Andre Wadsworth
    Right tackle has been the biggest concern for the Patriots this season. Moss has been out with injury and ineffective since coming back, forcing New England to use a three man rotation at the position of Moss, Heath Irwin and Max Lane. Wadsworth should be able to exploit this matchup and force the Patriots to keep a running back in to protect Bledsoe on the front side, which takes away from the Patriot passing scheme and limits Bledsoe's options.

    New England will win if...
  • They run some sharp in and crossing routes with WR Terry Glenn. Glenn has been getting double covered with frequency, with teams using a corner to take away the underneath and a safety to help in the deep third. Glenn proved last week that there is a 5-to-10 yard window between the coverage that can be taken advantage of. Glenn needs to run some sharp routes in the middle of the field to get between coverage and catch the ball on the run.

  • They are able to run the ball late in the game. The Patriots need to be able to run the ball to sustain drives instead of having to throw the ball in the 4th quarter when they are trying to kill the clock. New England finally showed some signs of life out of their running game, but when it came down to it, they were unable to run out the clock and had to turn it over one more time to the defense.

  • The pass rush can get to QB Dave Brown. With the great cornerback play the Patriots have been getting, it allows New England to stack eight men in the box, using SS Lawyer Milloy as an extra linebacker to rush the passer. Brown is an experienced veteran, but does not know his offense as well as Jake Plummer does, and will likely make some mistakes if he if forced to make quick decisions with the ball.

    Arizona will win if...

  • The defense is aggressive and focuses attention on pressuring QB Drew Bledsoe. Teams have been most successful against the Patriots when they focus attention on rushing the passer. Bledsoe loves to sit in the pocket and make his reads downfield. If you give him time to make those reads, he is one of the best in the business. Last week, the Broncos backed off coverage and allowed him to sit in the pocket, and he was successful with time to throw. The Cardinals have good enough corners where they will be able to come on the blitz with linebackers and even safeties.

  • The offense can hammer the ball at New England's front seven. The Patriots linebacking corps and defensive line are decimated by injury and have been wearing down late in games when teams stick to running the ball. The Cardinals are without QB Jake Plummer and will be best suited to run the ball as often as possible. By running the ball over 40 times, they will not only attack the Patriot's weakness, but will also keep New England's high-powered offense off the field.

  • Dave Brown can get the ball to TE Terry Hardy. Brown will find that Hardy is open more than usual on Sunday. Because the Patriots use Milloy as an extra linebacker close to the line of scrimmage, it forces the Patriots to use zone coverage on the tight end. New England has been losing the tight end in coverage, and teams have been successful when they drag the tight end from the strong side to the weak side and take advantage of him when he gets open between the zone.

    The War Room edge
    Originally scheduled, this was to be a tough test for New England, but injuries and team problems have the Cardinals reeling. New England will look to attack an offense that has been unable to get on track and will start Dave Brown for the first time this season. Coach Pete Carroll will use lots of eight-man fronts to stop the run and get after the new quarterback, hoping to cause some turnovers and get the offense some good field position. New England will have trouble moving the ball on Sunday against a tough Cardinal defense, but field position and a couple of big plays on defense will be the difference as the Patriots win this low-scoring affair in the desert.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


  •   ESPN INSIDER
    Copyright 1995-99 ESPN/Starwave Partners d/b/a ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form. ESPN.com Privacy Policy. Use of this site signifies your agreement to the Terms of Service.