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Thursday, November 4
War Room: Ravens at Browns


Baltimore offense vs. Cleveland defense
RAVENS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 13
Pass 27
Tot. Yds. 27
Scoring 26
Int's allowed 11
Sacks allowed 22
   
BROWNS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 31
vs. Pass 24
Total yds. allowed 30
# of Ints. 5
# of Sacks 15
Turnover differential -9
The Ravens offense has been stagnant for most of the season. An inability to find any continuity at the QB position has plagued the team. The flavor-of-the-week last Sunday was Tony Banks. Banks finished the game 13-34 for 129 yards, with a touchdown and an interception.

The QB position has not been the Ravens only offensive shortcoming -- the team has been unable to effectively run the ball as well. Opponents have been loading up against the Raven running attack, and RB Eric Rhett has been facing a steady diet of eight and nine man fronts. The problem for Baltimore is that the team has been unable to show any sort of proficiency throwing the football. Opponents, therefore, don't feel the need to give their corners a lot of backside help and concentrate most of their efforts in stopping Rhett.

Obviously, the Ravens have to improve all aspects of their offensive play, but a good place to start would be to get the team's TEs, Aaron Pierce and Greg DeLong, involved in the offense. Last week against the Bills, neither caught a pass. Their inability to get open allows opposing safeties to concentrate on shutting down Banks' chances to throw to his WRs. The bottom line: Baltimore must find a receiver, either a wideout or a TE, who can get open downfield on a consistent basis. Otherwise, the Ravens will continue to struggle on offense.

The Browns' defense has not played poorly through the halfway point this season. Much of the unit's woes are a result of the team's offensive inadequacies. The defense will play a solid game through a half or three quarters of the game, but too many three-and-outs by the offense leave the defense exhausted and unable to make plays in crunch time.

Undersized guys like LOLB Rahim Abdullah tend to wear down late in games, and become liabilities against the run. Obviously, this unit cannot rely on the offense to make its job easier. Rather, it must look within itself to improve its play. Saints RB Ricky Williams ran for 179 yards against the Browns last weekend, and a lot of his yards came after contact with Browns defenders.

Part of the problem for this unit is an undersized secondary that rarely can afford to play man coverage on the outside. As a result, the safeties and (in passing situations) linebackers are more hesitant to come up in run support for fear that the team's corners will get burned for a big play. Rookie LDC Daylon McCutcheon has shown some cover ability, but has been exposed by some of the league's better receivers. If ever there was a team against whom the Browns could use an eight-man front, it is the Ravens.

Cleveland offense vs. Baltimore defense
BROWNS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 28
Pass 31
Tot. Yds. 31
Scoring 31
Int's allowed 6
Sacks allowed 28
   
RAVENS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 10
vs. Pass 3
Total yds. allowed 5
# of Ints. 6
# of Sacks 16
Turnover differential -5
Veteran WR Leslie Shepherd is finally beginning to show signs that he is recovering from the nagging injuries that have plagued him through most of this season. Shepherd is becoming a nice compliment to rookie deep threat Kevin Johnson, who had two touchdown receptions last week against the Saints. Shepherd's soft hands and solid route running have given QB Tim Couch a reliable underneath target when Johnson isn't open.

Johnson will be faced with a challenge opposite Baltimore LDC Chris McAlister, another strong rookie. McAlister has the physical tools to jam Johnson and the speed and cover skills to stay with him downfield. This will mean that Shepherd and TE Irv Smith must play bigger roles this week.

The Ravens' defensive line is a solid unit that could give the Browns problems, particularly in pass protection. This means Cleveland will have to run the ball effectively to take pressure off the passing game and keep Baltimore's dangerous pass rush off balance.

RB Karim Abdul-Jabbar, acquired at the trading deadline from the Dolphins, has been a substantial upgrade over Terry Kirby, who runs tentatively at times. If the Browns are going to get the running game cranked-up, it will be with Abdul-Jabbar running behind his guards and center, or outside on pitch plays.

To run up the middle, Cleveland OC Dave Wohlabaugh will need to do a stellar job blocking MLB Ray Lewis, one of the premier run-stopping linebackers in the league. Lewis' strength and speed could give Wohlabaugh problems, so look for Lewis to line up over center, and to come on a variety of blitzes. Baltimore LOLB Peter Boulware, whose shoulder injury limits him against the run, has been a menace in pass rushing situations. Boulware leads the Ravens with six sacks and could have a big day against Cleveland's plodding ROT, Orlando Brown.

The play of rookie LDC McAlister gives the Ravens more options on the defensive side of the ball, so expect him to be locked-up on Browns' WR Kevin Johnson for much of the day. Working in McAlister's favor is the fact that the Baltimore front seven won't give Couch a lot of time to set up and look down the football field.

Baltimore DEs Michael McCrary and Rob Burnett finally seem to be rounding into mid-season form, and both were factors against Doug Flutie and the Bills last weekend. RDC DeRon Jenkins has been solid, but is being pushed by Duane Starks, who lost his starting job to McAlister during Week 4. Starks has superior skills but is battling a loss of confidence in his own abilities.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category BAL CLE
Punt return avg. 20 27
Kickoff return avg. 19 18
Opp. punt return avg. 10 11
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 8 17
Time of possession 24 31
Ravens PR Jermane Lewis has yet to have a highlight reel return this season, but has come close on several occasions. Lewis is a wildcard on a team that otherwise has no big-play potential. Cleveland PR Kevin Johnson also has big play ability, but hasn't gotten consistent blocking from the punt return unit. Baltimore PK Matt Stover is a solid veteran, but is a risk outside 40 yards, as his leg has lost something over the years. Cleveland has changed kickers several times this season but has settled on Phil Dawson. His consistency will be key for a team that has had problems executing in the red zone.

Key matchups
  • Cleveland LOG Jim Pyne vs. Baltimore DT Tony Siragusa
    Siragusa is a massive run-stuffer who relies on power rather than quickness. Pyne will have his hands full on neutralizing at the LOS, and preventing Siragusa from inside penetration.

  • Baltimore LOT Jonathan Ogden vs. Cleveland RDE Derrick Alexander
    Cleveland has not put a lot of pressure on opposing QBs, and Alexander will have his hands full with Ogden, who is one of the best in the business and can play physical with a DE or slide with him if he needs to be athletic.

  • Baltimore FB Charles Evans vs. Cleveland MLB Wali Rainer
    Rainer is really starting to grow into his role as the leader of this defense, but Evans is a solid lead blocker and if Rainer is not protected by his DT's, Evans could give him some problems, although the Baltimore run game has not been overly proficient in the last couple of weeks.

    Baltimore will win if...
  • They take WR Kevin Johnson out of the game. If Johnson scores a touchdown and makes a few big plays, Baltimore will have a tough time staying in this one. McAlister has the cover skills to neutralize him, but expect the Ravens to roll coverage to Johnson's side of the field to take away Cleveland's lone big play threat.

  • Tony Banks protects the ball. Banks had a solid three quarters of work against Buffalo, but a fumble late in the game allowed Doug Flutie and the Bills to drive for the winning touchdown. Banks has always had trouble holding on to the football, and needs to get better at it if the Browns are to have a chance to win.

  • Charles Evans gets more involved in the offense. Evans has proven that he is not only a solid short-yardage weapon, but is also effective catching the ball out of the backfield. If Baltimore can get him more involved, he should be able to capitalize against the Browns' undersized LB's.

    Cleveland will win if...

  • Tim Couch can neutralize the blitz by spreading the production out in the passing game. If Couch has more options than just WR Kevin Johnson, he should be able to get the ball out quickly and neutralize the Raven pass rush. This means RBs Terry Kirby and Karim Abdul-Jabbar as well as TE Irv Smith need to get involved.

  • LOT Lomas Brown protects Couch's back against pass rush specialist DE Michael McCrary. The veteran Brown is in the twilight of his career and has lost a step or two. McCrary's combination of strength and speed could give the veteran fits, and if so, it will be a long day for Couch.

  • DEs Derrick Alexander and Roy Barker give the Browns a legitimate pass rush off the edge. Ravens QB Tony Banks has the ability to beat you through the air if he is given ample time. Barker has been struggling and shares time with Stalin Colinet, but the Browns must pressure Banks, particularly with the DEs, and cause turnovers if they are to be successful.

    The War Room edge
    This game will feature a tremendous range of emotions, as the Ravens return to their former home in Cleveland to face the new Browns. It is unlikely that Baltimore owner Art Modell will make the trip, as emotions run high in this one. There is nothing that the Browns would like more than to upset the hated Ravens. With an offense that's starting to show some signs of life with QB Tim Couch and WR Kevin Johnson, and a Ravens team that is struggling mightily on the offensive side of the ball, the Browns actually have a chance to win this game. Look for Cleveland to make enough plays in the passing game and hold on with an inspired defensive performance that gives them an ugly, but emotional, win at home in the first of many big games in this rivalry.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


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