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Thursday, November 4
War Room: Eagles at Panthers


Philadelphia offense vs. Carolina defense
EAGLES OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 21
Pass 30
Tot. Yds. 30
Scoring 27
Int's allowed 9
Sacks allowed 30
   
PANTHERS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 29
vs. Pass 18
Total yds. allowed 25
# of Ints. 2
# of Sacks 18
Turnover differential -12
The Philadelphia offense continues to struggle, although during the first half of last week's overtime loss to the Giants, the unit showed some signs. It has been during the second half of games this season that the unit seems to struggle.

RB Duce Staley's fumble inside of his own 5-yard line with less than three minutes remaining was the break the Giants needed to stay in, and ultimately win, last week's game. Staley's play during the first half was spectacular, as he had gained 83 yards on 15 carries and scored a touchdown. His 14 yards on 11 carries during the second half was one of the primary reasons the Eagles were unable to hold on to a 17-3 halftime lead. Not that Staley can be blamed for his lack of production in the second half -- the play of the offensive line was abominable.

This week, the Eagles face a Carolina team that is soft against the run and ranked 25th overall in the NFL in total defense. Running behind the left side of the line, LOT Tra Thomas and LOG Doug Brezinski, Staley should be able to have one of his better games of the year. This should allow either QB, Doug Pederson or Donovan McNabb, to look down the field for the team's lone downfield receiving threat, TE Luther Broughton.

Carolina, week in and week out, has been one of the worst defensive teams in the NFL. Leading the list of disappointments is DT Sean Gilbert, whose effort week to week is not what most would expect from a guy earning in excess of $7m per season.

LDE Jason Peter, who has been one of the few bright spots along the defensive line, is sidelined for at least three more weeks with a neck injury. Peter is one of the few linemen who has demonstrated the ability to get off blockers and make plays against the run -- something the defensive line and linebackers will surely have to do this week against the Eagles. Peter's fill-in Mike Rucker has played respectably, but is a liability against the run. It will be interesting to see how he plays against the Philadelphia RDT platoon system of Jermane Mayberry and Lonnie Paleilei. Both have suspect footwork and could fall victim to Rucker's quick upfield moves.

The team's secondary has a single interception and has been burned repeatedly on deep balls. They should find some relief this week against Philadelphia, a team without an outside receiver with deep speed. LOLB Michael Barrow will draw the duty of guarding TE Luther Broughton, the Eagles' lone deep threat.

Carolina offense vs. Philadelphia defense
PANTHERS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 18
Pass 8
Tot. Yds. 7
Scoring 11
Int's allowed 10
Sacks allowed 26
   
EAGLES
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 28
vs. Pass 11
Total yds. allowed 17
# of Ints. 14
# of Sacks 17
Turnover differential -5
Injuries at the WR position have hurt the Panthers in recent weeks. Rae Carruth and Patrick Jeffers open up the field for Muhsin Muhammad, and prevent opposing defenses from doubling Muhammad over the course of a game. Muhammad, when he is in single coverage, is a dangerous weapon downfield. Muhammad will line up across from Eagles' LDC Troy Vincent this Sunday, who is coming off a groin injury and could be a liability. For Muhammad to be effective, however, Carruth and Jeffers need to return to the line-up, otherwise he will face constant double-teams.

Another key for the Panthers will be the health of RB Tim Biakabutuka, who did not play last week due to an ankle sprain. Philadelphia has an aggressive defense that puts a lot of players on the line of scrimmage and comes after opposing QBs.

An ability to run the football will allow QB Steve Beuerlein to use play action and have more time to look downfield. Not surprisingly, Beuerlein's touchdown to interception ratio was much better over the first four games of the season when his offense was effective running the football. LOT Clarence Jones gave up four sacks last week against the Falcons, and will need to have a much better game this week against Eagles' RDE Mike Mamula. If Beuerlein is given time to set up in the pocket, he can be very effective.

Philadelphia's defense has shown a lot of promise this season, and the only weak link in this unit is an undersized defensive line that tends to wear down late in games. Both of Philadelphia's starting defensive ends are undersized and tend to get pushed around by opposing offensive tackles at the point of attack -- something the Panthers will try to capitalize upon this week.

Eagles' ROLB William Thomas and LOLB James Darling will be asked to come up and support the run to compensate for the team's lack of size up front. Darling must be careful when he does this, however, because Carolina TE Wesley Walls is Beuerlein's favorite target, particularly in the red zone. Darling was actually pulled from the game in the second half because the Eagle coaching staff felt he wasn't making the tackles that he should have made, and replacement Mike Caldwell was solid in relief -- so solid that he could see limited action again this week.

The bread and butter of the Philly defense is the secondary - both corners are solid cover guys, and FS Brian Dawkins may go to his first Pro Bowl. The secondary has made all the big plays for the Eagles this season, and in several games this season has scored more points than the offense. Philly will try to use the front seven to take away the Panthers' running game, and pressure Beuerlein with blitz packages, forcing him to deliver the ball on the run.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category PHI CAR
Punt return avg. 10 31
Kickoff return avg. 12 4
Opp. punt return avg. 16 13
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 26 15
Time of possession 30 28
KR Michael Bates returned a kick-off for a touchdown last week against the Falcons, and is emerging as one of the best return men in the NFL. He will face a Philly cover team that yielded over 26 yards per return last week against the Giants. Eagles' return guy Allen Rossum is an emerging talent in his own right and has been on the verge of breaking one in each of the last three games. Eagles PK Norm Johnson has not lived up to the expectations that followed him from Pittsburgh, and needs to become more consistent.

Key matchups
  • Carolina WR Mushin Muhammad vs. Philadelphia CB Bobby Taylor
    Muhammad is developing into somewhat of a big-play deep threat, but Taylor has the ability to contain him one-on-one. In a game that could be decided by one or two big plays, this will be a critical one-on-one matchup.

  • Carolina OC Frank Garcia vs. Philadelphia MLB Jeremiah Trotter
    Trotter is a very physical young player who has done a nice job stepping up and filling versus the run. Carolina would love to have offensive balance and run the football effectively, and Trotter must force the Carolina RB's to go East and West and limit their success on first and second down.

  • Philadelphia RT Lonnie Palelei vs. Carolina DE Jason Peter
    Peter is really on a hot streak right now, and is developing as a very physical power pass rusher, and he should be able to handle the veteran Palelei, who has struggled in recent weeks. The ROT position for Philadelphia has been a revolving door for most of the season.

    Philadelphia will win if...
  • Doug Peterson limits his mistakes and avoids throwing the ball into coverage. As goes Pederson, so goes the Philadelphia offense. In the first half of several games this season, Pederson has been effective running Andy Reid's system. But in pressure situations, Pederson has made some bad decisions and hurt his team.

  • OLB's James Darling and William Thomas shut down RB Tim Biakabutuka's backside running lanes. Both Darling and Thomas are aggressive players who at times will overpursue the ball carrier. Against a cut back runner like Biakabutuka, such overpursuit can be fatal, and Biakabutuka has the break away speed to make the Eagles pay.

  • The offense can sustain some drives to keep the defense fresh. In every game this season, the Philadelphia offense has been almost non-existent during the second half and it has taken its toll on the defense. Late in games, the Eagles have been giving up too many yards on the ground, because the undersized front four wears down.

    Carolina will win if...

  • CB's Michael Barrow and Eric Davis can handle their man-to-man matchups on the Eagle's receivers, allowing SS Brent Alexander to get involved in the blitz package. The lack of a deep threat outside for Philadelphia should allow Alexander to put pressure on Pederson; as a result, the Eagles will have a difficult time moving the football through the air.

  • The offensive line can handle the Eagle pass rush. Philadelphia has shown an increased ability to get after the QB over the last few weeks. The Carolina OL is inexperienced, particularly at the tackle positions, and needs to check off properly at the line of scrimmage.

  • Steve Beuerlein can utilize his running backs in the passing game. Beuerlein, particularly if Jeffers is still hurt, needs to find some other options to whom he can deliver the football. The more he hits his backs out of the backfield, the greater the chance that WR Muhsin Muhammad will eventually get behind coverage and hit for a big play.

    The War Room edge
    These are two struggling football teams coming off disappointing losses, and they are both searching for an identity. Carolina is a little bit of a Jekyll and Hyde team, and just when you think you like them, at least on offense, they lay an egg and show no production. However, playing at home should give them enough of an edge to beat the Eagles in what appears to be a very ugly football game.

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