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Wednesday, December 1
War Room: Titans at Ravens


Tennessee offense vs. Baltimore defense
TITANS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 20
Pass 18
Tot. Yds. 19
Scoring 11
Int's allowed 9
Sacks allowed 14
   
RAVENS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 2
vs. Pass 6
Total yds. allowed 4
# of Ints. 11
# of Sacks 27
Turnover differential -2
The ground game in this matchup features strength against strength. The Titans are rushing the ball for over 102 yards per game, while the Ravens allow just 82.2-yards per contest on the ground. RB Eddie George is as fresh as he has ever been in his NFL career this late in the season, and a lot of that can be attributed to the play of FB Lorenzo Neal. Neal has been taking the initial beating as a lead blocker, allowing George far fewer head-on collisions at the line of scrimmage.

The Titans love to run inside the tackles, but the task is a steep one this week against a stout Ravens interior defense. DT's Larry Webster and Tony Siragusa do an excellent job of clogging the middle, allowing MLB Ray Lewis to roam free in the middle of the field. Lewis leads the team in tackles, and has been a force against the inside run.

The key to this matchup is going to be the ability of Neal to get through the line of scrimmage and reach Lewis on his isolation block. George is a powerful runner who continues to do a better job of reading his blocks and making proper cuts to get into the secondary. With Neal in the game as the lead blocker, it frees up OC Kevin Long to help on the double team inside against Baltimore's physical defensive tackles.

If the interior line can create a crease inside for Neal to clear in pursuit of his block, the Titans are going to have greater success than most teams running the ball against the Ravens.

The Titans passing game has become more dynamic with the emergence of RB's Neal and George as receivers out of the backfield, but the biggest key for Tennessee is going to be their ability to throw the ball down field.

Baltimore will test the Titans early by playing a lot of man-to-man coverage on the Titan wide receivers, walking SS Kim Herring up closer to the line of scrimmage in order to give help against the run as well as to generate more of a pass rush. The Ravens have been successful defending against the pass because of their ability to get to the quarterback, notching 28 sacks in twelve games.

The Titans will look to get McNair outside the pocket more in Sunday's game for a couple of reasons. First, McNair is a gifted athlete and has shown the ability to force defenses to defend against the run/pass option when he turns the corner. Also, McNair is finally getting back to form and it seems that his arm strength is where it was when the season started.

The passing scheme has called for a lot of deep out routes and comebacks that require great timing between McNair and his receivers. If the Titans can roll McNair out, it makes his reads easier, he becomes less of a target against the pass rush and finally, he has shown a better ability to connect with his receiver on the timing routes on the intermediate throws when he is rolled out to the same side of the field.

Baltimore offense vs. Tennessee defense
RAVENS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 15
Pass 26
Tot. Yds. 28
Scoring 19
Int's allowed 14
Sacks allowed 38
   
TITANS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 14
vs. Pass 24
Total yds. allowed 17
# of Ints. 7
# of Sacks 41
Turnover differential +7
The Ravens ability to spark the running game may rely heavily on communication up front with head coach Brian Billick making some personnel changes.

RT Everett Lindsay is having trouble with his footwork, handling the speed and quickness of opposing defensive ends. Reserve right tackle Spencer Folau will get more playing time at that position now that he is almost fully recovered from a knee sprain that has hampered his play the last six weeks. Lindsay, a starting left guard, was moved to right tackle two weeks after Harry Swayne was put on injured reserve with a foot injury.

With Folau recovering, Billick will insert Folau back at tackle and Lindsay to guard. Folau is the more physical of the two, and guard/center are more of Lindsay's natural positions where he can also draw help on the inside.

Errict Rhett's production has dropped off significantly because of the poor play up front and his inability to create running room on his own.

The Ravens passing game continues to be inconsistent, as does the play of QB Tony Banks. Banks has all the physical tools, but his performance is never dependable. The biggest knock on Banks is his lack of pocket awareness. He takes too many sacks and is the all-time fumble leader at the quarterback position.

On a team where the offense needs to be more of a clock-chewing machine that wins the field position battle for the defense, the Ravens have turned the ball over 21 times this season. Tennessee is going to feed on Baltimore's breakdowns up front by playing their usual aggressive style of defense.

Tennessee has been gambling frequently on defense, and will do much of the same on Sunday against a Browns offense that is almost incapable of making them pay. Defensive coordinator Greg Williams has been running a lot of sets that feature six-men on the line, and two linebackers close to seven yards off the line of scrimmage.

The corners, Samari Rolle and Denard Walker, are playing a lot of press, single-man coverage, with FS Marcus Robertson sitting over the top to give help in the deep third. This "62" look does not necessarily mean that the Titans are rushing six men, but they are all up at the line of scrimmage and are creating a big wall up front. Teams are obviously having trouble running the ball against this scheme, and are forced to try picking on the cornerbacks in man-to-man coverage, something that the Ravens are not equipped to do with such a mediocre receiving corps that has offered little production down field this season.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category TEN BAL
Punt return avg. 12 26
Kickoff return avg. 24 13
Opp. punt return avg. 5 25
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 17 11
Time of possession 14 22
Craig Hentrich is quietly putting together a tremendous season for the Titans. He is only averaging 42.7 yards per punt, but he is allowing just 19.5% of his punts to be returned, and he has dropped 32-of-63 attempts inside the opponents' 20-yard line. Derrick Mason has shown some flash as a punt return specialist with a 65-yard touchdown return, but his consistency has been a disappointment, averaging just 9.5-yards per return.

Matt Stover is having a disappointing season thus far, hitting on just 18-of-23 field goal attempts. Kyle Richardson has handled the punting duties well for the Ravens, averaging 42.9 yards per punt and landing 31-of-73 attempts inside the opponents' 20-yard line. Corey Harris has been sufficient as the teams kickoff return specialist, averaging 23.8 yards per return with a long of 68 yards.

Key matchups
  • Tennessee FB Lorenzo Neal vs. Baltimore MLB Ray Lewis
    Lewis has established himself as one of the most active and productive inside linebackers. His defensive tackles do an excellent job of protecting Lewis in the middle, and teams have been unable to get out and reach Lewis because of his great athletic ability. Neal is going to be crucial for the Titans running attack as the lead blocker for RB Eddie George. Neal is one of the league's top iso-blockers, with great base as a blocker and the ability to reach his intended block. Neal is going to have to take great angle and lock on to Lewis if the Titans are able to run the ball between the tackles.

  • Tennessee H-Back Frank Wycheck vs. LB Jamie Sharper
    Sharper is an athletic linebacker, but has shown some problems with the angles he takes in coverage. Wycheck is one of the best H-Back's in the league with excellent receiving ability off the line of scrimmage. Wycheck is an integral part of the Titan's passing attack, and it will be his ability to shake free from single-man coverage from Sharper that will dictate Tennessee's ability to throw the ball underneath on Sunday.

  • Baltimore WR Jermaine Lewis vs. Tennessee CB Samari Rolle
    Lewis showed some flair finally as a receiver last Sunday versus the Jaguars, but needs to make his production more consistent. The Titans will run a lot of single-man coverage on the Raven receivers in order to stack up against Baltimore's physical inside running game. Rolle has developed into a solid coverage corner, but could have some trouble with Lewis' deep speed in this matchup. If Lewis comes to play and puts in a consistent effort, he could be the difference for the Ravens offensively.

    Tennessee will win if...
  • The defense targets RT Spencer Folau in the blitz scheme. Due to injury, this is Folau's first game back in the lineup in over six weeks. He draws the unenviable task of lining head up on rookie DE Jevon Kearse. Kearse has shown the physical ability and tenacity to dominate most offensive tackles in the league, and he should benefit from a scheme that will utilize a lot of blitzes to his side, confusing Folau in his return to the lineup and forcing him to make a lot of assignment decisions that could dictate the Ravens ability to hold up against the Titan's pass rush.

  • Offensive Coordinator Lee Steckel utilizes Steve McNair's athletic ability. The Ravens have an outstanding up field rush against the pass, and should be able to get to McNair with great frequency in the passing game. McNair is an athletic quarterback that needs to be turned loose more often to neutralize opponent's pass rush. If Steckel can get McNair outside the pocket more often and force the Ravens to defend against the pass/run option, it will give the Titans a more diversified offensive scheme.

  • The offense uses sweeps and the flats in the passing game to get outside Baltimore's upfield rush. The most effective means of neutralizing the Raven's upfield pursuit is to get the ball outside and to work the flats in the passing game. The Titans are going to have to get RB Eddie George outside the tackles, where he is a threat in the open field and forces the Ravens to adjust their defensive scheme.

    Baltimore will win if...

  • They get FB Charles Evans involved in the passing game. Evans is an extremely versatile fullback with outstanding skill as a receiver. The Titans get upfield in a hurry, but they have had some trouble against teams that are able to dump the ball off in the flats, because it neutralizes the rush. Baltimore needs to get Evans more involved by releasing him off the snap and getting him the ball on the swing pass, where he becomes a threat in the open field because of his ability to run over defensive backs in man-to-man situations.

  • They force the Titans out of their running game. Tennessee is going to look to establish the run early on against Baltimore's aggressive defensive front seven. Baltimore is going to have to adjust their scheme to focus on stuffing the run. The Ravens are fast enough up front without having to get much help from their secondary in pass rush, which means they will be capable of using the double team on Tennessee's wide outs.

  • QB Tony Banks takes more chances downfield. The Ravens are having trouble offensively, because teams are packing it in to stuff the run and create a pass rush on Banks. Banks needs to take more chances to open up the offense and force the Titans to play more honest. The Ravens have very few deep threats in their receiving corps and will rely on Jermaine Lewis and Quadry Ismail to create a vertical threat on Sunday against the Titans.

    The War Room edge
    This is a game that should play out a lot closer than it would seem on paper. The 4-7 Ravens are playing good enough defense to play with just about anyone in the league, but their offense has been more detrimental than anything, leaving the defense with short fields to work with and squandering golden opportunities. Sunday's matchup is an appealing one, because the Ravens are fully capable of shutting down the Titans offense, so this low-scoring battle could make for a fourth quarter decision. Both offenses are looking to open it up some to diversify their respective attacks, but the bottom line is that the Titans and Ravens alike do not have the personnel to stretch teams vertically. Because of the Titans versatility on offense and ability to run the football with more consistency than the Ravens, Tennessee will come out ahead, but do not expect many fireworks or much excitement in a game that will center around two strong defensive performances.

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