COMMUNITY
 Letters to Editor
Send a letter
BACKSTAGE
 The Magazine
ESPN Radio


 ALSO SEE
War Room: Week 14 previews



 ESPN.com
NFL

COLLEGE FB

NBA

NHL

M COLLEGE BB

W COLLEGE BB

GOLF ONLINE

BASEBALL

SOCCER

EXTREME SPORTS


Thursday, December 9
War Room: Rams at Saints


St. Louis offense vs. New Orleans defense
RAMS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 5
Pass 2
Tot. Yds. 1
Scoring 1
Int's allowed 9
Sacks allowed 27
   
SAINTS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 25
vs. Pass 24
Total yds. allowed 26
# of Ints. 12
# of Sacks 33
Turnover differential -2
St. Louis started slowly on offense in the matchup between these teams two weeks ago but the Rams will face a more sluggish defense this week. The Saints three-game losing streak and a series of injuries are starting to take a toll on this defense.

New Orleans' thin front four is wearing down badly, especially late in games, so look for head coach Dick Vermeil to pound the ball with RB Marshall Faulk more than he did two weeks ago. Faulk, who received just 18 carries in the team's 43-12 victory, appears as fresh as he was in Week 1.

With Faulk finishing games stronger than he started them, the Saints listless defense must do a better job of flying to the football. The linebacker trio of MLB Chris Bordano and OLB's Mark Fields and Keith Mitchell made Atlanta's Ken Oxendine look special last week, allowing the Falcons to run for 128 yards on 28 carries. If the Saints don't make Faulk feel every tackle this week, they will be in for another long afternoon come the fourth quarter.

Rams QB Kurt Warner suffered through one of his least impressive outings against the Saints (15-of-27, 213 yds.) and he would like nothing more than to post some big numbers against the team's depleted secondary this time out.

Starting DC Fred Weary is sidelined so look for Warner to target Tyrone Drakeford. With Ashley Ambrose effectively holding down the left side, the gambling Drakeford could be exploited by an athletic receiving corps on Sunday. St. Louis had just two pass plays over 20 yards in the first meeting but the recent loss of FS Willie Clay hurts the Saints chances for a repeat performance.

The front four's inability to generate a rush has forced defensive coordinator Zaven Yarallian to call far too many blitzes, exposing an already confused secondary. If DTs La'Roi Glover and Wayne Martin don't get a strong push and collapse the pocket, Warner will have all day to step up and pick apart the secondary with crossing routes.

Warner's protection has been solid as of late and he should have enough time to scan the field and get everyone involved in the offense. At this time of year, with the division title locked up, it's Warner's job to keep everyone happy heading into the playoffs. The Rams' top four receivers all caught at least four passes last week, with Az Hakim leading the way with touchdowns of 48 and 49 yards.

New Orleans offense vs. St. Louis defense
SAINTS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 9
Pass 18
Tot. Yds. 12
Scoring 27
Int's allowed 18
Sacks allowed 27
   
RAMS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 1
vs. Pass 20
Total yds. allowed 11
# of Ints. 21
# of Sacks 41
Turnover differential +7
The Saints have received little good news all season but the return of RB Rickey Williams might make things easier for Mike Ditka's offense.

Last week, with Williams and backup Lamar Smith out of the lineup, third-string Wilmont Perry did an excellent job in relief, piling up a hard-fought career-high 93 yards on just 16 carries. Perry's performance was even more impressive considering the horrendous play of the interior line, which allowed consistent penetration all afternoon.

OC Jerry Fontenot and OG's Chris Naeole and Tom Ackerman must be much more physical against St. Louis DTs Ray Agnew and D'Marco Farr, a pair that combined for six tackles and two sacks in the Week 12 contest.

St. Louis' run defense still ranks atop the league leaders, allowing opponents just 78 yards per game on the ground. If New Orleans can't develop a run threat, there is little hope for the passing game.

A rib injury to starting QB Billy Joe Hobert forced Danny Wuerffel into the lineup last Sunday but his showing was so poor that the team will not stick with him this week. Wuerffel's 15-of-30, 127-yard, two-interception outing resulted in nothing over 22 yards all afternoon and his lack of mobility (5 sacks) rendered him a sitting duck in the pocket. The Saints couldn't get the ball in the end zone the last time these teams met and Ditka can't afford his passing game to be dictated by Wuerffel's marginal arm.

The Saints announced early in the week that Billy Joe Tolliver will return to the lineup and start on Sunday. Tolliver's knee injury will limit his effectiveness outside the pocket so look for the Rams to come after him with a lot of early blitzes to prevent him from finding a rhythm.

St. Louis' secondary could stumble into this one minus its top playmaker, LDC Todd Lyght. If Lyght can't go because of a groin injury, either Taje Allen or rookie Dre Bly will start in his place. Bly, who returned an interception 53 yards for a touchdown last Sunday, will probably be the guy counted on to end the team's streak of five games yielding a 100-yard receiving effort.

Slot receiver Andre Hastings fit that role for the Saints two weeks ago, snaring nine passes for 113 yards. With TE Cam Cleeland still hampered with a hamstring injury, Hastings needs to be effective in the middle of the field in order to give speed WR's Keith Poole and Eddie Kennison room to operate.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category ST NO
Punt return avg. 5 26
Kickoff return avg. 1 22
Opp. punt return avg. 5 7
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 28 25
Time of possession 8 6
In their previous matchup, both punters, St. Louis' Mike Horan (44.8 avg.) and New Orleans' Tommy Barnhardt (44.3), had excellent afternoons. In the return game, Rams KOR Tony Horne provided all the fireworks with a 64-yard effort. New Orleans' cover teams have not played up to expectations the past few weeks and it's possible Ditka will put starters in more prominent roles to contain Horne and PR Az Hakim. Former Ram and current Saints PR Eddie Kennison has struggled all season with a long of just 18 yards and he would like nothing better than to break out of his year-long slump on Sunday. That could be tough to do against a Rams coverage unit that is holding opposing return men to just 7.1 yards per attempt.

Key matchups
  • St. Louis LOT Orlando Pace vs. New Orleans RDE Brady Smith
    The only way the Saints have a chance of slowing down the Rams is if they put pressure on QB Warner. Smith, who was shut down by Atlanta's Bob Whitfield last week, has the speed to get pressure off the edge but Pace is playing like a rock at left tackle.

  • St. Louis WR Issac Bruce vs. New Orleans DC Ashley Ambrose
    Bruce will test Ambrose on plenty of crossing routes this Sunday. Ambrose must hold up on his own because there will be little help behind him in nickel and dime situations. If Ambrose doesn't hold up his end of the bargain, the Saints secondary has little chance on Sunday.

  • New Orleans LOT Willie Roaf vs. St. Louis RDE Grant Wistrom
    Kevin Carter has received all the recognition but the Saints can't afford to ignore Wistrom on the right side. Roaf is coming off a great effort versus Atlanta's Chuck Smith but must be aware of the many stunts that Wistrom runs with DT Farr.

    St. Louis will win if...
  • They continue to be imaginative on offense. Offensive coordinator Mike Martz seems to add a new wrinkle every week. The Saints will have this offense well-scouted but look for Martz to burn them with something.

  • The inside triangle of Farr, Agnew, and London play strong against the run. RB's Williams and Smith didn't play last week but the Saints received a strong effort from Perry. With the QB situation again on shaky ground, expect Ditka to stick to the ground game.

  • They tackle better than they did a week ago. The Rams had trouble with Biakabutuka last week and the Saints' RBs have the ability to break tackles. Against an undermanned Saints team, Dick Vermeil's team can't afford to let sloppy tackling allow the Saints to hang around.

    New Orleans will win if...

  • They continue to run the ball effectively. The Saints have one of the better offensive lines that the Rams will face all season and they must control the clock in order to keep St. Louis' explosive offense off the field. The play of backup RBs Perry and Smith allows the Saints to have fresh legs in the backfield at all times.

  • Make some big plays on offense early. The Rams have played tough second-half defense all season so the Saints can't count on too many points after halftime. If Wuerffel is forced to start, his lack of arm strength will limit the Saints' passing game on Sunday.

  • They are able to pressure Warner with their front four. St. Louis extensive multiple-receiver sets will force the Saints into plenty of nickel and dime defenses, limiting their blitz packages. If Martin, Glover & Co. don't get the job done up front, it will be another long day for coach Ditka.

    The War Room edge
    The Rams must remain focused after clinching the division title last week. To their credit, Mike Ditka's team has yet to give up their season but they have shown signs of frustration the past few weeks. The Saints typically hang close for a half and then their lack of talent surfaces after intermission. The same will be the case on Sunday. Look for New Orleans to play tough defense early but Kurt Warner will eventually get hot. St. Louis inches closer to home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


  •   ESPN INSIDER
    Copyright 1995-99 ESPN/Starwave Partners d/b/a ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form. ESPN.com Privacy Policy. Use of this site signifies your agreement to the Terms of Service.