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| Thursday, August 31 ESPN.com | ||||||||||||
| WEEK: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
Jaguars (3-1) at Jets (1-3)
Why to watch:
Who to watch:
Although Jacksonville's offense seems out of sync, the Jags' 1999 numbers compare quite nicely to their 1998 totals. The Jaguars are averaging 24.5 points per game after scoring 24.75 per contest last season. Jacksonville is actually gaining more yards per game this year, 332.8 to 325.9 yards. Of course, those stats could be skewed a bit by Jacksonville's 41-3 rout of San Francisco in Week 1.
Jets' numbers to know:
What it means: Jacksonville still hasn't exploded yet. Even though the Jaguars scored a lot of points against the Niners, they haven't shown what they are capable of offensively. There's talk of some friction between Tom Coughlin and Mark Brunell, and that could continue because Coughlin is stubborn and Brunell is a pro. But they need to get some rhythm going. It will happen, but it's a matter of when. The offensive line, the running game, the quarterback and the receivers are too good to allow the Jags' struggles to continue. I wouldn't want to defend Jacksonville. Fred Taylor is still ailing with a hamstring problem, but James Stewart has filled in nicely. The Jaguars don't need to change anything; they just need to execute a little better with the talent they have. While the offense has struggled, the Jags defense has gotten better. Defensive coordinator Dom Capers will attack Rick Mirer, who's gaining some confidence. Capers had better get to Mirer before Bill Parcells does. Why? Parcells is good at getting quarterbacks to believe in themselves. Capers will do everything he can to confuse Mirer. The Jags should use a man blitz against Mirer one time to make him throw a fade, and zone blitz him the next time to make him throw into zone coverage. Then, I'd play a soft zone to see if Mirer can sit back in the pocket and beat me. The Jags also need to stunt and blitz because they don't want Curtis Martin to get 36 carries. If he does, the Jets will be in the game.
Jets' game plan: Keyshawn Johnson and Dedric Ward are capable of making big plays all the time, but I don't expect the Jets to try for too many big plays, not with Mirer at quarterback. I expect them to play conservatively and hand the ball to Martin. If he has more than 30 carries, New York will be in good shape. Pittsburgh had good success against the Jaguars offense last week, holding Brunell to 10-for-25 passing for 85 yards. The Jets defense, smarting from the losses of linebacker Chad Cascadden and cornerback Otis Smith, will have to play physical. A finesse defense can't beat the Jaguars, who look like a finesse offense but are physical up front. The Jets need to hit them, get the Jaguars out of rhythm early and try to cause some turnovers, like a Brunell fumble. It all starts with the quarterback, and Brunell was out of sync early against the Steelers last week. The Jets need to confuse Brunell and force him to miss his targets in the first quarter. First, though, the Jets must put Brunell in predictable passing situations by stalling the Jaguars' running game on first down. The Jags have great weapons on the outside in Jimmy Smith and Keenan McCardell, but stopping Stewart and Taylor on first down is the key, because it can put the Jets in a favorable defensive situation to come after Brunell.
Pivotal Player: | ALSO SEE
Week 5 injury reportWeek 5 picks | |||||||||||