<
>
EXCLUSIVE CONTENT
Get ESPN+

Baltimore Orioles midseason betting report

Mark Trumbo's bat has helped the Baltimore Orioles to their surprise standing atop the AL East. Rob Carr/Getty Images

Editor's note: After a busy first half of the 2016 MLB season, Joe Peta takes a look at both the good and bad for all 30 teams to find overvalued and undervalued clubs from a betting perspective. He also projects each team's second half. This is the entry for the Baltimore Orioles.

Records reflect all games played through Sunday. All statistics are through each team's 81st game. Season-to-date pricing adds the implied win probability from the money line of each team's first 81 games and converts it to 162 games.


Baltimore Orioles

Vegas projection: 78.5 wins
My projection: 74 wins
Current record/pace: 51-36 (95-win pace)
Season-to-date pricing: 83.6 wins

What's gone right: The battle cry "Nobody believes in us" is a terribly overused motivational crutch,