Pittsburgh and Baltimore fans are forgiven for wondering if the concept of home-field advantage truly exists in the NFL. It certainly doesn't seem to exist in this hard-fought division rivalry. Since 2010, the Ravens are 6-5 in Pittsburgh, including a 26-14 win five weeks ago. In that same time period, the Steelers are 5-3 in Baltimore. These teams also tend to play tight games, giving Pittsburgh an even stronger chance of a cover or push even if the Steelers don't win outright; over half of Ravens-Steelers contests since 2010 were decided by three or fewer points. The underdog is 11-7-1 against the spread in those 19 games, and 8-11 straight up.
Upset Watch: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-3)
Right now, Baltimore is the superior team in Football Outsiders' DVOA ratings (ninth vs. Pittsburgh at No. 13), but