Jalen Hurts, C.J. Stroud and Jalen Carter extended their leads in various awards markets. However, the coach of the year market became cloudier after three of the top four favorites lost. Here are how the awards markets shake up entering Week 13.
MVP
Favorite: Jalen Hurts (+150)
Last week's favorite: Hurts (+225)
Jalen Hurts now has the shortest odds of anyone all season in the MVP market, as he is now +150. ESPN Analytics gives the Eagles a 74% chance to get the 1 seed in the NFC, and they are two games clear of any other team. As the starting quarterback of the team heavily favored to have the NFL's best record, Hurts is a strong candidate, despite not having elite passing stats.
Dak Prescott's odds moved from +1500 to +800 after another strong game. He is now second in the NFL in passing touchdowns behind Josh Allen. The issue for Prescott is that the Cowboys are +700 longshots to win the NFC East. Assuming the Cowboys beat the Seahawks this week, the Cowboys host Hurts and the Eagles on Sunday night in Week 14, a game which Prescott may need to pass Hurts.
Lamar Jackson (+400) is on bye this week, and he trails Hurts both statistically and in the win-loss column. Patrick Mahomes (+400) has the best chance to win the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but his numbers pale in comparison to past seasons.
Offensive Player of the Year
Favorites: Christian McCaffrey/Tyreek Hill (+100)
Last week's favorite: Hill (+105)
Hill and McCaffrey are both even-money to win this award as A.J. Brown and CeeDee Lamb's paces have slowed. Both are at least 250 yards and three touchdowns behind Hill. That makes this a two-man race between Hill and McCaffrey. Hill thrived against the Jets' vaunted secondary last week, and he is on pace for a record 2,046 receiving yards.
McCaffrey has only 15 fewer scrimmage yards than McCaffrey, but he has six more touchdowns. This vote will likely come down to whether voters prefer Hill likely breaking records, or McCaffrey's accumulation of yards and touchdowns.
Defensive Player of the Year
Favorite: Myles Garrett (+145)
Last week's favorite: Garrett (+110)
Myles Garrett remains the Defensive Player of the Year favorite, but his candidacy took two small blows. First, Garrett suffered a shoulder injury, which does not appear serious, but could slow him down. Second, Browns QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson's concussion could affect the Browns' playoff chances, which could hinder Garrett's case down the road.
The other big news in this market was the addition of DaRon Bland to the market at 11-1. Bland broke the record for most pick-sixes in a single season last week with five. While Bland's odds will likely drift if he does not score more touchdowns, he has the potential to cut into Micah Parsons' vote share among voters trying to reward the Cowboys.
Coach of the Year
Favorite: Dan Campbell (+160)
Last week's favorite: Campbell (+150)
Outside of MVP, perhaps no market saw more interesting results in Week 12 than Coach of the Year. Each of the two favorites lost in Dan Campbell and DeMeco Ryans, yet both barely saw any movement in their odds. The same is true with fourth favorite Kevin O'Connell (+900). Colts coach Shane Steichen moved up slightly, as he is now tied for the fifth favorite (+1000). The big riser was Sean Payton, who moved from 50-1 to 16-1. Payton and Ryans face each other this week in a high-leverage matchup among the coaches chasing Campbell.
One longshot to watch this week is Rams coach Sean McVay, who is 100-1. The Rams are +240 to make the playoffs after going 5-12 last season, and this week, the Rams are favored by more than a field goal against the Browns. With a win, McVay's Rams will be tied with O'Connell's Vikings for the last playoff spot in the NFC.
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Favorite: C.J. Stroud (-10000)
Last week's favorite: Stroud (-3000)
C.J. Stroud is almost at the point where he does not need to play another down to win this award. Bryce Young is currently on pace for fewer passing yards than Stroud has right now.
This race is essentially over.
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Favorite: Jalen Carter (-250)
Last week's favorite: Carter (-165)
Carter extended his Defensive Rookie of the Year odds lead to -250 after blocking a field goal last week. No player has run away with this award statistically, and even the second favorite, Devon Witherspoon, is losing steam as the Seahawks have lost two straight heading into road matchups against the Cowboys and 49ers. Carter's lack of counting stats leaves this award still there for the taking, but we are running out of time.
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