NBA Finals Forecast: Predicting the champs and MVP

Who will win the fourth matchup between the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers? How many games will the series go?

Our ESPN Forecast panel predicts the NBA Finals and MVP winner.

Warriors vs. Cavaliers

Likelihood of winning series

• ESPN Forecast: Warriors 81 percent likely to win; Cavaliers 19 percent

• Basketball Power Index: Warriors (91 percent)

• FiveThirtyEight: Warriors (77 percent)

• Fan panel: Warriors (76 percent)

More:

• 5-on-5: How far can LeBron carry the Cavs in this Finals rematch?

• Why Round 4 of Warriors-Cavs deserves our appreciation

• The Undefeated: Tyronn Lue reflects on the NBA Finals, LeBron's greatness, and his love of Shirley Temples

• Warriors hugely favored over Cavs in Finals

• Sources: Iguodala gets second opinion on knee

• The Undefeated: The reigning champs are headed back to the Finals

• FiveThirtyEight: This Eastern Conference crown is truly LeBron's masterpiece

• Dan Gilbert: Focus on Finals, not LeBron's future

Game 1: Thursday | 9 p.m. ET, ABC/WatchESPN

Who will win Finals MVP?

Recent winners:

• Kevin Durant (2017)

• LeBron James (2016)

• Andre Iguodala (2015)

To join the fan panel, click here. ESPN Forecast is conducted in collaboration with The Wharton School and Microsoft Research.