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Fantasy basketball tips and projections for Thursday

Dante Exum has enjoyed a career resurgence on the Dallas Mavericks as he sees increased playing time with Kyrie Irving out. AP Photo/Brandon Dill

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data, featuring ESPN's proprietary Basketball Power Index (BPI) to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. Fantasy advice is based on ESPN 10-team leagues.

New this season, ESPN Analytics will also generate daily NBA fantasy projections. By combining historical player and team data and specific game factors ESPN is able to accurately predict player box score stats. Accounting for injuries, trends in playing time, and other factors impacting future performance the statistical models can be used to help NBA fantasy players gain an edge in their league.


What you need to know for Thursday's games

A busy Wednesday in the league featured a new career scoring peak for Giannis Antetokounmpo in a drama-filled win over Indiana. Veteran forward Bojan Bogdanovic (46.5%) scored 33 points in a loss to the Sixers. While Bogdanovic is likely trade candidate for a lottery-bound Detroit team, he could sustain scoring and shooting value if the right destination materializes.

Two young forwards that shined on Wednesday merit mention; Houston's Tari Eason (4.8%) tied a career-high in rebounds over the past two games (14), while the Pelicans' Trey Murphy III (19.0%) erupted for 27 points on just 10 shots and posted a +43 net rating in a win over Washington.

Thursday offers a seemingly fun seven-game schedule.

The marquee fantasy matchup is found in Sacramento with the Kings hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder in a game with an inviting total of 243.5 points. Not only is this the highest number of the night, but it's also nearly 15 points higher than next-closest contest. Luguentz Dort (13.7%) and Malik Monk (36.8%) offer streaming paths to getting a piece of this matchup.

Wednesday night's slate opened with news Draymond Green's indefinite suspension, which through a fantasy lens, impacts and improves the fantasy stock for two forwards ahead of Warriors matchup with the Clippers and beyond.

Thursday offers a uniquely strong slate mix of opportunity and talent as you'll read in the Stream Team section below.


Thursday's Stream Team

This segment nominates three key streaming options ahead of that day's action. A streamer, by our standards, is a player available in at least half of ESPN men's basketball leagues.

Coby White, PG/SG, Chicago Bulls (59.5%)

The market is finally getting an idea of how good White has been over the past several weeks. He has provided the most added value via 3-point production on the Player Rater over the past two weeks. Miami's defense isn't as imposing without Bam Adebayo and White has already produced twice against the Heat this season.

Dante Exum, PG/SG, Dallas Mavericks (13.9%)

An amazing story is unfolding in Dallas. Exum has found his way back into the league and is thriving as a two-way playmaker for the Mavericks. With Kyrie Irving sidelined, Exum's ascension should continue against the Timberwolves.

Malik Monk, SG/SF (36.8%), Sacramento Kings

Monk is one of the league's top microwaves in the tradition of Jamal Crawford and Lou Williams. He brings some fun defensive and playmaking rates to the floor for Thursday's matchup with Lu Dort and the Thunder.

Dereck Lively II, C, Dallas Mavericks (28.3%)

The Mavericks had a fairly brilliant offseason, including drafting Lively. The rookie big man is playing big minutes and is the team's best rebounder, roll man and rim protector. He will have an interesting matchup on Thursday night with a Minnesota team stocked at the position.

Jonathan Kuminga, SF/PF, Golden State Warriors (13.5%)

Let's also include Dario Saric (8.5%) in this section since both Kuminga and Saric will see a leap in playing time with Green sidelined. The Clippers lack frontcourt athleticism and size at forward, setting up Kuminga with a nice matchup Thursday evening.


Projections and Injury Reports

Fantasy projections powered by ESPN Analytics.* Projections assume all players who are listed as GTD will play. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Players available in at least 50% of ESPN leagues are listed in italics.


Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics
7:30 p.m. TD Garden, Boston


BPI Projection: Celtics in the 7th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Cavaliers: Ricky Rubio, (OUT - Personal); Evan Mobley, (OUT - Knee); Ty Jerome, (OUT - Ankle)
Celtics: Jaylen Brown, (GTD - Ankle)

Cavaliers projections:

  • Donovan Mitchell, PG/SG: 45.7 FPTS (26.8 pts, 5.2 reb, 5.3 ast, 3.0 3PM)

  • Darius Garland, PG: 37.4 FPTS (22.0 pts, 3.0 reb, 6.2 ast, 1.8 3PM)

  • Max Strus, SG/SF: 28.5 FPTS (12.4 pts, 4.9 reb, 3.5 ast, 2.6 3PM)

  • Jarrett Allen, C: 22.8 FPTS (10.3 pts, 7.4 reb, 1.9 ast)

  • Caris LeVert, SG/SF: 20.6 FPTS (10.5 pts, 2.7 reb, 2.7 ast)

  • Dean Wade, PF: 14.2 FPTS (3.9 pts, 5.0 reb, 0.8 ast)

  • Isaac Okoro, SG/SF: 13.7 FPTS (6.7 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.2 ast)

Celtics projections:


Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat
7:30 p.m. Kaseya Center, Miami


BPI Projection: Heat in the 6th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Bulls: Lonzo Ball, (OUT - Knee); Alex Caruso, (GTD - Ankle); Zach LaVine, (OUT - Foot)
Heat: Dru Smith, (OUT - Knee); Bam Adebayo, (GTD - Hip); Haywood Highsmith, (GTD - Back); Josh Richardson, (GTD - Head); Tyler Herro, (GTD - Ankle)

Bulls projections:

Heat projections:


Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks
8:30 p.m. American Airlines Center, Dallas


BPI Projection: Timberwolves in the 4th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Timberwolves: Jaylen Clark, (OUT - Achilles); Anthony Edwards, (GTD - Hip); Jaden McDaniels, (GTD - Ankle); Jordan McLaughlin, (GTD - Knee)
Mavericks: Derrick Jones Jr., (GTD - Quadriceps); Seth Curry, (GTD - Ankle); Tim Hardaway Jr., (GTD - Back); Kyrie Irving, (OUT - Heel); Maxi Kleber, (OUT - Toe); Josh Green, (OUT - Elbow)

Timberwolves projections:

Mavericks projections:


Brooklyn Nets at Denver Nuggets
9 p.m. Ball Arena, Denver


BPI Projection: Nuggets in the 5th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Nets: Dennis Smith Jr., (GTD - Back); Ben Simmons, (OUT - Back); Lonnie Walker IV, (OUT - Hamstring)
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar, (OUT - Knee); Jamal Murray, (GTD - Ankle); Jay Huff, (GTD - Leg); Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, (OUT - Concussion)

Nets projections:

Nuggets projections:


Utah Jazz at Portland Trail Blazers
10 p.m. Moda Center, Portland


BPI Projection: Blazers in the 2nd highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Jazz: John Collins, (GTD - Illness); Luka Samanic, (GTD - Illness); Keyonte George, (OUT - Foot); Jordan Clarkson, (OUT - Hamstring)
Blazers: Robert Williams III, (OUT - Knee); Deandre Ayton, (GTD - Knee); Ish Wainright, (GTD - Knee); Malcolm Brogdon, (GTD - Knee); Jerami Grant, (OUT - Concussion)

Jazz projections:

Blazers projections:


Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings
10 p.m. Golden 1 Center, Sacramento


BPI Projection: Thunder in the highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Thunder: None reported
Kings: Trey Lyles, (GTD - Illness); Alex Len, (OUT - Ankle)

Thunder projections:

Kings projections:


Golden State Warriors at LA Clippers
10:30 p.m. Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles


BPI Projection: Clippers in the 3rd highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Warriors: Draymond Green, (OUT - Suspension); Gary Payton II, (OUT - Calf)
Clippers: Mason Plumlee, (OUT - Knee); Brandon Boston Jr., (GTD - Illness); Paul George, (GTD - Groin); Joshua Primo, (OUT - Knee); Moussa Diabate, (OUT - Hip)

Warriors projections:

Clippers projections:

  • Paul George, SG/SF/PF: 44.2 FPTS (23.9 pts, 6.0 reb, 4.4 ast, 3.0 3PM)

  • Kawhi Leonard, SF/PF: 43.6 FPTS (24.7 pts, 5.8 reb, 4.1 ast, 2.1 3PM)

  • James Harden, PG/SG: 38.5 FPTS (16.3 pts, 5.0 reb, 6.7 ast, 2.2 3PM)

  • Ivica Zubac, C: 28.6 FPTS (14.0 pts, 10.5 reb, 1.3 ast, 1.9 blk)

  • Russell Westbrook, PG: 24.1 FPTS (11.0 pts, 5.1 reb, 4.0 ast)

  • Terance Mann, SG/SF: 18.4 FPTS (8.3 pts, 3.9 reb, 1.6 ast)

  • Norman Powell, SG/SF: 17.7 FPTS (10.9 pts, 2.1 reb, 1.1 ast)