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Where FPI sees a Week 5 college football edge vs. the spread

The betting market and our Football Power Index (FPI) often agree -- but not always. Each week, we'll highlight some of the instances in which our model significantly disagrees with the spread. We're looking at not only which side FPI feels is the right side but also why.

2019 ATS record: 7-15
2019 closing line value: 16-5-1

All lines from Caesars Sportsbook as of Sept. 24.


Virginia Cavaliers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-12.5)

3:30 p.m. ET Saturday

FPI prediction: