Editor's note: After a busy first half of the 2016 MLB season, Joe Peta takes a look at both the good and bad for all 30 teams to find overvalued and undervalued clubs from a betting perspective. He also projects each team's second half. This is the entry for the Miami Marlins.
Records reflect all games played through Sunday. All statistics are through each team's 81st game. Season-to-date pricing adds the implied win probability from the money line of each team's first 81 games and converts it to 162 games.
Miami Marlins
Vegas projection: 78.5 wins
My projection: 85 wins
Current record/pace: 47-41 (87-win pace)
Season-to-date pricing: 82.5 Wins
What's gone right: Threatening to become the Jon Snow and Arya Stark of the House of Marlins, Giancarlo Stanton and Jose Fernandez finally had some scenes together for the first time in years. Fernandez has already made 16 starts and thrown 100 innings, and Stanton was on the field for each and every one of them. Even though Stanton hasn't been very good for much of the season, it hasn't mattered, because the rest of the offense has been very, very good.