Fantasy basketball tips and projections for Monday

P.J. Washington should be primed for another big night, coming off his 43-point performance over the weekend. Photo by Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images

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New this season, ESPN Analytics will also generate daily NBA fantasy projections. By combining historical player and team data and specific game factors ESPN is able to accurately predict player box score stats. Accounting for injuries, trends in playing time, and other factors impacting future performance the statistical models can be used to help NBA fantasy players gain an edge in their league.

What you need to know for Monday's games

The NBA schedule featured five games on Sunday with some defining outcomes including the Detroit Pistons securing a rare victory over one of the league's elite teams, the Oklahoma City Thunder. Another indelible moment featured Atlanta Hawks forward Saddiq Bey hitting the game-winning shot in a much-needed win over the Toronto Raptors.

Bey, who is a free agent in nearly 80% of ESPN leagues, delivered season highs in scoring (26) and rebounds (13), including the clutch offensive tip-in. Not only does he have at least seven boards in five straight games, but Bey appears unlikely to be dealt at the looming deadline. With Atlanta seemingly open to moving other key contributors from the rotation in the coming days, Bey could actually improve on his already rising role in the weeks ahead.

Sunday also saw Vince Williams Jr. (31% rostered) produce another strong line for the Memphis Grizzlies. With the Grizzlies beset by a wave of injuries, Williams earns another streaming endorsement given what should be rewarding creation duties against the Sacramento Kings this evening.

We open this week with Monday's busy 11-game slate. One of the first tips of the night has the Charlotte Hornets hosting the New York Knicks in the wake of Julius Randle's shoulder injury over this past weekend. We're still waiting for more clarity regarding the severity and timeline, while we'll also want to watch how the rotation plays out this evening to glean some actionable fantasy information. An emergent member of the Hornets' frontcourt is mentioned in the streaming tier below.

Beyond learning more about Randle's situation, the injury news of the day is led by the likely return of Evan Mobley to the Cleveland Cavaliers and the reemergence of Ben Simmons for the Brooklyn Nets. Mobley remains rostered in the vast majority of leagues, but Simmons is available in roughly 60% of leagues, indicating there's some potential value if he can regain form as a playmaker, defender and rebounder.

The marquee matchups of the night are the Minnesota Timberwolves visiting the Thunder in a game with implications for the Western Conference's top seed and the Milwaukee Bucks, led by their new head coach Doc Rivers, facing the Denver Nuggets. It will be interesting to see how Rivers deploys the Bucks' veteran rotation against the reigning champs.

However, a key matchup for fantasy managers should be Monday night's tilt between the Washington Wizards and the San Antonio Spurs. Both rosters present widely-available waiver wire options to consider ahead of this busy night of basketball.

Monday's Stream Team

This segment nominates three key streaming options ahead of that day's action. A streamer, by our standards, is a player available in at least half of ESPN men's basketball leagues.

P.J. Washington PF, Charlotte Hornets (61.1% rostered in ESPN leagues)

Fresh a career-high scoring night, setting a franchise mark for the most points off bench, Washington's 43-point opus over the weekend signals momentum in a matchup against a New York Knicks team that will likely be shorthanded in the frontcourt.

Vince Williams Jr., SG/SF, Grizzlies (31.0%): Slashing for 17.4 points, 6.9 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 2.6 3-pointers, and strong defensive rates over his past eight games, all starts, Williams is a rewarding plug-and-play move to start the new week of action.

Marvin Bagley III, PF/C (14.7%) and Deni Avdija, SF/PF, Washington Wizards (36.8%)

This tandem could both deliver nice lines against a Spurs defense that allows plenty of rebounds and points to opponents. Bagley's role in the rotation is more fluid and offers real double-double upside, while Avdija has the potential to produce across multiple statistical categories.

Harrison Barnes, SF/PF, Sacramento Kings (29.1%):

Barnes has been splashing shots from all over the floor lately, scoring 91 points across his past three games. Facing a Mavericks team with a generous perimeter defense on Monday night, Barnes is a savvy streaming play given his recent run of big games.

Tim Hardaway Jr., SG/SF, Dallas Mavericks (26.8%)

As the resident floor-spacer for the Mavericks, Hardaway's shot profile appears even richer with Kyrie Irving sidelined for yet another game. The Kings lack defensive stoppers at the wing, setting up this high-volume shooter with a high ceiling. For the Spurs, Jeremy Sochan (26.8%) provides similar versatility for fantasy managers to consider.

Projections and Injury Reports

Fantasy projections powered by ESPN Analytics* Projections assume all players who are listed as GTD will play. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Players available in at least 50% of ESPN leagues are listed in italics.

New York Knicks at Charlotte Hornets
7 p.m. Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC

BPI Projection: Knicks in the 10th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Knicks: Duane Washington Jr., (OUT - Thumb); Julius Randle, (OUT - Shoulder); Mitchell Robinson, (OUT - Ankle)
Hornets: Frank Ntilikina, (GTD - Hip); LaMelo Ball, (GTD - Ankle); Gordon Hayward, (OUT - Calf); Mark Williams, (OUT - Back); Kyle Lowry, (OUT - Not Injury Related)

Knicks projections:

Hornets projections:

LA Clippers at Cleveland Cavaliers
7 p.m. Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland

BPI Projection: Clippers in the 7th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Clippers: Jordan Miller, (GTD - Achilles); Moussa Diabate, (OUT - Hand); Ivica Zubac, (OUT - Calf)
Cavaliers: Donovan Mitchell, (GTD - Groin); Evan Mobley, (GTD - Knee); Darius Garland, (OUT - Jaw); Tristan Thompson, (OUT - Suspension); Ty Jerome, (OUT - Ankle)

Clippers projections:

Cavaliers projections:

  • Donovan Mitchell, PG/SG: 51.4 FPTS (28.0 pts, 4.7 reb, 6.6 ast, 3.2 3PM)

  • Jarrett Allen, C: 35.0 FPTS (15.5 pts, 10.3 reb, 3.5 ast)

  • Caris LeVert, SG/SF: 26.8 FPTS (14.4 pts, 3.1 reb, 3.7 ast, 1.9 3PM)

  • Max Strus, SG/SF: 26.7 FPTS (12.4 pts, 4.0 reb, 3.4 ast, 2.6 3PM)

  • Sam Merrill, SG: 19.5 FPTS (9.6 pts, 3.2 reb, 1.7 ast, 2.6 3PM)

  • Isaac Okoro, SG/SF: 18.3 FPTS (9.6 pts, 3.5 reb, 1.6 ast)

  • Georges Niang, PF: 17.6 FPTS (10.0 pts, 3.4 reb, 1.1 ast, 2.0 3PM)

New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics
7:30 p.m. TD Garden, Boston

BPI Projection: Celtics in the 5th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Pelicans: None reported
Celtics: Al Horford, (GTD - Neck); Kristaps Porzingis, (GTD - Ankle); Luke Kornet, (GTD - Hamstring)

Pelicans projections:

Celtics projections:

Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets
7:30 p.m. Barclays Center, New York

BPI Projection: Jazz in the 3rd highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Jazz: None reported
Nets: Ben Simmons, (NA - Back); Day'Ron Sharpe, (OUT - Knee); Dorian Finney-Smith, (OUT - Ankle); Dariq Whitehead, (OUT - Lower Leg)

Jazz projections:

Nets projections:

Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat
7:30 p.m. Kaseya Center, Miami

BPI Projection: Heat in the 11th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Suns: Bol Bol, (GTD - Foot); Jusuf Nurkic, (GTD - Thumb); Damion Lee, (OUT - Knee)
Heat: Dru Smith, (OUT - Knee)

Suns projections:

  • Devin Booker, PG/SG/PF: 50.0 FPTS (29.0 pts, 5.0 reb, 6.8 ast, 2.1 3PM)

  • Kevin Durant, SF/PF: 49.9 FPTS (29.2 pts, 6.2 reb, 6.0 ast, 1.8 3PM)

  • Bradley Beal, PG/SG: 36.6 FPTS (20.6 pts, 4.3 reb, 4.4 ast)

  • Grayson Allen, SG: 26.3 FPTS (12.0 pts, 4.3 reb, 3.0 ast, 2.2 3PM)

  • Jusuf Nurkic, C: 25.7 FPTS (11.0 pts, 8.4 reb, 3.1 ast)

  • Eric Gordon, SG/SF: 19.1 FPTS (9.7 pts, 1.8 reb, 1.9 ast, 2.0 3PM)

  • Josh Okogie, SG/SF: 13.4 FPTS (6.2 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.3 ast)

Heat projections:

Los Angeles Lakers at Houston Rockets
8 p.m. Toyota Center, Houston

BPI Projection: Rockets in the 9th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Lakers: Anthony Davis, (GTD - Achilles); LeBron James, (GTD - Ankle); Cam Reddish, (OUT - Ankle); Gabe Vincent, (OUT - Knee)
Rockets: Tari Eason, (OUT - Lower Leg); Victor Oladipo, (OUT - Knee)

Lakers projections:

Rockets projections:

Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies
8 p.m. FedExForum, Memphis

BPI Projection: Kings in the 6th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Kings: Sasha Vezenkov, (GTD - Ankle)
Grizzlies: Derrick Rose, (GTD - Hamstring); Luke Kennard, (GTD - Knee); Jake LaRavia, (OUT - Ankle); Brandon Clarke, (OUT - Achilles); Marcus Smart, (OUT - Finger); Desmond Bane, (OUT - Ankle); Ja Morant, (OUT - Shoulder); Steven Adams, (OUT - Knee)

Kings projections:

  • Domantas Sabonis, PF/C: 45.2 FPTS (20.0 pts, 11.5 reb, 7.3 ast)

  • De'Aaron Fox, PG: 45.1 FPTS (27.0 pts, 4.2 reb, 5.3 ast, 3.0 3PM)

  • Keegan Murray, SF/PF: 27.8 FPTS (14.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.3 ast, 2.5 3PM)

  • Kevin Huerter, SG/SF: 25.2 FPTS (12.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 2.1 ast, 2.1 3PM)

  • Malik Monk, SG/SF: 24.9 FPTS (12.4 pts, 2.4 reb, 4.2 ast, 2.1 3PM)

  • Harrison Barnes, SF/PF: 23.0 FPTS (12.8 pts, 3.1 reb, 1.1 ast, 1.9 3PM)

  • Trey Lyles, PF: 15.5 FPTS (7.1 pts, 3.9 reb, 1.0 ast)

Grizzlies projections:

Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder
8 p.m. Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

BPI Projection: Thunder in the 4th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Timberwolves: Mike Conley, (GTD - Hamstring); Jaylen Clark, (OUT - Achilles)
Thunder: Tre Mann, (GTD - Not Injury Related)

Timberwolves projections:

Thunder projections:

Washington Wizards at San Antonio Spurs
8 p.m. Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

BPI Projection: Spurs in the 2nd highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Wizards: Isaiah Livers, (OUT - Hip)
Spurs: Zach Collins, (GTD - Ankle); Charles Bassey, (OUT - Knee)

Wizards projections:

Spurs projections:

Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks
8:30 p.m. American Airlines Center, Dallas

BPI Projection: Mavericks in the 8th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Magic: Markelle Fultz, (GTD - Knee); Gary Harris, (OUT - Calf)
Mavericks: Dante Exum, (GTD - Knee); Derrick Jones Jr., (GTD - Wrist); Dwight Powell, (GTD - Eye); Maxi Kleber, (GTD - Toe); Kyrie Irving, (OUT - Thumb)

Magic projections:

Mavericks projections:

Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets
9 p.m. Ball Arena, Denver

BPI Projection: Nuggets in the highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo, (GTD - Illness)
Nuggets: Julian Strawther, (OUT - Knee); Vlatko Cancar, (OUT - Knee)

Bucks projections:

Nuggets projections:

Philadelphia 76ers at Portland Trail Blazers
10 p.m. Moda Center, Portland

BPI Projection: 76ers in the 12th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
76ers: Joel Embiid, (GTD - Knee); Tobias Harris, (GTD - Illness); Tyrese Maxey, (GTD - Ankle); Kenneth Lofton Jr., (OUT - Personal); De'Anthony Melton, (OUT - Back); Robert Covington, (OUT - Knee)
Blazers: Shaedon Sharpe, (OUT - Abdomen); Moses Brown, (OUT - Wrist); Robert Williams III, (OUT - Knee)

76ers projections:

Blazers projections: