Football Power Index (FPI) entering this weekend.
There is a 28% chance that the winner of the NFC East will have just six or fewer wins, according to FPI. In 13 of FPI's 20,000 simulations this morning, a team won the division with just *four* wins (11 of those were the Eagles, with one apiece of the Giants and Washington). In one simulation the Chiefs won 15 games and the entire NFC East won 14 games combined.
2020 NFL pass-rushing, run-stopping, blocking leaderboard: Win rate rankings
ESPN Analytics created revolutionary new metrics to measure performance in both the run and pass game. Here are the leaders for the 2020 season.
No team's playoff chances dropped more yesterday than Georgia, but the Bulldogs still are one of the five teams with the best chance to earn a playoff selection.
The Cowboys dropped all the way to 26th in FPI's rankings upon the loss of quarterback Dak Prescott (and below expectation performance vs. the Giants). However, Dallas remains the NFC East favorite, with a 48% chance to win the division.
Here's the nullified Giants touchdown, via Next Gen Stats dots. Engram was all alone at the snap.
Which team is most likely to recover from damaging Week 6 loss?
The Allstate Playoff Predictor -- like all of college football -- underwent a shake-up after some surprising Week 6 results.
Rookie Tyler Biadasz actually ranks fourth in pass block win rate among centers thus far this season. A very large caveat though: he's been part of a double-team on 92% of his pass blocks, the highest rate for any qualifying center. >>ESPN pass blocking metrics are powered by NFL Next Gen Stats data.
On 4th and 4 from the Rams' 48 with 9:46 left in the game, the Giants punted. ESPN's win probability model disagreed with that decision. WP go: 35.7% WP punt: 33.3% Giants would have needed to think they had at least a 34% chance to convert to justify going for it. Average conversion rate in that situation is 46%.
Which top-5 team can least afford a loss this coming week?
Here's what the Allstate Playoff Predictor has to say about the CFP chase after the first four weeks of action.
With its schedule now released, the Pac-12 is debuting two teams on the Allstate Playoff Predictor's list of the top 10 most likely teams to reach the playoff. Oregon is the sixth-most likely team to get in -- with a 31% chance -- and USC is the 10th-most likely with a 13% shot. Ohio State leads all teams with a 69% chance.
Who has the best chance to make the 2021 College Football Playoff?
Here's what the Allstate Playoff Predictor has to say about the CFP chase after the first three weeks of action.