Does it feel like analytics folks never praise a trade up? Never say never, because the deal the Browns made with Carolina in the second-round was justifiable and then some. Cleveland paid just a 5% premium to move up -- the cheapest trade up of the day thus far -- in order to take a Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah. Entering the draft, the Draft Day Predictor gave Owusu-Koramoah a 97% chance to be selected in the first round. Strong move.
Range of outcomes for the top edge rushers, via ESPN's Draft Day Predictor. For scale: Jaelan Phillips' "peak" is 13% chance to be selected at pick No. 18 (currently the Dolphins' selection).
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Based on ESPN's draft pick valuations, the Dolphins gained the equivalent of a mid-first round pick in extra value through its two trades today. That's working under the assumption that future picks end up as the 17th pick in their round, and without discounting the value of future selections relative to this year. And it’s also despite Miami actually giving up more value than it got back in its trade with the Eagles. Altogether though, Miami was a clear winner in terms of value today.
Corey Linsley to the Chargers is a major upgrade. Last season Dan Feeney ranked last in pass block win rate as a center, and second-to-last in run block win rate as a center. And the Chargers team blocking numbers weren't any better.