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Predicting White Sox' season record

Ron Vesely/MLB Photos/Getty Images

ESPN Chalk's Joe Peta is sharing his season win total projections for every MLB team, including a reason for optimism and pessimism.

Plus, he recommends an over/under play, or a pass. This is the entry for the Chicago White Sox.

Chicago White Sox

Reason for optimism: A year after bottoming out, the White Sox got better and younger. This offseason, they've added more talent.

Reason for pessimism: Adding talent to a .500 can produce a playoff team. For the White Sox, a lower starting point means it might produce a .500 team.

On the basis of run differential, the White Sox (minus-98) were the third-worst team in baseball last year behind only the Rangers (minus-136) and Diamondbacks (minus-127). Given that, it was somewhat shocking to see the White Sox, in early March, listed at Pinnacle Sports with lower odds to win the American League pennant than all but five other American League teams, including ahead of their Central division mates, the Indians and Royals, who appear to have better rosters.

Of course, the White Sox aren't playing the 2015 season with their 2014 roster, but as the run differential above shows, it'll take a whole bunch of marginal changes to turn them into the over-.500 team the win total markets are suggesting.