ESPN Chalk's Joe Peta is sharing his season win total projections for every MLB team, including a reason for optimism and pessimism. Plus, he recommends an over/under play, or a pass. This is the entry for the Colorado Rockies.
Colorado Rockies
Reason for optimism: The lineup is highest-scoring-in-the-league quality, even away from Coors, if everyone stays healthy.
Reason for pessimism: In the last six years, the Rockies have gotten one season of more than 150 games played from either Troy Tulowitzki or Carlos Gonzalez.
A team comprised completely of waiver-wire cast-offs and minor leaguers -- the conceptual replacement-level team -- would win roughly 50 games. Beyond theory, this makes empirical sense as well: Since any franchise could field a team using those parameters, no team should play below that level. Sure enough, since MLB went to a 162-game schedule in 1961, it's only happened two times (out of 1,416 team seasons) -- in 1962 (the immortal '62 Mets) and 2003 (Tigers). Therefore, since every team starts at 50 wins before you start assigning WAR values to individual players, the relevant question becomes, "How can a team like the Rockies only win 66 games in 2014?"