Editor's note: After a busy first half of the 2016 MLB season, Joe Peta takes a look at both the good and bad for all 30 teams to find overvalued and undervalued clubs from a betting perspective. He also projects each team's second half. This is the entry for the Philadelphia Phillies.
Records reflect all games played through Sunday. All statistics are through each team's 81st game. Season-to-date pricing adds the implied win probability from the money line of each team's first 81 games and converts it to 162 games.
Philadelphia Phillies
Vegas projection: 64.5 wins
My projection: 63 wins
Current record/pace: 42-48 (76-win pace)
Season-to-date pricing: 70.8 wins
What's gone right: When the Phillies got off to a 14-3 start in one-run games, that mark predictably came under fire as being fluky and obviously non-repeatable from baseball's grouchy sabermetric set.