Editor's note: After a busy first half of the 2016 MLB season, Joe Peta takes a look at both the good and bad for all 30 teams to find overvalued and undervalued clubs from a betting perspective. He also projects each team's second half. This is the entry for the St. Louis Cardinals.
Records are reflective of all games played through Sunday. All statistics are through each team's 81st game. Season-to-date pricing adds the implied win probability from the money line of each team's first 81 games and converts it to 162 games.
St. Louis Cardinals
Vegas projection: 87.5 wins
My projection: 82 wins
Current record/pace: 46-42 (85-win pace)
Season-to-date pricing: 88.5 wins
What's gone right: As chronicled in two years' worth of writing about St. Louis, the Cardinals had no business maintaining their level of regular-season success the past two seasons given the underlying performance of their offense.