Week 5 NFL Eliminator picks: Bills, Packers top favorites

Josh Allen threw for only 213 yards and one touchdown in Week 4 but should have a bounce-back game in Week 5 against a shaky Steelers defense. Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images

Eliminator Challenge is one of the simplest and most entertaining games during the NFL season. Pick one team to win each week. If that team wins, you advance to the next week. Lose once, and you're out. The only caveat is you cannot pick the same team twice.

While it sounds simple, getting a perfect season is always more difficult than it looks. The key is to find a good balance of picking winners while also keeping quality options open for future weeks.

Compared to the past few weeks, Week 5 looks much easier on paper. Six teams are favored by at least a touchdown after a total of nine were in the first four weeks combined. That includes the Buffalo Bills laying 14 points to the Pittsburgh Steelers, which is the largest spread so far this season.

However, each of the three biggest favorites have a lot more usable weeks in the future. The Bills still have two games left against the Jets among other options, while the Packers and Buccaneers are by far the two biggest favorites next week. As a result, my top choice for larger groups is Jacksonville, which combines a high chance to win and low future value. For smaller groups that may need to play all 18 weeks, the Bills are the top choice.