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Fantasy basketball tips and projections for Monday

Deni Avdija has become a focal point of the Washington Wizards offense assuming the role of point forward. Photo by Kenny Giarla/NBAE via Getty Images

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data, featuring ESPN's proprietary Basketball Power Index (BPI) to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. Fantasy advice is based on ESPN 10-team leagues.

New this season, ESPN Analytics will also generate daily NBA fantasy projections. By combining historical player and team data and specific game factors ESPN is able to accurately predict player box score stats. Accounting for injuries, trends in playing time, and other factors impacting future performance the statistical models can be used to help NBA fantasy players gain an edge in their league.


What you need to know for Monday's games

A nine-game Sunday schedule in the NBA included a welcome mix of star performances and big games from lesser-known players. At the intersection of these archetypes, RJ Barrett of the Toronto Raptors stood out with a season-high 37 points in a drubbing of the Golden State Warriors. Recently acquired from the New York Knicks, Barrett, who is a free agent in 40% of ESPN men's basketball leagues, could finally have found his basketball home back in his native country.

Some truly surprising statistical showings surfaced on Sunday, as well, with the Portland Trail Blazers turning to Australian big man Duop Reath (1.4% rostered) in the wake of Deandre Ayton's injury. Registering three blocks and three 3-pointers in yesterday's overtime win over Brooklyn is a rare outcome for a depth center, suggesting he has some fantasy upside in the coming games.

The short-handed Orlando Magic pulled off a home upset of the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday afternoon thanks in part to Caleb Houstan's (0.2%) career-high 25 points and seven triples for a team badly in need of backcourt scoring. Time will tell if his role and production are sustainable, but the opportunities should be there.

One last note from Sunday is a knee injury suffered by Cade Cunningham. It's unclear what the significance of this knee strain means, but fantasy managers can be proactive by adding Killian Hayes until more information is revealed.

Looking at Monday's six-game slate, a look at the injury report reveals superstars Jimmy Butler and Damian Lillard won't be on the floor in their respective matchups.

Butler's absence combined with Caleb Martin listed as doubtful for Monday's tilt with the Houston Rockets drives interest in rising rookie Jaime Jaquez Jr. (32.2%), a popular streaming candidate over the past month. As for Lillard, Cameron Payne is also out, removing an obvious pivot for managers, although Malik Beasley (8.5%) is likely to loft plenty of shots as a result.

You know a game is friendly for fantasy purposes when it approaches a total of 250 points, Two matchups on the slate Monday night offer help flesh out the streaming tier for Monday night in what should be high-scoring affairs between Oklahoma City Thunder and Washington Wizards and the Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers.

Monday's Stream Team

This segment nominates three key streaming options ahead of that day's action. A streamer, by our standards, is a player available in at least half of ESPN men's basketball leagues.

Deni Avdija, SF/PF, Washington Wizards (32.2%)

Back to delivering versatile lines as a point forward for the Wizards, Avdija has at least four dimes in four of the past five games and a double-double in three of the past five games. Minutes are rarely limited given the team's lack of forward depth, aiding his case against the Thunder.

Bennedict Mathurin, SG/SF, Indiana Pacers (19.5%)

Now that the Pacers are in contention for a playoff berth, heavy minutes aren't always there for Mathurin. That said, he has regained a big role in the rotation lately with savvier shot selection and just scored 20 points with nice peripheral production against the Boston Celtics over the weekend.

Luguentz Dort, SG/SF, Oklahoma City Thunder (17.5%)

If there is ever a matchup for Dort to collect stocks (steals and blocks) and make shots from beyond the arc, it's against the porous Washington Wizards. The point total is based on Washington's leaky defense, setting this two-way force up with real fantasy potential.

Malik Beasley, SG, Milwaukee Bucks (11.0%)

The aforementioned absences of Lillard and Payne makes Beasley the key floor-spacer for a team that likes to feed the perimeter from the post with the likes of Brook Lopez and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Even if he doesn't make the cut for your fantasy roster(s), scoring and shooting props could prove savvy for this heat-check guard.

Projections and Injury Reports

Fantasy projections powered by ESPN Analytics* Projections assume all players who are listed as GTD will play. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Players available in at least 50% of ESPN leagues are listed in italics.


Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Hornets
7 p.m. Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC


BPI Projection: Bulls in the 5th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Bulls: Alex Caruso, (GTD - Neck); Nikola Vucevic, (GTD - Groin); Patrick Williams, (GTD - Ankle); Zach LaVine, (GTD - Foot); Torrey Craig, (OUT - Heel); Lonzo Ball, (OUT - Knee)
Hornets: Frank Ntilikina, (OUT - Lower Leg); Mark Williams, (OUT - Back); P.J. Washington, (OUT - Foot); Gordon Hayward, (OUT - Calf); LaMelo Ball, (OUT - Ankle)

Bulls projections:

  • DeMar DeRozan, SG/SF: 39.9 FPTS (23.5 pts, 3.7 reb, 4.9 ast)

  • Coby White, PG/SG: 36.7 FPTS (19.2 pts, 4.6 reb, 4.9 ast, 2.8 3PM)

  • Nikola Vucevic, C: 31.4 FPTS (14.7 pts, 8.5 reb, 3.1 ast)

  • Zach LaVine, SG/SF: 29.2 FPTS (15.4 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.2 ast, 2.1 3PM)

  • Andre Drummond, C: 26.7 FPTS (12.2 pts, 11.5 reb, 0.8 ast)

  • Ayo Dosunmu, SG: 20.6 FPTS (10.5 pts, 3.1 reb, 1.7 ast)

  • Alex Caruso, PG/SG: 12.8 FPTS (5.0 pts, 2.4 reb, 1.6 ast)

Hornets projections:


Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers
7 p.m. Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis


BPI Projection: Celtics in the highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Celtics: Jayson Tatum, (GTD - Ankle); Kristaps Porzingis, (GTD - Eye); Sam Hauser, (GTD - Shoulder)
Pacers: Andrew Nembhard, (GTD - Back); Bruce Brown, (GTD - Knee); Isaiah Jackson, (GTD - Finger)

Celtics projections:

Pacers projections:


Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Wizards
7 p.m. Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.


BPI Projection: Thunder in the 3rd highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Thunder: None reported
Wizards: Delon Wright, (GTD - Quadriceps); Landry Shamet, (GTD - Hamstring)

Thunder projections:

Wizards projections:

  • Kyle Kuzma, SF/PF: 34.4 FPTS (20.2 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.8 ast, 2.4 3PM)

  • Jordan Poole, PG/SG: 26.1 FPTS (15.8 pts, 2.1 reb, 3.2 ast, 2.1 3PM)

  • Tyus Jones, PG: 25.8 FPTS (10.6 pts, 2.6 reb, 3.9 ast)

  • Deni Avdija, SF/PF: 24.5 FPTS (10.3 pts, 5.6 reb, 3.2 ast)

  • Daniel Gafford, PF/C: 22.0 FPTS (9.4 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.2 ast, 1.6 blk)

  • Bilal Coulibaly, SG: 19.4 FPTS (10.8 pts, 4.3 reb, 1.1 ast)

  • Corey Kispert, SG/SF: 15.2 FPTS (8.9 pts, 1.3 reb, 1.2 ast)


Houston Rockets at Miami Heat
7:30 p.m. Kaseya Center, Miami


BPI Projection: Heat in the 6th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Rockets: Nate Hinton, (GTD - Ankle); Dillon Brooks, (OUT - Oblique); Tari Eason, (OUT - Lower Leg); Victor Oladipo, (OUT - Knee)
Heat: Caleb Martin, (GTD - Ankle); Jimmy Butler, (OUT - Foot); Dru Smith, (OUT - Knee)

Rockets projections:

Heat projections:

  • Bam Adebayo, C: 40.8 FPTS (22.6 pts, 10.8 reb, 4.2 ast)

  • Tyler Herro, PG/SG: 40.3 FPTS (23.2 pts, 5.4 reb, 4.5 ast, 3.0 3PM)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr., SF: 26.6 FPTS (16.2 pts, 5.8 reb, 1.4 ast)

  • Kevin Love, PF/C: 22.0 FPTS (9.1 pts, 6.4 reb, 2.4 ast, 1.9 3PM)

  • Duncan Robinson, SG/SF: 21.4 FPTS (10.9 pts, 2.5 reb, 2.4 ast, 2.4 3PM)

  • Kyle Lowry, PG: 19.7 FPTS (7.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 3.4 ast)

  • Nikola Jovic, SF: 16.0 FPTS (7.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 1.7 ast)


Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks
8 p.m. Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee


BPI Projection: Bucks in the 2nd highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Jazz: None reported
Bucks: Cameron Payne, (OUT - Concussion); Damian Lillard, (OUT - Personal); Jae Crowder, (OUT - Groin)

Jazz projections:

Bucks projections:


Phoenix Suns at LA Clippers
10:30 p.m. Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles


BPI Projection: Clippers in the 4th highest-scoring game of the slate.

Injury Report:
Suns: Bol Bol, (GTD - Ankle); Eric Gordon, (GTD - Knee); Nassir Little, (GTD - Knee); Damion Lee, (OUT - Knee)
Clippers: Moussa Diabate, (OUT - Hand)

Suns projections:

Clippers projections:

  • Kawhi Leonard, SF/PF: 45.1 FPTS (26.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 3.7 ast, 2.1 3PM)

  • Paul George, SG/SF/PF: 39.5 FPTS (22.3 pts, 5.1 reb, 4.1 ast, 3.0 3PM)

  • James Harden, PG/SG: 38.0 FPTS (16.8 pts, 4.9 reb, 7.6 ast, 2.4 3PM)

  • Ivica Zubac, C: 27.5 FPTS (13.1 pts, 9.9 reb, 1.4 ast, 1.5 blk)

  • Russell Westbrook, PG: 22.9 FPTS (10.1 pts, 5.1 reb, 4.1 ast)

  • Norman Powell, SG/SF: 17.7 FPTS (10.9 pts, 2.1 reb, 1.0 ast)

  • Joshua Primo, SG: 15.0 FPTS (5.7 pts, 2.4 reb, 3.3 ast)