Women's Bubble Watch: March Madness bracket predictions

Erica Denhoff/Icon Sportswire

A chaotic final weekend of the regular season in the Power 5 conferences set up women's college basketball for what should be one of the most impactful Champ Weeks we've had in recent years.

The Pac-12 and SEC tournaments pit multiple bubble teams against each other in the first round, and the Pac-12, ACC and Big Ten tournaments will have big implications on No. 1 seeds in the NCAA tournament. But all eyes are on the bubble, too, and which teams end up with at-large invitations from the women's NCAA selection committee.

Using the ESPN Analytics' Women's College Basketball Power index (BPI) -- which represents how many points above or below average a team ranks -- we're projecting the bubble. Along with team ratings, BPI generates Strength of Record (SOR), a measure of how impressive each team's record is given its schedule. We're using these tools, as well as the Strength of Schedule (SOS) the committee uses, to determine which teams look like locks to make the 2024 NCAA tournament, which squads should make the field (barring a lot of surprises among automatic NCAA bids) and which teams still have work to do to bolster their résumé in the conference tournaments.

We also have projections for how likely teams are to progress to each round of their conference tournaments.

Here is our current projection of the bubble: