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Week 3 NFL betting nuggets to know

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Week 3 of the NFL season is upon us. If your team is 0-2, don't fret; at least you can hopefully still make money off it. Since 2017, teams with 0-2 records are 12-4 against the spread (ATS), including 11-2 ATS as underdogs in Week 3.

This week, two quarterbacks are set to make their NFL starting debuts on the road in Daniel Jones and Luke Falk. Since 2014, quarterbacks making their first career starts on the road are 13-6-1 ATS, including Gardner Minshew last week covering for Jacksonville against Houston.

Other Week 3 trends to watch point to New Orleans covering against Seattle, Minnesota covering against Oakland and the under hitting on Monday Night Football.

Here are betting nuggets for every Week 3 game:

All lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.


Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers (-7.5), 1 p.m. ET

Aaron Rodgers is 4-9-1 ATS in his past 14 starts as a favorite of at least seven points. Each of the past two times Green Bay was favored by at least seven points, the Packers lost the game outright (both last season).

• All of Denver's past 10 games have gone under the total.

• Since 2016, Denver is 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.

• Since 2017, Denver is 6-14 ATS after a loss.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-6), 1 p.m. ET

• Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in its past eight home games.

• Since the start of last season, Philadelphia is 3-10 ATS with Carson Wentz as its starter, including 1-6 ATS at home.

• Eight of Detroit's past nine games have gone under the total.

Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5), 1 p.m. ET

• Baltimore has covered four straight road games and nine of its past 12 road games. Since the start of 2017, the Ravens are 7-1-1 ATS as a road underdog (5-4 outright).

• Kansas City has covered nine straight September games, including going 8-0 ATS since the start of 2017.

• At 52.5, this is currently the largest over/under in Baltimore history.

• In the John Harbaugh era, Baltimore is 8-3 ATS when the over/under is 49 or higher (under is 8-3).

Lamar Jackson is 3-0 ATS and 2-1 outright as an underdog in his career, although the one outright loss came at Kansas City last season.

Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills (-6), 1 p.m. ET

• The under is 9-4 in Josh Allen's 13 career starts.

• Buffalo has covered four straight games.

• Buffalo is 5-2-1 ATS as a home favorite under Sean McDermott.

• Cincinnati has covered five straight road games.

Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts (-1.5), 1 p.m. ET

• Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in nine road games dating to last season.

• Atlanta is 0-11 ATS in its past 11 games against AFC opponents (including Super Bowl LI). Since 2013, Atlanta is 5-20 ATS against AFC opponents.

• Indianapolis is 5-0-1 ATS in its past six games when favored by three or fewer points.

Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings (-9.5), 1 p.m. ET

• Mike Zimmer is 30-12-1 ATS at home as Minnesota head coach.

• Zimmer is 15-5 ATS against AFC opponents. Each of the five times his team didn't cover, the game went under the total (over was 11-3-1 in the 15 ATS wins).

• Seven of the past eight Minnesota games went under the total, including each of the past four.

• Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its past seven road games under Jon Gruden.

• The over is just 6-18-1 in Oakland's past 25 games, including 6-11-1 since Gruden took the job in 2018.

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-22), 1 p.m. ET

• New England has covered six straight games dating to last season (including playoffs).

• Eleven of New England's past 14 games have gone under the total (including playoffs).

• New England is 0-4 ATS in the Bill Belichick era as a favorite of at least 20 points (last such game happened in 2011).

• In the past three meetings at Gillette Stadium, New England covered and the game went under the total (New York did not score a touchdown in any of those matchups). New England was favored by at least 14 points each time.

• Over the past four seasons, New York is 1-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog.

Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys (-23), 1 p.m. ET

• Teams that are underdogs by at least 20 points have covered all five games in the past 15 seasons.

• Dallas has been favored by more than 21 points only once in the Super Bowl era (1977 vs. Buccaneers, won 23-7).

• Each of Dallas' past five games went over the total.

New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6), 4:05 p.m. ET

• New York is 7-2 ATS in road games under Pat Shurmur, including 7-0 ATS in games against teams other than Dallas.

• New York is 2-9-1 ATS in September games since Tom Coughlin stepped down after the 2015 season.

Jameis Winston is 4-10 ATS as a favorite of seven or fewer points.

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5), 4:05 p.m. ET

Kyle Allen won as an eight-point underdog last year in New Orleans in his only career start. Overall, since drafting Cam Newton, Carolina is 2-4 ATS and 3-3 outright in games Newton does not start.

• Carolina is 2-8 ATS in its past 10 games (1-9 outright).

• Since 2017, Arizona is 2-5 ATS as a favorite, and last year it lost both games outright as a favorite.

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (-4), 4:25 p.m. ET

Teddy Bridgewater is 12-2 ATS in his career as an underdog (all with Minnesota).

• Since 2014, New Orleans is 12-1 ATS as a road underdog of at least 3.5 points (including playoffs). Overall since 2014, New Orleans is 16-8 ATS as a road underdog.

• Under Pete Carroll, Seattle is 12-3 ATS in 15 September home games, though it is just 2-3 since 2016.

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5), 4:25 p.m. ET

Deshaun Watson is 8-2 ATS in his career as an underdog, including 7-1 ATS as a road underdog.

• Los Angeles is 0-4-1 ATS in September home games since moving from San Diego in 2017.

• Los Angeles is 6-1-1 ATS and 7-1 outright in its past eight games coming off a loss (regular season only).

• Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS all time against Houston.

Pittsburgh Steelers at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5), 4:25 p.m. ET

• San Francisco is 1-12-1 ATS in its past 14 games as a favorite (5-9 outright), including 0-4 ATS last season (1-3 outright). San Francisco is also 0-11-1 ATS in its past 12 games as a home favorite.

• Since 2009, the over is 5-11-1 in Pittsburgh games when Ben Roethlisberger does not start.

• Since 2009, Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS as an underdog when Roethlisberger does not start. Eight of those 10 games went under the total.

Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Cleveland Browns, 8:20 p.m. ET

• Since the start of last season, Cleveland is 3-0 straight up and ATS in prime-time games, with all three games going under the total.

• Cleveland is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog since the start of last season.

Baker Mayfield is 4-1 ATS in his career as an underdog of fewer than four points (3-2 outright).

• Los Angeles has covered five straight games as favorites.

• Los Angeles has covered six of its past seven games, with the only exception being Super Bowl LIII.

Chicago Bears (-4) at Washington Redskins, Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN

• Since 2015, Washington is 0-6 outright and ATS in Monday Night Football games.

• For each of the past 10 Monday Night Football games in which the road team was the favorite, the game went under the total.

• Since the start of last season, in nine of the past 11 times when the road team was favored against a winless team, the game went under the total.

• Each of Chicago's past seven games went under the total (including playoffs).