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WNBA bets and fantasy picks: Tyasha Harris, Sun in good spot vs. Fever

Sun guard Tyasha Harris has put up double-digit points in three straight games. Photo by Erica Denhoff/Icon Sportswire

Each day of the WNBA season, our team of fantasy and betting experts breaks down every game on the slate, making note of everything from injuries and lineup changes to recent trends and more.

All odds are provided by ESPN BET.

There is only one WNBA game on tap Monday, and it's a repeat of one of the first games of the season. The Indiana Fever (3-9) visit the Connecticut Sun (9-1) in a WNBA Commissioner's Cup matchup.

The Sun remain the first-place team in the league with a stifling defense and tough, veteran-led offense. The Fever are coming off their third win of the season, led by the best statistical game of Caitlin Clark's young career. What do we expect to happen Monday? Let's dig deeper into the matchup.

Monday's fantasy stream team

Tyasha Harris, Sun (available in 74.6% of ESPN leagues): Harris has been starting in the backcourt all season and has produced solid numbers across the board. Harris has scored in double-digits in three straight games, putting up 12.7 PPG, 3.7 APG, 2.7 RPG, 2.0 3P and 1.3 SPG in 34.7 MPG during that span. Her two highest scoring games of the season came against the Fever, with 16 points in both matchups.

Kristy Wallace, Fever (available in 92.2% of leagues): Wallace has started the past seven games for the Fever and has produced workable numbers for fantasy hoops consideration on a night with only one game. In three games during the past week, Wallace has averaged 8.3 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 1.7 APG,1.3 3PG, 0.7 SPG and 0.3 BPG in 25.3 MPG.

Best bets

Sun -10.5 (-115): The Sun are 9-1 with a plus-9.9 PPG differential this season. The Fever just won their third game over the weekend, but all three have come against teams with bottom-five records. The Fever have a -11.8 PPG scoring margin, the worst in the league, and have been blown out regularly in their games against the top teams in the league. While they did stay within four points of the Sun in their second matchup, in Indiana, they've lost their other five matchups against the Sun, Liberty and Aces by a combined 123 points (24.6 PPG). The Sun beat the Fever by 21 points the last time they played in Connecticut, and Monday's game could look similar.

Caitlin Clark under 6.5 assists (-130): Clark is fourth in the WNBA with 6.3 APG, but she has struggled to distribute in her two games against the Sun, and for good reason. The Sun have the best defense in the WNBA, allowing the fewest points per game (70.6) and second-fewest assists per game (18.2). In her two games against the Sun this season, Clark turned in her lowest (three) and second-lowest (five) assist numbers of her career to date. She also notched 15 total turnovers versus the eight assists. Clark has been able to score against the Sun (18.5 PPG), if at low efficiency, but has been unable to break down the defense enough to set up her teammates to score.


Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun
7 p.m. ET, Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Connecticut


Line: Sun -10.5
Money line: Fever (+475), Sun (-675)
Total: 159.5 points

BPI prediction:
Sun: 75.4% chance to win.
Projected margin of victory: 7.7 points

Injury report
Fever: Damiris Dantas (Out)
Sun: Moriah Jefferson (Day-To-Day)