Cowboys (6-9) at Giants (5-10)
1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup rating: 21.4 | Spread: DAL -2 (44.5)
What to watch for: The Cowboys have dominated this rivalry, winning seven straight. The last time the Giants beat the Cowboys was more than four years ago, late in the 2016 season, when Odell Beckham Jr.'s 61-yard touchdown proved to be the difference. The Giants are hoping the streak finally ends now, along with their playoff drought. They haven't made the playoffs since that 2016 season. -- Jordan Raanan
Bold prediction: The Giants will rush for fewer than 100 yards against the Cowboys. Dallas has allowed 2,416 yards on the ground this season, the second-most in team history. Even during their three-game winning streak, the Cowboys are allowing 134 yards per game on the ground. They have gone just two games this season not giving up 100 yards on the ground. The first came against New York (89 yards on 27 carries). Since rushing for 190 yards in their last win -- against Seattle in Week 13 -- the Giants have not topped 78 yards in a game on the ground. -- Todd Archer
Stat to know: Turnovers and takeaways have been crucial to the Cowboys' turnaround. In their first 12 games, they carried a minus-13 turnover margin and a minus-92 points off turnover margin. In their past three games, they have a plus-9 turnover margin and a plus-48 points off turnover margin -- with zero points allowed off them.
Playoff/draft picture: The winner of this game will make the playoffs -- and win the NFC East -- if Washington loses to the Eagles on Sunday night. If the Giants win the division, their would-be .375 win percentage would be the all-time worst win percentage for a playoff team. The Cowboys have a 16.5% chance to do so, while the Giants are at 24.0%, per FPI. Win or lose, both teams might be looking at draft order if Washington pulls off a win. FPI has the Giants with the 11th pick (a 52.5% chance to pick in the top 10 and 10.1% chance for the top five), while the Cowboys are one spot back at No. 12 (52.4% chance for the top 10).
What to know for fantasy: Cowboys receiver Michael Gallup is coming off his best game of the season (30.1 points against the Eagles), but can he do it twice in a row? He failed to score even five fantasy points in the game following his other two 20-point performances this season. See Week 17 rankings.
Betting nugget: In the past 30 seasons, New York is 7-1 outright and 6-2 ATS when still alive in the playoff race entering Week 17. Dallas is 2-6 outright and 3-5 ATS in those games. Read more.
Archer's pick: Cowboys 27, Giants 17
Raanan's pick: Giants 23, Cowboys 21
FPI prediction: NYG, 59.5% (by an average of 3.2 points)
Matchup must-reads: With playoff chances below 1%, the Cowboys found their formula ... Giants' road to the postseason not so complicated ... Dalton to earn $1 million if Cowboys reach playoffs ... Who's going to win NFC East? Washington the favorite, but Giants and Cowboys aren't far behind