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Three sides to every F1 calendar story

Manuel Goria/Sutton Images

One of the problems of writing for the internet is the permanence of one's words. Journalists are expected to make predictions and best guesses based on the available information, but it's not always easy to tell just how good that available information really is.

The number of F1 journos who went on the record over the summer to say that they didn't see Kimi Raikkonen staying at Ferrari for 2016 is far higher than any of us would care to admit. Sadly, Google keeps track and so do our readers.

But distilling the fact from all the fiction is no easy task.

On Friday in Monza, all the lunchtime chatter focussed on the tail end of the 2016 calendar, but there were three different and equally credible stories doing the rounds. Malaysia was absolutely going to secure the season finale, which was definitely going to stretch into December. In some versions, Singapore would be footing the bill for Sepang's closing slot. Another story had Malaysia moving to the other side of the Japanese Grand Prix, leaving Abu Dhabi as the closer in either November or December.

Given that it was the Sepang circuit bosses who leaked the season finale story, it seemed to be kosher. But Bernie Ecclestone had a different opinion - the F1 boss told reporters that he was happy to move Malaysia till later in the season, but that he saw the race as taking place before the Abu Dhabi round.

Like everything else in Formula One, it's not an easy web to unweave.

Abu Dhabi have a long-term contract in place to host the season finale, and while F1 contracts tend to be starting points for negotiation it would take an awful lot of money to buy Yas Marina out of its coveted slot.

Singapore may not like the idea of being back-to-back with a grand prix only one hour away by air, but Marina Bay is a far more prominent event than the Malaysian Grand Prix and the two races share much of their audience. Why would the stronger party buy out the weaker when the bulk of those choosing which race to attend would go for Singapore?

Malaysia can't afford to buy out Abu Dhabi's coveted closer - if they had any extra funds available, Sepang would have negotiated a longer contract extension than the scant three years agreed this spring.

And then there's the matter of the Concorde Agreement, which remains the guiding framework behind the operation of the sport even in light of the individual Memoranda of Understanding signed in 2013. Details are highly confidential and restricted only to signatories, but it is widely understood that the framework safeguards a minimum winter break which is said to include the month of December.

To take a position on the eventual shape of a calendar whose ratification is not due for another three months involves a set of balls, and I don't mean the crystal variety.