Jeff Fisher was the first NFL head coach to be fired this season, but he likely won't be the last. After the Los Angeles Rams parted ways with Fisher on Monday, we decided to evaluate the other 31 head coaches, in terms of how likely they are to be looking for a job soon.
NFL Nation reporters rated each coach's job security on a scale of 1 to 5.
Here's the scale on which each coach was rated:
5: Hot seat: Out if the season is a big disappointment
4: Warm seat: Not safe if the season is a disappointment
3: Lukewarm seat: Not under fire but not disaster-proof
2: Cool seat: Safe barring a total disaster
1: Cold seat: No way he'll get fired
Rating: 5 = Hot seat
Buffalo Bills
Rex Ryan: 5
Owner Terry Pegula stressed continuity at the NFL owners meetings in mid-October, suggesting to USA Today that Ryan's job was safe because "we just hired Rex." The Bills have lost five of seven games since that statement, which has prompted reports that Ryan's job is in imminent jeopardy. The biggest reason is a defense that allowed 29 unanswered points to Oakland, then let Steelers running back Le'Veon Bell run for a franchise-record 236 yards on Sunday. -- Mike Rodak
Jacksonville Jaguars
Gus Bradley: 5
Is five the highest? Actually, there really isn't any pressure on Bradley any longer, as he is expected to be fired regardless of what happens in the final three games. Owner Shad Khan said a winning record was "everybody's reasonable expectation" in 2016, and the Jaguars are 2-11. Bradley's career record of 14-47 is the worst in modern NFL history. The only question now is whether Khan will fire or retain general manager Dave Caldwell. -- Mike DiRocco
San Diego Chargers
Mike McCoy: 5
The Chargers certainly could fall back on injuries as an excuse, but McCoy's team will finish in last place in the AFC West for a second straight season. McCoy is 1-10 in the division since November 2014. If San Diego doesn't scratch together a couple wins in the final three games, these players could have a new head coach leading them -- whether they remain in San Diego or move to Los Angeles -- next season. -- Eric D. Williams
Rating: 4 = Warm seat
Indianapolis Colts
Chuck Pagano: 4
Owner Jim Irsay showed faith in Pagano by giving him a contract extension in January. You have to wonder if Irsay regrets that decision because the Colts are in position to miss the playoffs in back-to-back years for the first time since the 1997-98 seasons. Pagano had an excuse for missing the playoffs last season: He didn't have quarterback Andrew Luck for nine games. There's no excuse for not making the playoffs this time around, when his team has Luck and plays in one of the worst divisions in football. -- Mike Wells
San Francisco 49ers
Chip Kelly: 4
Kelly is in only his first year as 49ers coach, and he took over a team that was bound to have a losing season. But that doesn't mean he's exempt from scrutiny with his team at 1-12 and riding a 12-game losing streak. Major change is expected among the 49ers' top decision-makers, and general manager Trent Baalke seems to have the hottest seat. If the Niners bring in a new general manager, it would stand to reason that Kelly would be in an even more tenuous position. -- Nick Wagoner
Rating: 3 = Lukewarm seat
Baltimore Ravens
John Harbaugh: 3
Harbaugh guided the Ravens to a Super Bowl title four years ago, and he's the winningest coach in franchise history. The Ravens are one of the more stable franchises, with three coaches in their 21-year existence. But there will be increased scrutiny on Harbaugh if the Ravens lose out and finish with a losing record for the second straight season. It would mark the third time in four seasons that Baltimore failed to make the postseason. "I have to be patient to let people fail, but I don't have to be patient enough to let people repeat failure," owner Steve Bisciotti said after the 2013 season. -- Jamison Hensley
Chicago Bears
John Fox: 3
Fox is a disappointing 9-20 in Chicago. The veteran coach has done almost nothing to connect with a highly agitated fan base, but the Bears still will likely stick with him in 2017. The 3-10 Bears continue to play hard, and the coaching staff has developed some younger players (namely Leonard Floyd, Cody Whitehair, Jordan Howard and Eddie Goldman). But Fox needs to win next season. The Bears can't afford to suffer through yet another miserable year and keep the status quo. -- Jeff Dickerson
Cincinnati Bengals
Marvin Lewis: 3
Lewis does not sound like a man going anywhere, and with one year left on his contract, he's likely back for at least the next season, even though the 5-7-1 Bengals have disappointed in 2016. Although public scrutiny might increase because of yet another season without a playoff win, Lewis' relationship with Bengals owner Mike Brown seems as solid as it has always been. It would be more likely that Lewis retired than got fired, and he has indicated that he isn't ready to do that, either. -- Katherine Terrell
Green Bay Packers
Mike McCarthy: 3
There are a couple ways to look at McCarthy. 1. He has taken the Packers to the playoffs in seven straight seasons. Would any team make a change if it missed the postseason one time after a run like that? 2. It has been nearly six years since the Packers' most recent Super Bowl, and if McCarthy hasn't been able to take a team back there with Aaron Rodgers as quarterback, then perhaps there's a problem. Most likely, Packers general manager Ted Thompson and team president Mark Murphy will look at the former and not the latter because McCarthy is well-respected both in NFL circles and within the walls of Lambeau Field. -- Rob Demovsky
New York Jets
Todd Bowles: 3
Todd Bowles was a "2" at the start of the season, but a 4-9 record has turned up the heat. From all indications, Bowles will survive the year ... unless his team just gives up over the final three games. Owner Woody Johnson is inclined to give a mulligan, hoping that last season (10-6) is a better indication of Bowles' coaching ability than this season. -- Rich Cimini
Rating: 2 = Cool seat
Arizona Cardinals
Bruce Arians: 2
This is Arians' first losing season in Arizona since he took over in 2013, but it comes at an inopportune time. The Cardinals were a chic pick to make Super Bowl LI, especially because they were returning every offensive skill player from a team that set franchise records and went to the NFC Championship Game. To say Arizona has underachieved would be an understatement. Arians isn't in trouble yet, but with another season of underachieving, his seat might start getting a bit warmer. How he responds to this season will be telling, but he has earned enough goodwill to work on his own accord for at least another season. -- Josh Weinfuss
Detroit Lions
Jim Caldwell: 2
What Caldwell has done with the Lions this season has been incredibly impressive, as his team continues to come from behind to win games and will have two winning seasons in his first three years in Detroit. The only reason this isn't a "1" is this is general manager Bob Quinn's first full season of evaluation on Caldwell, and the Lions haven't yet clinched a playoff spot. With quarterback Matthew Stafford beat up and Caldwell having handled his team so well so far this season after a 1-3 start, Caldwell feels completely safe. A three-game losing streak to end the season could raise some questions, though. Otherwise, Caldwell is in good position. -- Michael Rothstein
Houston Texans
Bill O'Brien: 2
Although O'Brien has repeatedly taken the blame after Texans' losses -- especially during their current three-game losing streak -- the fact that they are 7-6 and tied atop the AFC South while holding the division tiebreaker is impressive, given how poorly quarterback Brock Osweiler has played. Even if the Texans don't make the playoffs this season, it would be difficult to fire O'Brien, despite the high expectations with which this team entered the season. -- Sarah Barshop
New Orleans Saints
Sean Payton: 2
Payton is likely safe, as he just signed a five-year extension worth more than $9 million per year after he and the Saints briefly considered parting ways in January. But this could climb to a 3 if the Saints keep flopping down the stretch, like they have the past two weeks. Next season will definitely be a hot-seat year if they don't finally make a playoff run for the first time since 2013. The Saints have gone 7-9, 7-9 and 5-8 since then. -- Mike Triplett
Philadelphia Eagles
Doug Pederson: 2
Pederson said he has been assured by upper management that his job is secure for 2017. Owner Jeffrey Lurie is certainly entitled to change his mind, and he won't stay patient for patience's sake if he is convinced Pederson is ill-equipped for the job and has a superior leader in his sights. Barring that scenario, the first-year head coach should get the benefit of the doubt, considering he was working with a rookie quarterback and little firepower on offense this season. -- Tim McManus
Washington Redskins
Jay Gruden: 2
It should be a "1," but in Washington, one can never dismiss anything. Even if the Redskins lost their last three games, it would be surprising to see anything happen to Gruden, but again, it's Washington. At 7-5-1, Gruden has the Redskins in position for their first consecutive winning seasons since 1996-97 and possibly their first back-to-back playoff seasons since 1991-92. Gruden is an offensive coach, and the offense has been highly productive under him the past two seasons. -- John Keim
Rating: 1 = Cold seat
Atlanta Falcons
Dan Quinn: 1
Owner Arthur Blank just gave general manager Thomas Dimitroff an extension that runs concurrent with Quinn's deal through 2019. Dimitroff was the guy on the hot seat -- not Quinn. Like Blank said before, Quinn will be his coach for many years to come. Getting to the playoffs this season and possibly winning a game or two will only solidify Quinn's standing. -- Vaughn McClure
Carolina Panthers
Ron Rivera: 1
Sure, expectations of a return to the Super Bowl at best and the playoffs at worst have drawn criticism of Rivera. But he has won the NFL Coach of the Year award twice in the past three years and has taken the Panthers to the playoffs three straight years, something no other Carolina coach has done. His job is safe, though he can't afford a repeat of this season in 2017. -- David Newton
Cleveland Browns
Hue Jackson: 1
Believe it. The Browns will not change coaches this season -- even if they finish winless. Jimmy and Dee Haslam are committed to continuity, and that means sticking with the plan in place, which includes Jackson and director of football operations Sashi Brown. -- Pat McManamon
Dallas Cowboys
Jason Garrett: 1
Garrett entered the season with some heat on him after the 4-12 finish in 2015, but there is no chance that he will be let go after this season. He has done a masterful job of managing the roster and making decisions that have the Cowboys in the playoffs for the second time in his tenure as coach. He should be on the short list of NFL Coach of the Year candidates with how the team has responded. But if it falls apart in 2017, this number could change in a big way. -- Todd Archer
Denver Broncos
Gary Kubiak: 1
Kubiak has navigated the team back into playoff contention after last season's Super Bowl win, despite a first-year starter at quarterback in 24-year-old Trevor Siemian, his best running back (C.J. Anderson) being on injured reserve and a cluster of injuries in the offensive line. Some staff changes/tweaks might be in offing in the offseason, given the team's inconsistency in the offensive line for the second consecutive season, but that will be something Kubiak and executive vice president of football operations/general manager John Elway hash out at season's end. -- Jeff Legwold
Kansas City Chiefs
Andy Reid: 1
Everybody should have the job security that Reid does. The 10-3 Chiefs are tied for the lead in the NFL's most difficult division, the AFC West, after making the playoffs as a wild-card entrant in two of Reid's first three seasons. In the six seasons prior to Reid's arrival, the Chiefs had two two-win seasons and another two with four victories. Chairman Clark Hunt hasn't forgotten. -- Adam Teicher
Miami Dolphins
Adam Gase: 1
Gase has completely changed the culture in Miami. He has put the 8-5 Dolphins in position to end their eight-year playoff drought in his first season and looks like a keeper for years to come. -- James Walker
Minnesota Vikings
Mike Zimmer: 1
The Vikings gave Zimmer a contract extension in training camp, and even though offensive coordinator Norv Turner resigned in the middle of the season, many of the Vikings' problems can be pinned on the injuries that took away their two most important offensive players and decimated their line. The defense -- Zimmer's baby -- has been outstanding, and the Vikings would likely be tied with Detroit for the NFC North lead if Blair Walsh had made an extra point on Nov. 6. Even if the Vikings' follow-up to the 2015 NFC North championship hasn't gone exactly how they would have liked, Zimmer isn't going anywhere. -- Ben Goessling
New England Patriots
Bill Belichick: 1
It doesn't get much safer than Bill Belichick, who is now 198-71 with four Super Bowl titles in his 17-plus seasons as Patriots coach. If he ran for political office anywhere in the six-state New England region, he might win that too. -- Mike Reiss
New York Giants
Ben McAdoo: 1
Say what you want about McAdoo's offense. As the head coach, he's no longer just in charge of the offense; he's in charge of the team. The Giants are 9-4 after not making the playoffs the past four seasons. McAdoo's seat hasn't even started to warm, even if his team collapses and misses the postseason. -- Jordan Raanan
Oakland Raiders
Jack Del Rio: 1
In two seasons at the helm, Del Rio has improved the Raiders' record from 3-13 before he arrived to 7-9 last season to 10-3 and counting this season. His presence as a respected former player commands the locker room, and as part of the plan put forth by owner Mark Davis and general manager Reggie McKenzie, Del Rio has ushered in a true culture change for the Raiders. With a win Sunday at San Diego, the Raiders can clinch their first playoff berth since 2002, which is also the last time Oakland had a winning record. They call that job security on steroids in these parts. -- Paul Gutierrez
Pittsburgh Steelers
Mike Tomlin: 1
Tomlin just won his 100th game in his first 10 seasons, a feat accomplished by eight NFL coaches all time. Tomlin has never had a losing season. The Steelers have had three head coaches since 1969, all of whom have won 100. Tomlin won't make every Steelers fan happy, but the Rooneys are satisfied with his performance, especially his 13-2 record in December since 2013. -- Jeremy Fowler
Seattle Seahawks
Pete Carroll: 1
Carroll is among the safest coaches in the league when it comes to job security. He just signed a contract extension this summer and has gotten the Seahawks to the Super Bowl twice in six seasons. This season has not always gone smoothly, but the Seahawks are still positioned to win the NFC West and make the playoffs for the sixth time under Carroll. -- Sheil Kapadia
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dirk Koetter: 1
In his first season as coach, Koetter has the 8-5 Bucs on a five-game win streak for the first time since 2002 and in the hunt for a playoff spot. The only knock on him right now -- and he'd probably tell you this -- is that the offense, his forte, hasn't put more points on the board the past couple weeks. The Bucs have also had to deal with a rash of injuries, so they're readjusting. The defense has played spectacularly. Koetter seems to be pressing all the right buttons to get the most out of his team, and it is playing loose, relaxed and focused. -- Jenna Laine
Tennessee Titans
Mike Mularkey: 1
Mularkey has delivered on his promises. The Titans are a team-first locker room that has showed it's trending in the right direction. They let a couple games get away, but they are still in the thick of the AFC South hunt. Winning out might be improbable, but that the team Mularkey took over is in position with three games left is a huge accomplishment. Titans ownership and general manager Jon Robinson have to be pleased. -- Paul Kuharsky