Bears (5-5) at Packers (7-3)
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC
Matchup rating: 57.7 | Spread: GB -8.5 (45)
What to watch for: It probably doesn't matter who starts at quarterback for the Bears as long as Aaron Rodgers starts at QB for the Packers and finishes the game. Rodgers and Brett Favre have dominated the Bears. They have a combined 41-15 record against them as members of the Packers, and Rodgers comes in hot, having thrown 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions in his past five games. -- Rob Demovsky
Bold prediction: The Bears' beleaguered offense will score three touchdowns against the Packers. Trust me, forecasting even a modicum of offensive success for the Bears is the definition of a bold prediction. The Bears offense -- ranked at or near the bottom in virtually every statistical category -- last scored three touchdowns in a game in Week 3. To say the Bears are due is an understatement. They had an extra week to prepare for the Packers, too. If the offense can't get its act together for this one, it never will. -- Jeff Dickerson
Stat to know: Chicago's defense is limiting opponents to an NFL-leading third-down conversion rate of 33.3% this season, its lowest mark since 2007 (32.7%). The Packers' offense, meanwhile, ranks fourth in third-down conversion rate at 47.9%, its best mark since 2011 (48.1%).
What to know for fantasy: Rodgers rattled off his fifth straight game with more than 21 fantasy points in Week 11, but he has failed to reach even 14.5 fantasy points in each of his past three meetings with the Bears. See Week 12 rankings.
Betting nugget: Green Bay is 5-0 ATS after a loss under coach Matt LaFleur. Read more.
Dickerson's pick: Packers 30, Bears 21
Demovsky's pick: Packers 27, Bears 15
FPI prediction: GB, 68.9% (by an average of 6.6 points)
Matchup must-reads: What will it take to keep Robinson in Chicago? ... If Packers want 'complementary football,' try more Jones, better run D ... New playcaller, same results: Bears' offense struggles as skid hits four ... Packers' Valdes-Scantling says he tweeted on threats to show players 'human, too'