Mike Clay is a senior writer for fantasy football and the NFL at ESPN. Mike is a member of the FSWA Hall of Fame. His projections power the ESPN Fantasy Football game, and he also appears on "Fantasy Football Now" and the Fantasy Focus Football podcast.
Expected fantasy points (xFP) strip away player talent and efficiency and focus solely on opportunity.
FORP -- fantasy points over replacement player -- is the difference between a player's actual fantasy point total (FF Pts) and his xFP (expected total).
Quarterback adjustments are made as follows:
Pass attempts: No change
Pass completions: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected completion percentage based on depth of throw, location and target position
Passing yardage: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected yardage based on depth of throw, location and target position
Passing touchdowns: Passing xTD
Interceptions: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected interceptions based on depth of throw, location and target position
Rushing attempts: No change
Rushing yardage: Rush attempts multiplied by a rusher's expected yardage based type of rushing attempt
Rushing touchdowns: Rushing xTD
Two-point conversions: xTD multiplied by the league average two-point rate
Fumbles lost: Touches multiplied by the league average rate
