Rumour Rater: Man United to sign Maguire or Koulibaly? Origi to leave Liverpool?

The summer transfer window is in full swing, but there's plenty of work to be done given the flurry of international tournaments that have occupied the attention of some of this summer's biggest targets. Which players are likeliest to move before the 2019-20 campaign? David Amoyal rates the top rumours from around world football in the latest edition of our summer Rumour Rater.

Kalidou Koulibaly to Manchester United: 5%
Harry Maguire to Manchester United: 65%

The news that Napoli completed the deal for Kostas Manolas re-energized the rumors that Koulibaly could be moving to Old Trafford, but the former Roma defender is coming to replace Raul Albiol, who is joining Villareal, instead. On the bright side for the Red Devils, they've moved ahead of crosstown rivals Man City in the race for Maguire. In order to complete the deal, however, they will have to increase their offer of £65 million given that Leicester have leverage: The England centre-back has four years remaining on his contract.

Leonardo Bonucci to Paris Saint-Germain: 15%

With Juventus taking the lead in the race for Matthijs De Ligt, there have been reports of multiple clubs contacting the Italian centre-back's agent to gauge his interest in a potential move abroad. Despite his age -- Giorgio Chiellini will turn 35 in August -- and his injury history over the past few seasons, Bonucci is still expected to have a significant role under new coach Maurizio Sarri. Bonucci also decided to stay in Italy, partly for family reasons, when he left Juventus two years ago to join Milan, which raises further doubts he would accept a move abroad at this stage in his career.

Antoine Griezmann to Barcelona: 90%

The French striker's departure from Atletico Madrid is no secret, especially with Joao Felix arriving from Benfica to replace him. Now that we're in July, which marks the beginning of a new fiscal year, his exit clause has now dropped from €200m to €120m. Griezmann is expected to be announced as a new Blaugrana player sometime next week.

Joachim Andersen to Lyon: 60%

After receiving a substantial return for Tanguy Ndombele, who was confirmed Tuesday as a Tottenham player, the French club are looking to make a significant investment in the Danish centre-back, who was previously linked to Arsenal. Sampdoria are asking for €25m for Andersen, and there has been recent significant progress in the negotiation between the two clubs.

- When does the transfer window close?
- Anatomy of a transfer: What's real and what's not
- Inside Liverpool's new transfer policy

Gonzalo Higuain to Roma: 25%

While Chelsea had the option to acquire the Argentina striker on a permanent basis despite the transfer ban in the same way they did with Mateo Kovacic, they decided to pass. It's not a surprising development considering Maurizio Sarri's departure and his disappointing performances on the pitch. And so, Juventus are once again stuck trying to find a team willing to absorb his wages of €15m (pretax) a season.

Even though Higuain's brother/agent, Nicholas, claims Gonzalo would play only for Juventus in Italy, Roma is a possibility considering Edin Dzeko is almost certainly on his way out and the fact that the club has rekindled their relationship with Juventus after a few frosty years with the Leonardo Spinazzola-Luca Pellegrini deal.

Hirving Lozano to Sevilla: 50%

Napoli have been in talks to acquire the Mexican winger for the past few months, but their clear priority is James Rodriguez. Acquiring both players isn't particularly realistic especially after they spent a fairly significant amount on Manolas to bolster their defense, so this opens an intriguing opportunity for Sevilla, who are willing to give Lozano's agent, Mino Raiola, 30% of his future resale.

Divock Origi to Real Betis: 45%

After reaching his peak at Liverpool and becoming a fan favourite thanks to his clutch goals in the Champions League, the Belgium international seems willing to embrace a new challenge in a different league. The 24-year-old striker, whose contract with the Reds expires in June 2020, has in fact received an offer from Real Betis and he's pondering a move to Spain in order to get more playing time ahead of next year's European Championship. For their part, Liverpool could decide to take advantage of the situation and try to involve Origi in a possible deal for one of their targets, Betis left-back Junior Firpo.

Wissam Ben Yedder to Man United: 35%

With the future of Romelu Lukaku at Old Trafford being as uncertain as ever, Manchester United are putting out feelers to find a possible replacement for the Belgian international. Coach Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is looking for a proven goal scorer who can also support his teammates and bring them into the game with his link-up play; a player who would tick both boxes is Sevilla's Ben Yedder. The 28-year-old Frenchman, who could be acquired without negotiation if they pay his €40m release clause, is being closely monitored by the Red Devils and could become a top priority in case of Lukaku's departure.

Marc Roca to Bayern Munich: 50%

A crucial cog of Spain under-21's clockwork midfield, the Espanyol player seems ready to take another step forward in his career. Bayern Munich has set their sights on the 22-year-old as they reportedly plan to make him the metronome of their new, rejuvenated team. On the flip side, the Barcelona-based club does not seem willing to sit at the negotiating table for offers below the sum of the buyout clause of €40m, especially after Roca's impressive displays on the international stage.

Donny Van de Beek to Real Madrid: 30%

Last season's incredible performances could prove a double-edged sword for Ajax, as many big clubs seem keen to lure some of their most talented players away. Among the clubs interested in shopping in Amsterdam are Real Madrid, who are looking to embellish their already impressive transfer window with the signing of a world-class midfielder. Should their pursuit of Paul Pogba prove to be unfruitful, Los Blancos could consider 22-year-old Van de Beek as a cheaper alternative to the Frenchman, with Ajax believed to be asking €65m to contemplate the Dutchman's departure.