Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, hitter upgrades and downgrades daily to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and for MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is geared towards ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Note: This file has been updated with overnight pitching changes and weather-related game postponements, along with the addition of the latest MLB game odds as of the indicated time of publication.
What you need to know for Tuesday's MLB Games
By Derek Carty
While he's not exactly widely available, Marcus Stroman (64% rostered) is by far the top pitching streamer on Tuesday's slate that has a reasonable chance of being available in your league. He faces a Washington Nationals offense that is now without Juan Soto and Josh Bell, and he gets a bit of Wrigley wind blowing in
Tommy Henry (less than 1%) and James Kaprielian (5%) are your best bets if Stroman isn't available, especially since both ought to be out there in your league. Henry gets a weak Pirates offense, and Kaprielian faces the strikeout-heavy Angels.
The Royals and White Sox play a double-header today, which means elite value for all the double-volume guys. Yoan Moncada (47%) is the best bet from Chicago, with AJ Pollock (18%) and Josh Harrison (3%) also possibilities. On the Royals side, Hunter Dozier (16%) is your best bet, with Vinnie Pasquantino (5%) and Michael Taylor (sub-1%) also potentially in play.
We've got the Cardinals in Coors, the Braves in Fenway, and 90+ degrees in Baltimore and Philadelphia, giving us several 5+ run offenses to stream from today. The top is definitely St. Louis, though, and you can find Tyler O'Neill (64%), Dylan Carlson (58%), Nolan Gorman (15%), Brendan Donovan (15%), Yadier Molina (9%), and Paul DeJong (2%) available on many waiver wires.
If you're looking to shore up your ratios, streaming relievers can be a valuable approach. Far and away the best matchups today exist in Oakland. It's an elite pitchers' park and the only game under 70 degrees. And both teams have saves up for grabs, so you may even wind up nabbing one. Jose Quijada (sub-1%) is the guy to target for LA, while A.J. Puk (7%), Zach Jackson (5%), and Kirby Snead (sub-1%) are all viable from Oakland.
It's not too late to start another free fantasy baseball league. Leagues drafted this week will start scoring fresh the following Monday.
Starting pitcher rankings for Tuesday
Best Sub-50% Rostered Hitters for Tuesday
MJ Melendez (KC, C -- 17%) vs. Davis Martin and Lance Lynn
Leury Garcia (CHW, RF -- 1%) at Brady Singer and Jon Heasley
Kyle Isbel (KC, RF -- 0%) vs. Martin and Lynn
Nick Pratto (KC, 1B -- 1%) vs. Martin and Lynn
Lars Nootbaar (STL, RF -- 1%) at Ryan Feltner
Worst Over-50% Rostered Hitters for Tuesday
J.P. Crawford (SEA, SS -- 73%) vs. Gerrit Cole
Sean Murphy (OAK, C -- 74%) vs. Shohei Ohtani
Eugenio Suarez (SEA, 3B -- 58%) vs. Cole
Mike Yastrzemski (SF, RF -- 55%) at Joe Musgrove
Josh Donaldson (NYY, 3B -- 65%) at Luis Castillo
Chris Taylor (LAD, CF -- 62%) vs. Joe Ryan
Javier Baez (DET, SS -- 72%) vs. Shane Bieber
Thairo Estrada (SF, SS -- 50%) at Musgrove
Randy Arozarena (TB, LF -- 91%) at Freddy Peralta
Jonah Heim (TEX, C -- 53%) at Jose Urquidy
Best and worst hitters from the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more.
THE BAT X's Best Stacks for Today
Prop of the Day
Marcus Stroman Pitching Outs: Over/Under 18.5 (+115/-155)
PROJECTION
THE BAT sees Stroman putting up 19.9 pitching outs for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 59.7% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $28.45.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER
THE BAT projects Marcus Stroman in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.
The Washington Nationals projected lineup grades out as the fifth-worst of all teams today.
The Nationals have been the luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to THE BAT X, and are likely to hit worse in the future
This game projects for the third-best pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER
John Libka projects as a "hitters umpire" and is expected to be calling pitches today.
Wrigley Field grades out as the No. 5 stadium in MLB for batting average, via THE BAT projection system.