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Derrick Henry among fantasy football players who will score fewer TDs in 2020

Derrick Henry reached the end zone 18 times in 2019. Nick Tre. Smith/Icon Sportswir

Football statistics can prove hard to predict, but history continues to show that projecting touchdown regression to the mean is significantly easier than you might imagine.

The 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019 versions of this article provide overwhelming evidence: