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Dalvin Cook will be big test for porous Texans run defense

Vikings (0-3) at Texans (0-3)

1 p.m. ET | FOX

Matchup rating: 43.1 | Spread: HOU -4 (54.5)

What to watch for: Vikings running back Dalvin Cook is coming off a career-high 181 rushing yards in Week 3, and he's facing a Texans defense that has struggled against the run, especially in the fourth quarter. Through three weeks, Houston has allowed an average of 188.3 rushing yards per game, which is by far the worst in the NFL. The last Vikings player with consecutive 150-yard rushing games was Adrian Peterson in 2013. -- Sarah Barshop

Bold prediction: To that end, the Vikings' star running back will total 20 carries for 160 yards and two touchdowns. Not a lot has gone right for Minnesota, but the Vikings do average a league-best 6.0 yards per carry. The Texans, on the other hand, have allowed two 100-yard rushers in the first three weeks and are allowing an average of 5.2 yards per rush. Cook won't top his career-rushing performance from Week 3, but he'll come close. -- Courtney Cronin

Stat to know: Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson has been sacked 13 times this season, the second most in the NFL behind Joe Burrow (14). And since the start of the 2018 season, Watson has been sacked 119 times, the most in the NFL in that span.

Injuries: Vikings | Texans

What to know for fantasy: Watson was a top-10 QB in the majority of his starts last season, but in his first three games in the post-DeAndre Hopkins era, he has posted finishes of 12th, 21st and 18th at the position. See Week 4 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Vikings are an NFL-best 27-10-1 ATS following a loss in the Mike Zimmer era (since 2014). Read more.

Cronin's pick: Vikings 28, Texans 27

Barshop's pick: Texans 24, Vikings 21

FPI prediction: MIN, 52.7% (by an average of 1 point)

Matchup must-reads: The 0-3 Vikings are living and dying with the chaos they created ... At 0-3, history shows Texans need 'urgency more so than panic' ... Texans meet with safety Thomas, but don't sign him ... Watt loses bragging rights on brothers ... Jefferson's breakout game is a sign of more to come with Vikings