Check out how the Minnesota Vikings fared in 2022 and forecast 2023 betting trends. Despite allowing more points than they scored last season, the Vikings went 13-4 to win the NFC North. What can we expect in 2023 after last season ended with a disappointing wild-card round loss? Dig into the 2023 schedule against the spread as well as significant roster changes, thoughts on futures and more. For information on all 32 teams, click here for our complete NFL betting review and 2023 previews. 2022 betting data and 2023 betting lines are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Vikings 2022 season in review
2022 Win total: 9
2022 team record: 13-4
2022 record ATS: 7-9-1 (T-22nd)
2022 team overs*: 11-6-0 (1st)
Did you know? The Vikings have the highest over percentage in the NFL in each of the last two seasons (both 11-6). Over the last three seasons, the Vikings' over percentage is .672. No other team has an over percentage of at least 60% during that span.
Vikings look-ahead to 2023
2023 win total: 8.5
Odds to make the playoffs: +120 (17th)
Odds to win Super Bowl: +4000 (T-16th)
What has changed on the Vikings roster since last season?
Key draft picks:
• WR Jordan Addison
• CB Mekhi Blackmon
• DB Jay Ward
• DT Jaquelin Roy
• QB Jaren Hall
• RB DeWayne McBride
Key additions:
• DE Marcus Davenport
• DE Dean Lowry
• CB Byron Murphy Jr.
• LB Troy Reeder
• TE Josh Oliver
• WR Brandon Powell
• DC Brian Flores
Key departures:
• CB Patrick Peterson
• DT Dalvin Tomlinson
• TE Irv Smith Jr.
• WR Adam Thielen
• CB Cameron Dantzler
• LB Eric Kendricks
• CB Chandon Sullivan
• DC Ed Donatell
Favorite futures for 2023
Kirk Cousins over 4,330.5 passing yards (-115)
Cousins offers managers one of the highest fantasy floors of any QB in the league. Not only has me missed just two regular season games since 2015, but he has also finished inside the top 14 fantasy producers at the position in seven of his last eight campaigns.
Cousins has cleared 4,200 passing yards in three consecutive efforts since Justin Jefferson was drafted by the Vikings in 2020. The 34-year-old recorded 4,547 passing yards (the second-highest passing total of his career) under the tutelage of Kevin O'Connell last year. He heads into 2023 in the same up-tempo offense, working behind a top-10 offensive line, with a top-15 strength of schedule and a dynamic group of pass-catchers at his avail. He figures to surpass 4,400 passing yards by the year's end. -- Liz Loza
Yes to make playoffs (+120)
One look at Minnesota's astounding 11-0 record in one-score games last season and you can hear Don the Jeweler telling Lefty, "That's a fugazi." The Vikings finished 2022 13-4 but posted a -3 point differential and lost by an average of 22.2 points per game in their four defeats, which doesn't include a 7-point home loss to the equally fugazi New York Giants in the wild-card round of the playoffs. All that said, however, I still think this team can find its way into the postseason in a shallow NFC. Think about it like this: A 4-win regression would still put Minnesota at 9-8. The key here is the switch from conservative defensive coordinator Ed Donatell to aggressive defensive coordinator Brian Flores. Flores will blitz more, which, in turn, should lead to more turnovers. And as we all know, turnovers equal wins (or losses, if you're coughing the ball up too much). -- Joe Fortenbaugh
*Record against the "Over" line set for the game. Both teams are credited with a win if the game went over, a loss if under, and a tie if pushed.