Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes comes off a magnificent MVP season in which he threw 50 touchdown passes and surpassed 5,000 passing yards and still -- yes, still -- I will not be selecting him in 2019 fantasy drafts, unless he slips several rounds, which he most certainly will not. I bet he ends up in the first round of myriad drafts by the time September hits and as usual, I will smile.
Call me stubborn or considerably meaner words, but it does not matter: Quarterback is always a deep position, so investing early in a draft is not really a bad strategy because of the quarterback, but because of the missed opportunity. Sure, perhaps one cannot technically do better in an overall scoring sense in the first few rounds, because QBs score so many points, but it is so much smarter to invest early in flex-eligible players, such as running backs and wide receivers, for there is little value -- or guarantees -- later on.
For example, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is great, right? We all love him, all wish we could throw like him and have as much fun as he appears to have in commercials. It is a given. Well, Rodgers, awesome as he clearly is, has finished as fantasy's No. 1 quarterback four times in 11 seasons, but never consecutively. In fact, the last quarterback to finish as the top fantasy scorer in consecutive seasons was ... drumroll, please ... Daunte Culpepper back in his Minnesota Vikings days 15 years ago. It has been a while. That does not mean Mahomes is incapable of the achievement, but it is tough to do and few think about this in August, then they whine about it in October.